ASA

ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Philadelphia Flyers Money Line +140 over Washington Capitals at 7 PM ET – Yesterday is a perfect example of what you see happen a lot at this point in the season…upsets! 4 of the 7 NHL games were won by the underdogs and one of the only 3 that wasn’t sure came very close! In fact the only game decided by just a single goal margin was one in which a favorite (Blackhawks) won in OT. So it was very close to a 5-2 day for dogs and, the point is, this is a lot of value and something that often starts happening late in the season and we only have about 4 weeks of regular season NHL left to go. There is a lot of zig zag late in the season. The Capitals are in a pattern of 2 wins – 2 losses – 2 wins – 2 losses and now enter this game off back to back wins including a huge one in their most recent game. That 8-1 win over Boston could absolutely leave Washington a little flat for this game. As for Flyers/Caps, these teams have met 4 times this season and the road team has won all 4 meetings! Philadelphia got a big win Saturday over Boston but then fell apart late versus Buffalo Sunday. Philly still enters today’s action still alive in the playoff picture in the East and should prove to be the hungrier team in comparison with a Capitals team off a revenging win versus the big, bad Bruins which was also a potential first round playoff preview – that was a big game for Washington! Take the FLYERS

ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Run Line: San Diego Padres -1.5 runs (-135) over Pittsburgh Pirates, Tuesday at 6:35 PM ET – The Padres are 4-0 on the road this season. They have won 8 games overall and each of the last 7 victories have been by 2+ runs. There is no hesitation in laying the 1.5 runs and getting a very fair -135 price on San Diego in this one. The Pirates have played 10 games this season and 9 of the 10 were games decided by 2 or more runs. The Padres have the top ranked bullpen in MLB so far with a 1.00 ERA. The Pirates bullpen ranks as one of the worst in the majors with a 5.88 ERA and San Diego took advantage in yesterday’s game and can do the same today. However, they should not need to! The Padres can get the early jump on today’s game by getting to Chad Kuhl early and often. He is having major command issues and already has 8 walks in 7 innings this season. Now he faces a Padres team that has been one of the best in the majors in terms of drawing walks early this season and also one that does not strike out much as they rank very well in that category as well. San Diego is averaging just 7 K’s per game (most teams average 9 or 10!). What this means is that the Padres will be patient at the plate against Kuhl who is struggling with command and then when he does throw strikes San Diego is likely to put the ball in play. This likely often comes with guys on base due to all the walks. You can see where we going with this…some big innings likely in this one! The Pirates are 0-4 against teams with a winning record this season and they face a tall task facing Blake Snell here. He is still looking for his first regular season win since coming to San Diego but this is the perfect spot for it! Snell has been dominant, including spring training, as he has allowed only 2 earned runs in 24 innings in spring training and regular season action combined for the Padres. As you can see above, all the key edges are with the road team in this one and we are grabbing them on the run line. Blowout alert! Bet the San Diego Padres -1.5 runs in early evening action Tuesday.

ASA top play on 10* OVER 223 Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto Raptors, 7:40 PM ET – We feel the line on this game has been heavily influenced by each teams last games and is much lower than it should be. The Hawks are coming off a game against the struggling Hornets (7-3 Under their last 10 games) where they totaled just 206 points. The Raptors are coming off the defensive minded, slow paced Knicks and totaled just 198 total points. As far as the Hawks are concerned, they had gone Over in 7 of their last nine games prior to playing Charlotte. Atlanta games have totaled more than this number in 9 of their last ten. Atlanta is 8th in the NBA in offensive efficiency at 1.155-points per possession. As we mentioned, the Raptors are coming off a very low scoring game but prior to that had put up 135-points against the Cavs and totaled 235 the game before against the Bulls. Toronto also has another 130-point game in their last six games, so they are more than capable of putting up a big number here. Toronto is top 13 of the league in offensive efficiency and pace. The first two meetings of this season between these two teams has resulted in 241 and 253 total points. Bet OVER here.