Jimmy Boyd

3* NBA – Vegas ODDSMAKERS ERROR on Bucks -9 -109

I got no problem here laying a big number with Milwaukee at home against the Celtics in Thursday’s big NBA matchup on TNT. Boston simply is not playing great right now. Celtics have lost 4 of 6, including an inexcusable 103-116 setback at home against Detroit last night. 

I just don’t think they can flip a switch here, especially playing on no rest and their 3rd game in 4 days overall. Not to mention Boston could be down to of their best players, as both Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum are listed as questionable. 

Bucks are also 19-2 at home, where they are winning by an average of 14.3 ppg and this is one they are going to be highly motivated to get after losing by double-digits at Boston earlier this season. Take Milwaukee! 

3* NCAAB – Over/Under Total DOMINATOR on Texas-Arlington/UL – Lafayette over 142½ -110

Easy play for me on the OVER in Thursday’s Sun Belt showdown between UT-Arlington and UL-Lafayette. I think there’s some hidden value here due to the fact that Ragin’ Cajuns are coming off two dreadful offensive showings at Georgia State and Georgia Southern, where they scored just 52 and 51 points respectively. 

Thing is, Lafayette is a different offensive team on the road than they are at home and those are two of the top defenses in the Sun Belt. In their previous two games they put up 81 at App State and 79 at home against Troy. Arlington is not a great defensive team and just gave up 82 at home to Coastal Carolina. 

The other big key here is tempo. The Mavericks like to speed up the game and are playing at the 3rd fastest tempo in the Sun Belt. I think Lafayette also likes to play fast and will be up for a faster tempo after their last two games. 

OVER is also 12-1 in Arlington’s last 13 games as a road favorite and 15-4 in Lafayette’s last 19 at home against poor shooting teams 15+ games into the season. Take the OVER! 

3* NCAAB – Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Southern Illinois/Loyola-Chicago over 117½ -109

There’s no denying that these are two of the better defensive teams in the Missouri Valley, but I just think we are seeing a ridiculously low total due to the fact that the UNDER has been so good for both teams of late. UNDER has cashed in 7 straight for Southern Illinois and 5 straight for the Ramblers. 

Loyola-Chicago is No. 3 in the MVC in both offensive efficiency and effective field goal percentage, so it’s not like they can’t score. Ramblers are scoring almost 75 ppg at home and that’s exactly how many they had last year when they hosted the Salukis, which saw a combined score of 125. 

It’s also worth noting that Loyola is fresh off a 78-44 blowout win over Evansville at home as a 13.5-point favorite, as the OVER is a dominant 13-3 in their last 16 off a cover as a double-digit favorite.  OVER is also a perfect 7-0 in Southern Illinois’ last 7 road games when facing a team that is shooting 48% or better from the field. Take the OVER 117.5! 

3* NHL – Money Line MASSACRE on Hurricanes -135

Carolina is worth a look here as a small road favorite against the Blue Jackets. The line here really tells you all you need to know. Columbus comes in having won 6 of 8 and are off back-to-back 3-0 wins over Vegas and Boston as dogs and yet are a big dog again at home against Carolina team that was just shoutout in a loss at Washington. 

Hurricanes had won 3 straight prior to the setback against the Capitals and I look for them to bounce back in a big way here against Columbus team that just can’t be trusted with their lackluster offense (2.6 goals/game). Take Carolina! 

1* Free Pick on Loyola Marymount/Pepperdine OVER 142½

Ton of value on the OVER in Thursday’s WCC action that has Pepperdine hosting Loyola Marymount. The Waves are playing at the fastest tempo of any team in the WCC during conference play and after facing a couple of stiff defenses in their first two league games, they exploited San Diego’s bad defense in a 85-78 win that cruised bast the total of 143.5. 

That game was on the road and now they get an equally bad defense at home in the Lions. Key here is that Loyola Marymount should be able to get their offense going. Lions have struggled to score early on, but have faced the league’s top two defenses in their last two games in Gonzaga and BYU.

Loyola-Marymount ranks in the Top 40 in the country in 2-point field goal percentage and defending the paint is not exactly a strength of the Waves. 

Another thing is the Waves might not be as invested defensively knowing they have a much bigger game on deck Saturday against St. Mary’s.

OVER is also 49-29 in Pepperdine’s last 78 home games if the previous game was on the road and 20-6 in their last 26 if they are 15+ games into the season and facing a bad but not really bad team (WP between 40% and 49%). Take the OVER! 

**TOP 20 CAPPER in EARNINGS for 2019 (Top 15 Earnings 2018)**

Jimmy Boyd and his $1,000 clients are PROFITING over $62K last 365+ days!

Don’t miss out on your chance to destroy the books with Thursday’s 10-Pack of Profits (8 CBB, 1 NBA, 1 NHL)

This unbelievable offer includes Jimmy’s 5* NCAAB – Ohio Valley GAME OF THE MONTH!

**12-4 (75%) L16 Top Plays**

You will also receive 7 more NCAAB picks, 1 NBA winner and 1 NHL selection to help you build that bankroll!

Lock into today’s premium bundle for the low price of $69.97. It is GUARANTEED TO PROFIT or you will get Jimmy’s next card for FREE!

4* NCAAB – Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Pacific -4 -109

I got no problem laying the short number on the road with Pacific as they take on Portland in Thursday’s late night action. The Tigers are coming off a 75-79 loss at home to San Francisco. A game 

Head coach Damon Stoudamire had this to say after the loss. “We can’t learn a lesson. To me, they thoroughly dominated us for 40 minutes. We got outplayed, we got outcoached. There is no lesson to learn. I think that the biggest thing is we got to compete harder.” I mean if they apparently play that bad and only lose by 4 that’s saying something. 

I like the Tigers to bounce back in a big way here against the Pilots. Portland has been the worst defensive team in the WCC to start the year ranking dead last in defensive efficiency and effective field goal percentage. Pacific is 4th in defensive efficiency and 1st in effective field goal percentage. That defensive edge will be the difference here. Take Pacific! 

4* NCAAB – Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Texas State -4½ -109

The Bobcats are worth a look here as a small road favorite against the Warhawks. While Texas State is just 3-4 in Sun Belt play, they are actually the No. 2 ranked team in the Conference per KenPom behind only Georgia State. Of their 4 conference losses, 3 have come on the road against the 3 teams tied on top the standings in Georgia Southern, Georgia State and Little Rock. 

ULM on the other hand is tied for the worst mark in the conference at 2-5 and more than anything this is just not a good matchup for the Warhawks. ULM wants to get the majority of their offense inside, and Texas State is really tough to score on inside. 

Two other advantages that figure to go a long way in favor of the Bobcats is free throw shooting and turnovers. Texas State gets to the foul line 23 times a game and is shooting 75% from the charity line. UML only gets to the line 18 times and is shooting 67.8%. Warhawks also have the 3rd worst turnover rate in the SB and Bobcats are second best in forcing turnovers. Take Texas State! 

4* NCAAB – Over/Under Total DESTROYER  on North Texas/Southern Miss under 133 -110

I really like the value with the UNDER in this one. North Texas has the best offense in C-USA and will be facing a Southern Miss defense that ranks at the bottom of the conference, giving up 78.5 ppg in league play. I just think that has the total inflated to where there’s value on the UNDER. 

Big thing to note is that the Mean Green are not nearly as potent on the road. North Texas is averaging 70.6 ppg on 47.4% shooting overall, but just 61.4 ppg and 42.7% on the road. Southern Miss is also an awful offensive team, scoring just 58.2 ppg in conference play and will be facing a Mean Green defense that has held 3 of their 4 conference opponents to fewer than 65 points. 

UNDER is 25-12 in North Texas’ last 37 road games after 3 or more consecutive wins and 10-2 in their last 12 on the road after going OVER the total in their previous game. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB – Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Charlotte/Marshall over 132 -117

I really like the value here with the OVER in Thursday’s C-USA matchup that has Marshall hosting Charlotte. This is the lowest total we have seen in a game involving the Herd this season and a big reason for that is because of their recent struggles offensively and the fact that Charlotte plays at one of the slowest paces in the country. 

Thing is, Marshall has had a way of making the 49ers play up to their tempo in recent meetings. Last year the two played to a combined 169 points at Charlotte. You have to go back to their first meeting in 2015 to find the last time these two didn’t combine for at least 150 points. OVER is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings and the averaged combined score in these 11 matchups is 161.5. 

Also in regards to the Herds’ poor shooting of late, with how many outside shots they take they are going to have games where they don’t connect. Good chance they get going at home, where they are shooting 47% from the field on the season. Take the OVER! 

3* GOLF – American Express 1st Round BEST BET Tony Finau -140

No analysis on golf matchups

4* NCAAB – Late Night ATS HEAVY HITTER on CS-Northridge +5 -110

I really like the value here with the Matadors as a decently priced road dog against UC-Riverside. I think a big part of this value stems from how bad CS-Northridge looked in their last game, which saw them get rolled 74-56 as a 6-point favorite at Cal Poly. 

That was just a bad night all around. Matadors had one of their worst shooting nights of the season, going 19 of 53 (35.8%) from the field. That’s just a true indicator of this team, which had shot 54% or better in each of their previous 3 games. 

Matadors are 5-1 ATS last 6 off a loss, 5-1 ATS last 6 as a road dog and 8-3 ATS last 11 overall. Road team has also covered in 13 of the last 16 meetings in the series with the underdog cashing each of the last 4 matchups. Take CS-Northridge! 

5* NCAAB – Ohio Valley GAME OF THE MONTH on Eastern Kentucky +20½ -110

I absolutely love the value here with the Colonels as a massive road dog against the Bruins. I get there’s a big difference in the overall record of these two teams, but simply put Eastern Kentucky has been a different team in conference play. The Colonels are sitting at 3-1 and have really got things figured out on offense of late. They are averaging 75.0 ppg in league play. 

Belmont has won 3 straight after opening up conference play with a loss at home to SIU Edwardsville as a 23-point favorite. They do have a couple of blowout wins by 20+ points against E Illinois and SE Missouri State, but those two teams are also a combined 0-8 in league play. 

Eastern Kentucky is one of the better defensive teams in the conference, like to slow things down and limit possessions and are great at taking care of the basketball. All things that should help them easily keep this within the number. Take Eastern Kentucky!