Mike Lundin

NEW MEXICO @ UTAH STATE THANKSGIVING DAY BOOKIE BLA$TER

Two 0-4 teams will clash at Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium on Thanksgiving Day when the 0-4 Utah State Aggies host the New Mexico Lobos. 

New Mexico laid an egg last time out when it took a 28-0 beating as only 8-point underdogs against Air Force. I think this is a great spot to back a humiliated and motivated Lobos team to bounce back from their worst performance of the year. Note that they had played well in back-to-back games prior to that disappointing outing, losing by only six points as a 14-point dog at Hawai and by seven points as a 17.5-point home underdog against Nevada. 

The Aggies on the other hand have yet to cover a number this season. They’re scoring only 11.3 points per game and their defense is fourth-worst among FBS teams, allowing 525.8 yards per game. 

New Mexico has decent offensive numbers, and by the looks of it, they’ll get their starting quarterback, redshirt junior QB Tevaka Tuioti, back under center after missing the last two games due to a concussion.

8* play on New Mexico. 

Auburn vs. St. Joseph’s Free Pick November 26, 2020

I like the St. Joseph’s Hawks to keep this matchup with the Auburn Tigers relatively close. Auburn is coming off a 25-6 season, but it has lost more or less its entire starting five from a year ago. 

Additionally, the Tigers have self-imposed a postseason ban in response to an NCAA investigation for corruption and fraud, so how focused are the players, and can they motivate themselves knowing they won’t be competing in any type of postseason tournament? 

Sure, St. Joseph’s was only 6-26 last season, but it returns most of its starters, among them senior Ryan Daly, who was the leading scorer in the A-10 last season. The Hawks experience should come well handy here, and I like them to cover the number. 

Free pick on St. Josephs. 

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KANSAS VS GONZAGA NCAAB BOOKIE BOMBER

We couldn’t ask for more of a marquee matchup here on Thanksgiving Day than this contest between the #6 Kansas Jayhawks and the top-ranked Gonzaga Bulldogs. 

Kansas will need to find a way to replace the scoring from key pieces like guard Devin Dotson and center Udoka Azubuike, and it might take a couple of games for the Jayhawks to figure things out. 

The Bulldogs have lost Filip Petrusev, Killian Tillie, Admon Gilder, and Ryan Woolridge, but they have also added Andrew Nembhard, transfer from Florida, and have a great mix of talent and experience. “I wanted to be on this team. It will be in our hands,” small forward Corey Kispert, a preseason All-American, said. “I see the talent from the freshmen to the other guys and it’s easy to want to be a part of it.”

This will come down to Kansas defense vs. the Zags offense, and I think Gonzaga will hit the ground running and eventually pull away to not only win but also cover the spread. 

8* play on Gonzaga. 

WASHINGTON @ DALLAS TURKEY DAY BOOKIE BU$TER

The Dallas Cowboys have some much needed momentum after coming out of their bye week to defeat Minnesota last week. The offense was back on track racking up almost 400 total yards and Andy Dalton threw for three TD passes against just one interception while Ezekiel Elliott had 103 rushing yards on 21 carries. Sure, the Cowboys miss Dak Prescott, but this team is still way more talented than its 3-7 record would suggest and they still (like every other team in the division) have a shot at winning the NFC East. 

Washington is also coming off a win after defeating Cincinnati 20-9 last week. Its defensive unit is competitive, but offensively the Football Team are among the worst in the NFL. 

This is a big-time revenge spot for the Cowboys after taking a 25-3 beating in Washinton on October 25. I like them to show up here while the Football Team can’t be all too excited about spending Thanksgiving on the road. 

8* play on Dallas Cowboys. 

EARLY TEXANS @ LIONS TURKEY DAY TOP PLAY

This looks like a great spot to back the Detroit Lions as a home underdog to Houston Texans. 

Detroit coach Matt Patricia should have his Lions fired up for this one after getting humiliated in a shutout road loss at Carolina last week. D’Andre Swift returned to practice on Tuesday after being sidelined with a concussion, and he should be able to feast on the Texans’ league-worst run defense. 

Houston is coming off an upset win over a mediocre Patriots team. I think the betting market is giving the Texans too much respect here, and that combined with the Lions recent outing sets up a nice buy-low sell-high spot. 

Texans are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 Thursday games. Texans are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. Texans are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite.

10* play on Detroit Lions.