Brandon Lee

40* (MLB) – Situational Run Line MASSACRE (A’s -1.5, +125)

I will take my chances here with the A’s on the -1.5 run line as they get ready to host the Tigers Thursday night. I think it’s a good spot to fade Detroit after they just swept the Astros in a 3-game road series. I got a lot more faith in Oakland staying hot, as they have won 4 straight, scoring 6 or more runs in each of those victories.

I also see a big edge on the mound with the A’s sending out Sean Manaea against the Tigers Tarik Skubal. Manaea is coming off a great start at Houston, where he gave up just 1 run in 6 innings. He’s also got a 2.84 ERA and 1.105 WHIP in 3 starts against the Tigers. Skubal has given up 8 runs on 9 hits (3 HRs) and 5 walks in 9 1/3 innings over his first two starts. The big concern there is both of those outings came against an awful Indians offense. Give me the A’s -1.5 (+125)!

50* (MLB) Thursday *MAX UNIT* Top Play (Under 8.5)

I love the UNDER 8.5 in Thursday’s matchup between the Nationals and Diamondbacks. I know Arizona’s Merrill Kelly has a 8.10 ERA and 1.700 WHIP in his first 2 starts, but his two starts have come on the road against the Padres and Rockies. It should be much easier here against a sub-par Nationals offense that has already been shutout 3 times in the early going.

Same can be said for Washington starter Pat Corbin, who had a rough first start at the Dodgers. He really just had one bad inning, giving up 5 of his 6 runs in the 2nd inning. He should be much better and the Dbacks are only scoring 3.6 runs/game and hitting .209 as a team on the road this season.

The last big factor here is the weather. Temps are expected to only be in the mid 50s with close to a 15 mph wind blowing straight in from left field. Give me the UNDER 8.5!

FREE PICK – Braves/Marlins UNDER 8
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 953/954

I like the UNDER 8 in Thursday’s NL East matchup between the Braves and Marlins. For starters, not exactly ideal scoring conditions with temps in the mid 60s. I also think the early start time favors both starters in this one.

Atlanta will send out 22-year-old Ian Anderson, who has gotten off to a bit of a slow start. Both of Anderson’s first two starts came against the Phillies. First time around he limited them to just 1 run in 5 innings, but gave up 4 in 5 1/3 the second go. What I like seeing is the 13/3 K/BB ratio in 10 1/3 innings of work.

Miami will counter with 23-year-old Trevor Rogers, who has looked great out of the gates. Anderson has a 1.80 ERA and 1.100 WHIP in 2 starts. In his last outing at the Mets he tossed 6 scoreless innings with 10 K’s. Also worth noting is that Rogers posted a 3.21 ERA in 3 road starts last season compared to a 9.00 ERA in 4 night starts. Give me the UNDER 8!

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40* (NBA) – Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 212)

I’ll take my chances her with the UNDER 212 in Thursday’s TNT late night matchup between the Celtics and Lakers. It doesn’t matter who is available to play, when these two franchises face off, they are going to treat it a little differently. Add in the fact that it’s on TNT and I think we get a really strong defensive effort from two really good defensive teams.

UNDER has also been a really strong play for both of these teams of late. UNDER has cashed in 8 of the last 10 for Boston and 10 of the last 15 for LA. UNDER is also 9-1 in Boston’s last 10 as a favorite and 6-0 in the Lakers last 6 at home. Give me the UNDER 212!