Frank Sawyer is on a 33 of 52 (63%) CBB sides run — and he furthers his 71 of 106 (67%) CBB Game of the Month/Year run with a 25* CBB Conference Underdog of the Month at 7 PM ET tonight!
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Nets vs Spurs
At 8:40 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the San Antonio Spurs (548) minus the point(s) versus the Brooklyn Nets (547). THE SITUATION: San Antonio (17-28) has won two of their last three games after their 118-96 victory against Oklahoma City as a 7-point favorite on Wednesday. Brooklyn (28-16) has won two of their last three games with their 119-118 upset win at Washington as a 1-point underdog on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE SPURS MINUS THE POINT(S): San Antonio should build off their momentum as they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a double-digit win — and they have covered the point spread in all 5 games this season after beating their last opponent by 20 or more points. They stay at home after a rough road trip where they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games when favored. The Spurs have also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 13 home games with the Total set at 230 or higher. San Antonio does not have a great record against winning teams — but they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher. Brooklyn continues to be without Kevin Durant who is out indefinitely with his knee injury. The Nets may be due for a letdown as they have failed to cover the point spread in 21 of their last 29 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games after a win on the road. Brooklyn has also failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games after a point spread win. And while their win against the Wizards finished Over the 234 point total, the Nets have then failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games after playing a game that finished Over the Total. Moving forward, Brooklyn has failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 28 games against teams with a winning percentage of 40% or less — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games in January. The Nets are lacking size tonight with Paul Millsap missing the game for personal reasons and Nicolas Claxton doubtful with a hamstring joining Durant on the bench.
FINAL TAKE: San Antonio will be looking to avenge their 121-119 loss in Brooklyn as a 9.5-point favorite on January 9th. The Spurs have covered the point spread in 22 of their last 33 games when playing with revenge from a loss on the road including ten of these fourteen circumstances this season. The Nets have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 trips to San Antonio to play the Spurs. 10* NBA Friday Daily Discounted Deal with San Antonio Spurs (548) minus the point(s) versus the Brooklyn Nets (547). Best of luck for us — Frank.
Sacred Heart vs Mt. St. Mary’s
At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Sacred Heart Pioneers (306207) plus the points versus the Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers (306208). THE SITUATION: Sacred Heart (8-11) has won two games in a row after their 74-66 win against Central Connecticut State as a 9-point favorite on Monday. Mount St. Mary’s (6-12) has won two of their last three games after their 57-50 win at Merrimack as a 3-point underdog on Monday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE PIONEERS PLUS THE POINTS: This Sacred Heart team almost everyone from the young team that surprised expectations by finishing tied for third in the Northeast Conference last season. The Pioneers got clocked in the conference tournament against Bryant by 30 points — but they demonstrated their growth earlier this season by only losing by three points at Bryant on December 31st. Sacred Heart also scored an impressive opening victory to begin their season with an overtime win at LaSalle. The deeper analytics suggested that the Pioneers overachieved last season — however, the positive impact of head coach Anthony Latina should not be dismissed. Sacred Heart should play well in this game. They have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after a point spread loss — and they have covered the point spread in 7 straight games on the road after a point spread loss. They are 3-1 so far in conference play. Latina runs a four-guard attack that is led by Tyler Thomas and Aaron Clarke who score 19.1 and 16.2 Points-Per-Game. This team is also one of the better offensive rebounding teams in the nation that ranks 109th in the country by pulling down 30.8% of their missed shots — and the lead the Northeast Conference by rebounding 37.7% of their misses. This is an area of weakness for the Mountaineers as they rank 233rd in the nation by allowing their opponents to rebound 29.6% of their misses. Sacred Heart has not covered the point spread in two straight games — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after not covering the point spread in two of their last three games. Their offensive rebounding travels — they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Mount St. Mary’s has covered the point spread in three straight games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after covering the point spread in at least three straight games. And while the Mountaineers have played two straight Unders, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after playing at least two straight Unders. Now after playing their last four games on the road, they return home to play for the first time since December 18th. Mount St. Mary’s has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home after playing at least three straight games on the road. They have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home. The Mountaineers have a big frontline with Mezzo Offurum, Nana Opoku, and Malik Jefferson who are 6’8, 6’9, and 6’9 respectively. It is this trio that helped them win the Northeast Conference tournament and go to the Big Dance last March. But these big men don’t shoot from distance – they are a combined 8 of 28 from 3-point land this season with Offurum dominating those numbers by taking 22 of those shots (but only making five). With these three a non-threat from distance with that 28% shooting mark from 3-point land, opponents are happy to play zone defenses against them. Mount St. Mary’s went on their late-season run a year ago because Damian Chong Qui became their Mr. Everything as the primary ball-handler and scorer. He transferred to Indiana-Fort Wayne in the offseason. Head coach Dan Englestad responded by bringing in Jalen Benjamin from UAB to take over that role — but Benjamin has not been as prolific in scoring, rebounding, and assists as Chong Qui, especially in clutch time. The Mountaineers rank 323rd in the nation in eight in the conference in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency.
FINAL TAKE: Mount St. Mary’s has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games when favored. 25* CBB Northeast Conference Underdog of the Month with the Sacred Heart Pioneers (306207) plus the points versus the Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers (306208). Best of luck for us — Frank.
Frank Sawyer offers unmatched handicapping analysis over a diverse array of sports for his Hollywood Sports clients. Frank combines his over twenty years of experience as a professional sports handicapper with the drive to outwork his competition. Why invest in a sports service? Frank answers that question with a proven methodology. His model for success starts by investing a significant amount of time analyzing each team in the sports he handicaps to serve as a foundation for that season. Frank then combines his team assessments with empirical situational handicapping angles along with the latest in cutting edge analytics to identify value in the betting line. Decades of handicapping experience along with his unrelenting focus are the qualities that Frank offers his clients. Frank produces extensive reports that detail his decisions. He does this for two reasons: (1) clients deserve to see the work that goes into a conclusion and (2) Frank’s attention to detail within these reports validates to his clients that he continues to work tirelessly to unearth winning angles. With that ambition in mind, Frank has expanded his areas of interest and scrutiny to include the English Premier League, the PGA Tour, the WNBA, and UFC/Boxing in recent years to go along with the major four sports of football, basketball, baseball, and hockey along with the Canadian Football League, Horse Racing, and World Cup Soccer that he has specialized in since he began Hollywood Sports in 1997. Frank believes long-term success involves not only continuing to dig deeper into the sports that he covers but also in expanding his horizons with new events that can provide additional tools in his handicapping toolbox with the goal of rewarding his clients for their loyalty over the years.
Frank uses a rating 10*, 20*, 25* rating system that also serves a guide for money management: 10* plays warrant a standard bet; 20* plays should see a doubling of that standard bet; 25* plays are Frank’s highest-rated play with the recommendation to invest 2.5 times the standard bet. For Frank’s futures reports or for events with odds such as PGA events or horse races, Frank usually offers three recommendations in his betting report: his Best Bet for the event; his Top Overlay Bet which presents his best value play relative to the odds for the event: and his Long Shot Bet for a big underdog offer value with its potential big payout. Frank’s signature play his “A-List* release which is reserved for rare and elite betting opportunities.
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