Sean Murphy

Pac-12 Game of the Year. My selection is on Stanford plus the points over Colorado at 7 pm et on Thursday.

I really like the way this one sets up for Stanford as it hosts 15-5 Colorado on Thursday. The Buffaloes are coming off consecutive home wins over Arizona and Oregon State but those victories were to be expected as they were favored by seven and 13 points, respectively. That sets up Colorado poorly here as it is a miserable 1-10 ATS in its last 11 road games following two or more straight home wins over the last three seasons. Going back much further the Buffs’ are 62-88 ATS when going on the road off a straight-up home win. Stanford just delivered a two-game sweep of Cal and is well-positioned as a momentum play here at home, where the Cardinal have gone a perfect 6-0 ATS at home off a home conference win over the last three seasons, outscoring opponents by 13 points per game in that situation. On the flip side, they’re also 19-9 ATS after dropping the cash in two of their last three games over the last three seasons. Colorado has taken 11 of the last 17 meetings in this series but Stanford has held its own in recent years, splitting the last four matchups. Take Stanford (10*).

My selection is on Boston (moneyline) over Toronto at 7:35 pm et on Thursday.

The Raptors have seemingly turned things around and come off a monster offensive performance in Washington last night. With that being said, I believe they’ll be up against it in Boston on Thursday as the Celtics should be in foul mood coming off consecutive losses in Phoenix and Utah. Ordinarily, I’m not a big fan of backing teams in their first game back home following a long road trip, but here I’m willing to make an exception. The C’s have played an uneven brand of basketball this season, largely due to injuries. They are getting healthier now, though, and will welcome the opportunity to face an Eastern Conference foe following an extended stretch against Western Conference opponents. Note that Boston is 11-2 ATS after failing to cover the spread in three of its last four games over the last two seasons, outscoring the opposition by nearly 11 points per game in that situation. While Boston is just 23-22-1 ATS in its last 46 meetings with Toronto, it has gone 33-13 straight-up over that stretch. Because I respect the Raps offense right now, rather than lay the handful of points with the Celtics, I’ll back them on the moneyline at a very reasonable price in this spot. Take Boston moneyline (9*).

Thursday NHL Free play. My selection is on Tampa Bay over Florida at 7:05 pm et on Thursday.

The Lightning continue to roll along and while this will be billed as an intriguing showdown between two of the Eastern Conference’s top teams, I still feel there’s a significant talent gap in play. The Panthers have been afforded an extremely favorable schedule in the early going this season. Arguably their four toughest games – two against the Stars and two against the Hurricanes – were postponed due to Covid protocols. They’ve played four of their last six games against one of the league’s worst teams in the Red Wings. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay is off to a 9-1-1 start, also facing a rather light schedule but laying waste to the opposition by a 27-9 margin over the course of its current six-game winning streak. Take Tampa Bay (8*).

Fresh off a 2-0 NHL and CBB SWEEPS last night, Sean is targeting a MASSIVE 7-GAME card on Thursday night, keyed by FOUR big ticket releases across the NHL, CBB and NBA! Your best bet is a weekly or monthly subscription package, giving you access to ALL of Murph’s winners every day!