Frank Sawyer is on an 8 of 13 (62%) NBA run — and now he furthers his 39 of 63 (62%) NBA run with his highest-rated 25* plays with his 25* NBA Wednesday ESPN Game of the Month!
Now on a 157-127 run with my last 290 All Sports picks! $1,000/game players have cashed in $35,200 on my All Sports picks since 12/09/20!
This subscription includes EVERY PREMIUM PICK I release for the next 7 days! If for any reason I don’t see value on the day’s card and pass, another day will be added to your account.
Join now for only $71.42/day and start cashing in on more winners!
At 7:08 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Minnesota Wild (38) versus the St. Louis Blues (37). THE SITUATION: Minnesota (31-13-3) has won seven straight games after their 6-3 victory at San Jose on Saturday. St. Louis (21-19-6) has won two in a row with their 4-1 win against Colorado on Monday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE WILD WITH THE MONEY-LINE: The Wild have won 18 of their last 24 games after a win — and they have won 7 of their last 8 games after a win against a divisional rival by at least four goals. Minnesota has also won 6 of their last 8 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Now after playing their last four games on the road, the Wild return home where have 15 of their 19 games this season with the Total set at 5.5. Cam Talbot gets the start tonight — he is 13-2-2 in his last 17 starts since March 12th with five straight victories under his belt. Talbot has been thought to beat when playing at home where he enjoys a 1.86 Goals-Against-Average along with a .935 save percentage in ten starts. Minnesota has won 25 of their last 35 games against teams with a losing record. St. Louis has lost 5 of their last 8 games after a win at home — and they have lost 9 of their last 14 games after winning two of their last three games. They have also lost 11 of their last 17 games when playing their fourth game in seven days. Now after playing their last three games at home along with eight of their last nine, they go back on the road where they have lost 5 straight. Jordan Binnington gets the start — but while he has a 2.63 GAA with a .912 save percentage at home, those numbers worsen to a 2.75 GAA with a .906 save percentage when he has played on the road this season.
FINAL TAKE: Minnesota has lost five of their six meetings with the Blues including their last two meetings after a 3-2 loss at St. Louis on April 10th. The Wild have won 6 of their last 7 games when playing with double-revenge. 25* NHL Wednesday NBC Sports Network Game of the Month with the money-line on the Minnesota Wild (38) versus the St. Louis Blues (37). Best of luck for us — Frank.
My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Wednesday was Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers and Phoenix Suns. Phoenix (43-18) looks to build off a 118-110 win at New York as a 3-point favorite on Monday. The Suns return home where they have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total. Phoenix has also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or better. Los Angeles (43-20) had their four-game winning streak end with a 120-103 upset loss at New Orleans as a 2-point favorite on Monday. The Clippers have played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. They have played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total when playing at Phoenix. Take the Over. Best of luck — Frank.
Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports made it SEVEN STRAIGHT WINNERS in All-Sports this afternoon by DELIVERING their 25* UEFA Champions League Match of the Month on Man City! Frank won with Portland last night to further his 8 of 13 (61%) NBA run — and now he RAISES THE STAKES by continuing his 39 of 63 (62%) NBA run with his highest-rated 25* plays with his 25* NBA Wednesday ESPN Game of the Month! DON’T MISS OUT!
At 10:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Los Angeles Clippers (583) plus the points versus the Phoenix Suns (584). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (43-20) had their four-game winning streak snapped in a 120-103 upset loss at New Orleans as a 2-point favorite on Monday. Phoenix (43-18) ended their two-game losing streak with a 118-110 win at New York as a 3-point favorite on Monday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE CLIPPERS PLUS THE POINTS: The Clippers made only 40.6% of their shots on Monday in what was the lowest shooting effort in their last six games. Los Angeles should respond with a strong effort. The Clippers have covered the point spread in 24 of their last 35 games after an upset loss — and they have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 16 after an upset loss as a road favorite. Furthermore, LA has covered the point spread in 19 of their last 26 games after a double-digit loss — and they have covered the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games after a loss by 10 or more points on the road. The Clippers have also been consistent in bounce-back situations as they have covered the point spread in 39 of their last 54 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 38 of their last 55 games after a point spread defeat. They allowed the Pelicans to make 53.7% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last 23 games. Los Angeles has covered the point spread in 12 of their last 14 games on the road after allowing at least 120 points in their last game. Head coach Tyron Lue has an undermanned group tonight with Kawhi Leonard and Serge Ibaka out indefinitely with injuries, and Patrick Beverley remains on the shelf with a hand injury. Nicolas Batum is questionable with a shoulder injury. But the good news is that Paul George has been upgraded to probable with his foot injury. The Clippers have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games on the road as an underdog. Phoenix made 54.2% of their shots on Monday which was the best shooting effort in their last six games. But the Suns are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a straight-up win — and they are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a point spread victory. Now after playing their last five games on the road, they return home for the first time since April 17th — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 30 home games after playing at least their last seven games on the road. Phoenix may not be at full strength either with Jae Crowder and Dario Saric questionable with injuries.
FINAL TAKE: The Suns are just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite — and the Clippers have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or better. Los Angeles has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 trips to Phoenix to play the Suns. 25* NBA Wednesday ESPN Game of the Month with the Los Angeles Clippers (583) plus the points versus the Phoenix Suns (584). Best of luck for us — Frank.
My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for the Wednesday afternoon games is with Under the Total in the match between Manchester City and Paris Saint-Germain in the first leg of the Semifinals of the UEFA Champions League. PSG got by Bayern Munich in the quarterfinals by deploying a 4-4-1-1 counterattacking formation that absorbed the Bavarians press. Manager Mauricio Pochettino will likely use this strategy against — and he has experience defeating Pep Guardiola in the knockout stage of this tournament after he led Tottenham to their upset victory in the Quarterfinals of this event in 2019. The Parisians have produced clean sheets in 50% of their matches in Ligue 1 — and both teams scored in just 36% of those matches. Man City has generated a clean sheet in 52% of their English Premier League contests — and both teams scored in just 42% of those matches. This should be a cagey first leg. Take the Under. Best of luck — Frank.
Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports SWEPT THE BOARD with a 5-0 All-Sports mark yesterday — including CA$HING WINNING TICKETS on Chelsea and the Chelsea-Real Madrid Under (at 2.25) to further a 7 of 9 (78%) Champions League run! Now Frank furthers his 5 of 6 (83%) Champions League Game of the Month/Year mark with his 25* UEFA Champions League Match of the Month for the Man City-PSG goal-line winner on the CBS Sports Network at 3 PM ET! DON’T MISS OUT!
At 3:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Manchester City (224201) minus the goal-line versus Paris Saint-Germain (224202) in the first leg in the Semifinals of the UEFA Champions League. THE SITUATION: Man City advanced to the Semifinals with their 4-2 aggregate score victory against Borussia Dortmund in the Quarterfinals earlier this month. PSG reached the Semifinals due to the road goals tiebreaker that resolved the 3-3 aggregate score deadlock with Bayern Munich in the Quarterfinals. PSG hosts the first leg at their Parc des Princes.
REASONS TO TAKE MAN CITY MINUS THE GOAL-LINE: Winning the Champions League is the crown jewel for manager Pep Guardiola and this Man City team. They are cruising to their third English Premier League championship in the last four seasons with their 10-point lead in the EPL table over Manchester United. Not only have the Citizens never reached the Semifinals of the Champions League under Guardiola, but this proud franchise has never won a Champions League title. Man City lifted their first trophy this season on Sunday by winning the Carabou Cup in a 1-0 win against Tottenham. The tactics of that match were important as Guardiola’s side had to combat the Hotspurs playing a cagey, defensive-oriented match that relied on occasional moments of a counter-attack. These are the tactics that former Tottenham skipper, Mauricio Pochettino has deployed with PSG in this tournament. Guardiola gets John Stones back for this match after he received a red card three-match suspension. His return bolsters the Citizens backline since he has formed a great partnership with center-back Ruben Dias. Man City’s defense has been at its best with Dias and Stone paired on the pitch. The Citizens have allowed only two goals in their four knockout stage matches in the Champions League — and they have generated clean sheets in 52% of their matches in the EPL. Man City has scored at least two goals in eight of their ten Champions League matches this season. Phil Foden is a rising superstar that has eclipsed the perpetually underachieving Gabriel Jesus and the aging Sergio Aguero as the team’s most accomplished finisher. PSG will likely continue to deploy a 4-4-1-1 formation that was successful in absorbing the Bayern Munich attack in the Quarterfinals. Kylian Mbappe is critical for the success of this team as the player up to in this formation — but the brilliant 22-year-old is a doubt for this match with a knee injury he suffered on Saturday in the Parisians 3-1 win against Metz. Mbappe scored twice in that match before exiting because of the injury. I expect Mbappe to play — it will be a coup for us if he is unable to take the pitch. But, Mbappe may not be at 100% — and he needs to be. PSG’s triumph over the Bavarians was marred by Bayern Munich being without their best attacker, Robert Lewandowski, to injury. I am not nearly as impressed with their Round of 16 victory against a Barcelona side that beats up on lesser opponents before fading against their best competition. The Parisians are not even winning Ligue 1 this season, as they are one point behind Lille for first place in the French top flight. PSG does not play elite defense either — they have surrendered five goals in their four knockout stage matches in this competition.
FINAL TAKE: This is the critical match for Man City since their road goals output will serve as their entry into the potential tiebreaker. I liked the Citizens in this matchup even before the Mbappe knock — expect a road win for Guardiola. 25* UEFA Champions League Match of the Month with Manchester City (224201) minus the goal-line versus Paris Saint-Germain (224202). Best of luck for us — Frank.
PICKS IN PROGRESS
Apr 29 ’21, 7:50 AM
Play Type: Premium Pick
PGA | Paul Casey vs Patrick Reed
Play on: Paul Casey +100 at Mirage
Game Analysis
Strokes play returns to the PGA Tour this week after the Zurich Classic matchplay event last week in New Orleans. The Copperhead Course at the Innisbrook Resort in Tampa Bay presents one of the most challenging stops on the tour each year. This is a Par-71 course with five Par-3s consisting of 7340 yards. Success at this tournament typically relies on the golfer’s second shot. Distance off the drive is not a skill that is usually rewarded. The pros face three-inch rough, 74 bunkers, and water that impacts half the course if they miss the fairway. The narrow Bermuda greens approach 12-feet on the stimptmeter. Shots-Gained: Tee-To-Green has been a reliable metric to determine success. The last three winners here have finished 1st, 6th, and 5th for the week in this metric. Shots-Gained: Approach-the-Green is also vital, the last three winners have finished 7th, 7th, and 2nd. Putting: Birdies or Better Percentage is also important: the last three winners have finished 2nd, 14th, and 1st. Furthermore, I will be looking closely at Bogey Avoidance given the likely lower scores this week. This tournament was canceled because of the COVID shutdown last year so course history begins in 2019.
Our Top Overlay Bet on the golfer who offers the most value relative to the odds is on Paul Casey who is listed at +2500 at BetOnline to win this event. Casey has won the last two events here — so it is safe to say that his game fits the course. Casey is in even better form this year than he was then. Casey opened 2021 by winning in Dubai which began a string of six straight Top-12 or better finishes at stroke play events before his tie for 26th place at the Masters. Casey then missed the cut two weeks ago at Harbour Town, which should put a chip on his shoulder this week. Casey ranks 24th on the tour this year in Shots-Gained: Tee-To-Green and 14th in the Shots-Gained: Approach-the-Green. Casey is linked with Patrick Reed for Round One head-to-head betting propositions. Reed returns to action after finishing tied for 8th place at the Masters. Reed also has two second-place finishes at this event in 2015 and 2018. But I don’t love his deeper metrics this year relative to Casey. Reed is just 109th in Bogey Avoidance this season. His ball-striking has not been elite — he ranks 59th in Shots-Gained: Tee-To-Green and 68th in Shots-Gained: Approach-the-Green. Reed is also just 137th in Greens-In-Regulation. Take Casey (7115) versus Reed (7116) in Round One head-to-head betting propositions. Best of luck for us — Frank.
Pick Released on Apr 28 at 11:52 pm
Apr 29 ’21, 7:35 AM
Play Type: Premium Pick
PGA | Corey Conners vs Bubba Watson
Play on: Corey Conners -160 at Mirage
Game Analysis
Strokes play returns to the PGA Tour this week after the Zurich Classic matchplay event last week in New Orleans. The Copperhead Course at the Innisbrook Resort in Tampa Bay presents one of the most challenging stops on the tour each year. This is a Par-71 course with five Par-3s consisting of 7340 yards. Success at this tournament typically relies on the golfer’s second shot. Distance off the drive is not a skill that is usually rewarded. The pros face three-inch rough, 74 bunkers, and water that impacts half the course if they miss the fairway. The narrow Bermuda greens approach 12-feet on the stimptmeter. Shots-Gained: Tee-To-Green has been a reliable metric to determine success. The last three winners here have finished 1st, 6th, and 5th for the week in this metric. Shots-Gained: Approach-the-Green is also vital, the last three winners have finished 7th, 7th, and 2nd. Putting: Birdies or Better Percentage is also important: the last three winners have finished 2nd, 14th, and 1st. Furthermore, I will be looking closely at Bogey Avoidance given the likely lower scores this week. This tournament was canceled because of the COVID shutdown last year so course history begins in 2019.
Our Best Bet to win this event is on Corey Conners who is listed at BetOnline at +2000 to win this tournament. Conners is in great form with four Top-Eights and a T-14 in his last six events — highlighted by a 3rd place finish at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and a tie for 4th place at Harbour Town. Conners is one of the best ball strikers on the tour — and he is improving with his blade. He has gained strokes on the field in putting in five straight tournaments. For the 2020-21 season, Conners ranks 9th in Shots-Gained: Tee-To-Green, 11th in Shots-Gained: Approach-the-Green, and 10th in Bogey Avoidance. In his last 24 rounds, Conners is 2nd in the field in Bogey Avoidance. He also ranks 3rd in the field over his last 24 rounds for Shots-Gained: Approach-the-Green. Furthermore, he leads the field in Greens-In-Regulation over his last 24 rounds — and he leads the field in Ball Striking for the last 24, 36, and 50 rounds. Conners led outright at this event for each of the first three rounds in 2018 before drifting to a tie for 16th place in 2018. Conners is a much more polished three years later. Conners is linked with Bubba Watson for Round One head-to-head betting propositions. Watson is in pretty good form — he finished tied for 8th place at the Zurich matchplay event last week after a tie for 26th place at the Masters. Frankly, the Masters’ result was perhaps a bit disappointing — Watson is a pro that tends to thrive on his favorite courses like Augusta National but then struggles elsewhere. Watson did finish tied for 4th place here in 2019, but this is not one of his standout events. He has not been a regular attendant at this event in his career. The putter will likely give him trouble this week — he ranks 134th in the Putting: Birdies or Better Percentage. He also ranks 142nd in Bogey Avoidance which is a concern. Take Conners (7111) in Round One head-to-head betting propositions versus Watson (7112). Best of luck for us — Frank.
Pick Released on Apr 28 at 11:45 pm
SERVICE BIO
Frank Sawyer offers unmatched handicapping analysis over a diverse array of sports for his Hollywood Sports clients. Frank combines his over twenty years of experience as a professional sports handicapper with the drive to outwork his competition. Why invest in a sports service? Frank answers that question with a proven methodology. His model for success starts by investing a significant amount of time analyzing each team in the sports he handicaps to serve as a foundation for that season. Frank then combines his team assessments with empirical situational handicapping angles along with the latest in cutting edge analytics to identify value in the betting line. Decades of handicapping experience along with his unrelenting focus are the qualities that Frank offers his clients. Frank produces extensive reports that detail his decisions. He does this for two reasons: (1) clients deserve to see the work that goes into a conclusion and (2) Frank’s attention to detail within these reports validates to his clients that he continues to work tirelessly to unearth winning angles. With that ambition in mind, Frank has expanded his areas of interest and scrutiny to include the English Premier League, the PGA Tour, the WNBA, and UFC/Boxing in recent years to go along with the major four sports of football, basketball, baseball, and hockey along with the Canadian Football League, Horse Racing, and World Cup Soccer that he has specialized in since he began Hollywood Sports in 1997. Frank believes long-term success involves not only continuing to dig deeper into the sports that he covers but also in expanding his horizons with new events that can provide additional tools in his handicapping toolbox with the goal of rewarding his clients for their loyalty over the years.
Frank uses a rating 10*, 20*, 25* rating system that also serves a guide for money management: 10* plays warrant a standard bet; 20* plays should see a doubling of that standard bet; 25* plays are Frank’s highest-rated play with the recommendation to invest 2.5 times the standard bet. For Frank’s futures reports or for events with odds such as PGA events or horse races, Frank usually offers three recommendations in his betting report: his Best Bet for the event; his Top Overlay Bet which presents his best value play relative to the odds for the event: and his Long Shot Bet for a big underdog offer value with its potential big payout. Frank’s signature play his “A-List* release which is reserved for rare and elite betting opportunities.
I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst.
Game Details
Apr 29 '21, 7:08 PM in 9h
NHL | Islanders vs Rangers
Play on: Islanders +113 at linepros
Game Analysis
Sure going 7-2 in their last nine games looks good. That's what the Rangers have done. Consider this though: The Rangers played the three bottom teams in the East - Sabres, Flyers and Devils - in...Read More
