Alex Smart
Alex Smart Sports- NFL/CFB/CBB/NBA action now on board. Get the info the books do not want you to have.
PREMIUM PICK STREAKS
NHL Picks (+6338) 293-222 L515 57%
All Sports Totals (+5816) 952-821 L1773 54%
MLB Money Lines (+5293) 390-329 L719 54%
NBA Picks (+4989) 1037-913 L1950 53%
NCAA-F Picks (+3048) 764-667 L1431 53%
Basketball Totals (+2384) 585-513 L1098 53%
Football Totals (+1569) 183-153 L336 54%
NCAA-B Totals (+1258) 128-104 L232 55%
WNBA Sides (+683) 114-99 L213 54%
NFLX Totals (+554) 11-5 L16 69%
CFL Sides (+411) 51-42 L93 55%
Short-Term Subscription Options
With this subscription you get EVERY SINGLE PLAY released for the day of your purchase.
One day NCAA-B of Alex Smart- Get all of todays College Hoops releases.
With this subscription you’ll get every single play released for 3 consecutive days! This is our most popular subscription during football season because when purchased Saturday morning it gets you all of Saturday and Sunday’s picks PLUS any plays on Monday Night Football!
Looking for some great value? Pick up a weekly package and get SEVEN DAYS full days of picks! It’s easy to see why this is one of the most popular choices on the site.
Long-Term Subscription Options
SAVE A TON of money with a 30 Day subscription! You’ll literally pay a fraction of the cost by signing up for a full month instead of making a single purchase each day!
**2x Top 10 NHL handicapper!**
#13 ranked NHL handicapper this season!
Now on a 7-2 run with my last 9 NHL picks! $1,000/game players have cashed in $63,380 on my NHL picks since 10/04/17!
This subscription includes EVERY NHL PREMIUM PICK I release through the end of the Stanley Cup! Join now and start cashing in on more winners!
**2014 NBA Champion!**
**3x Top 10 NBA handicapper!**
Currently on a 5-2 NBA run since 02/09/21.
This subscription includes EVERY NBA PREMIUM PICK I release through the end of the NBA Finals! Join now and start cashing in on more winners!
YESTERDAY’S PLAYS
| Match Up | Pick | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clippers vs Wolves | Wolves +9 -110 | Premium | 119-112 | Win | 100 | Show |
| Pacers vs Nets | Pacers +1½ -110 | Premium | 94-104 | Loss | -110 | Show |
| Bucks vs Suns | Suns +5½ -110 | Premium | 124-125 | Win | 100 | Show |
| Cavs vs Nuggets | UNDER 223 -110 | Premium | 95-133 | Loss | -110 | Show |
| Hawks vs Mavs | Hawks +4½ -109 | Premium | 117-118 | Win | 100 | Show |
| Wichita State vs UCF | Wichita State -1 -115 | Premium | 61-60 | Push | 0 | Show |
| VMI vs Western Carolina | Western Carolina -1 -109 | Premium | 72-74 | Win | 100 | Show |
| Wisconsin vs Nebraska | Nebraska +12 -108 | Premium | 61-48 | Loss | -108 | Show |
| San Jose State vs San Diego State | San Jose State +29 -110 | Premium | 55-77 | Win | 100 | Show |
| Marquette vs Villanova | Marquette +11 -110 | Premium | 64-96 | Loss | -110 | Show |
| Northern Iowa vs Drake | Northern Iowa +10 -105 | Premium | 59-80 | Loss | -105 | Show |
| Furman vs NC-Greensboro | Furman +2 -110 | Premium | 58-64 | Loss | -110 | Show |
PICKS IN PROGRESS
Purdue vs Minnesota
[Lost: -$117]
No comment
Penguins vs Islanders
[Lost: -$104]
These two teams the Islanders and Penguins are currently playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum. The Islanders are on a 2 game winning streak, after some unexpected rest, and now look refreshed. Meanwhile, the Pens, have lost 4 of their L/5 and 2 straight . Tonight I know the Pens want revenge for a loss suffered to the Isles last time out, but in the recent past PITTSBURGH is 0-7 ATS in road games revenging a road loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons and are 4-12 ATS in road games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons. When the Isles are at the top of their game, and the defensive system they use is being fully utilized by their core , this team is frustrating to play against and with that said, Ill recommend we back Barry Trotz and company to bring home the cash tonight.
Play on the Islanders
Red Wings vs Predators
[Lost: -$100]
The Red Wings and Preds according to my power rankings are pretty evenly matched. Both are slumping but I like the value attached to the Wings and are very much worth a wager at these elevated ML offerings vs a Nashville team on tired legs playing their 3rd game in 4 nights . Note: Predators are 7-17 in their last 24 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation. Detroit is 6-0 L/6 visits to Nashville.
NHL Road teams against the money line (DETROIT) – off a road loss against a division rival against opponent off an embarrassing loss by 4 goals or more to a division rival are 35-14 L/23 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Detroit to win
Sharks vs Kings
After staging two third-period comebacks in the past three games, the Sharks party tricks look to be over. From a projections stand point which includes my perspective of a less than flattering overall form, the Sharks are fade material in this spot.Sharks are 0-5 in their last 5 games following a win. I know the Kings are in a slump, (0-4-1) but all good and bad runs eventually come to end .
Play on LAK to win
76ers vs Blazers
Philadelphia is red hot, and Im betting on the Blazers trying to be more physical with their opponent in an effort to slow them down and take away from their flow. this Im betting results in a lower scoring tilt than the lines makers are expecting.
Under is 5-2 in 76ers last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Rivers is 37-20 UNDER revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7or more in all games he has coached in his career with a combined average of 197.1 ppg scored.
NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PHILADELPHIA) – a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games are 30-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.
Play UNDER
UNLV vs Boise State
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
Utah vs California
[Won: $100]
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
Raptors vs Celtics
[Lost: -$109]
The Raptors have had this game circled on their schedule for a while, as they look for revenge for a Celtics team that eliminated from last seasons play off bubble. With the Celtics off an extended road trip, Im betting they will take time to get used to home cooking and vulnerable in this spot vs a Raptors side that has surpassed 120 points in each of their past five games.
Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover
Pacers vs Pistons
[Won: $100]
Detroit ranks 23rd in offence behind the 24th ranked pace, while Indiana is ranked middle of the road in all key categories. From a projections stand point my number is closer to 216 which gives us a one possession advantage to the under.
NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DETROIT) – after a game where they covered the spread, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season are 36-15 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate.
NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (INDIANA) – after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, vs. division opponents are 216- 142 L/24 seasons for a 60% conversion rate.
Play UNDER
Lightning vs Panthers
[Won: $143]
The Florida Panthers are off to one of their best starts in franchise history, with a 7-1-2 record in their first 10 games and must not be underestimated as dogs vs the Stanley Cup champion TB Bolts. Im betting on a Panthers side that has procured one of the best offenses in the league, ranked 13th with a 3.10 goals-per-game average will keep up here . Their power play is ranked second in the league, with a conversion rate of 37%, and with guys like Forward Noel Acciari in the lineup wont be pushed around by a physical TB squad. Advantage contrarian line , favoring the Panthers.
TAMPA BAY is 9-14 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Home team is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings.Panthers are 7-3 in their last 10 vs. NHL. Panthers are 7-3 in their last 10 vs. Central.
Play on Florida to win
Idaho vs Idaho State
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
Oregon vs Arizona State
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
Morehead State vs Tennessee State
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
USC vs Washington
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
UCLA vs Washington State
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
Eastern Illinois vs Jacksonville State
[Lost: -$110]
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
Weber State vs Montana
[Won: $100]
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
SERVICE BIO
Experience & Awards
I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years.
My picks have been documented for 20 years. I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.
My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.
I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!
I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.
I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis.
Handicapping Approach
I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.
My handicapping can be best referred to as the ‘The Smart Money Approach”. I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.
Sports Betting Is An Investment
Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures.
Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.
I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.
In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.
I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!
This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!
Money Management
To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.
If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets.
This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.
Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.
1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.
2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.
3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.
4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.
5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.
6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.
These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.
I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.
*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled. These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.
