The NASCAR Cup Series moved to the Dover International Speedway in Delaware for a double-header this weekend. Denny Hamlin passed our Best Bet Martin Truex yesterday in the final laps to take the checkered flag in the first of two races scheduled there this weekend. Today’s Drydene 311 will only be 311 laps rather than the traditional 400 for the “monster mile” here given the doubleheader nature of this event. This is a mile oval course that is most closely resembles the Bristol International Speedway due to its 24-degree banked concrete turn. The best track history numbers require us to skip last year where the drivers used a high downforce race package. The drivers this weekend will return to the low downforce high 750 horsepower package that was previously used here up until 2018.

Our Best Bet to win this race is on Kyle Busch who is listed at +600 according to Bovada. The reigning Cup Series champion has struggled this year with no victories on the circuit. Busch has complained that he has been hampered by the lack of practice time on the tracks given COVID restrictions. Yesterday’s race serves as his de-facto practice dry run — so he should be able to make some nice adjustments today with his Joe Gibbs Racing team. He did finish in 3rd place yesterday so he should be very confident about this race. That was his third top-five finish in his last four starts. Busch will start in the 18th position today given the inverted order with the top-twenty finishers yesterday. Not only will he be starting ahead of Joe Gibbs teammates Hamlin and Truex but he should be comfortable in this spot after being relegated to the 22nd starting position yesterday. Busch is linked with Chase Elliott in head-to-head propositions. Elliott comes off winning at Daytona last week in a road course that he thrives in. These intermediate 1-mile races are not Elliott’s strong suit. Elliott did finish in 5th place yesterday but he had just a 22nd place finish at Bristol earlier this year in a similar style race. Since 2017, Elliott ranks 7th in the Cup Series on intermediate 1-mile tracks with an average finish of 12.26 with one victory — as compared to Busch who ranks 3rd on those courses with an average finish of 8.37 with four victories along the way. Take Kyle Busch (7619) in head-to-head betting propositions versus Elliott (7620).  Best of luck for us -- Frank.

The NASCAR Cup Series moved to the Dover International Speedway in Delaware for a double-header this weekend. Denny Hamlin passed our Best Bet Martin Truex yesterday in the final laps to take the checkered flag in the first of two races scheduled there this weekend. Today’s Drydene 311 will only be 311 laps rather than the traditional 400 for the “monster mile” here given the doubleheader nature of this event. This is a mile oval course that is most closely resembles the Bristol International Speedway due to its 24-degree banked concrete turn. The best track history numbers require us to skip last year where the drivers used a high downforce race package. The drivers this weekend will return to the low downforce high 750 horsepower package that was previously used here up until 2018.

Our Top Overlay Bet on driver who offers the most value relative to the odds is on Brad Keselowski who Bovada lists at +1000. Keselowksi finished in 9th place yesterday but the deeper number are encouraging for him today. He finished 4th in best average driving position while ranking 6th in best average green flag speed. Keselowski won at Bristol earlier this year which is the track that most closely resembles Dover. Keselowski is a savvy veteran driver who has won three times on the Cup Series this year with two of the wins being vulture victories helped by late restarts — so a race that may feature plenty of crashes and restarts plays into his wheelhouse. Keselowski had registered seven straight top-nine finishes before suffering a crash at Michigan two weeks ago where he finished 39th. He responded with a 13th place last week at Daytona — but he should be primed for a big performance this week. He is linked with Jimmie Johnson in head-to-head betting propositions. Johnson has a strong track record here at Dover in his career — and he finished in 7th place yesterday. That came on the heels of a 4th place finish last week at Daytona. But Johnson had not finished better than 10th place in his previous twelve races as he continues his swan song season a step or two behind the top drivers. He now draws the 14th starting position leaving behind Keselowski at the 12th spot. Take Keselowski (7627) in head-to-head betting propositions versus Kyle Busch (7628). Best of luck for us -- Frank.

The NASCAR Cup Series moved to the Dover International Speedway in Delaware for a double-header this weekend. Denny Hamlin passed our Best Bet Martin Truex yesterday in the final laps to take the checkered flag in the first of two races scheduled there this weekend. Today’s Drydene 311 will only be 311 laps rather than the traditional 400 for the “monster mile” here given the doubleheader nature of this event. This is a mile oval course that is most closely resembles the Bristol International Speedway due to its 24-degree banked concrete turn. The best track history numbers require us to skip last year where the drivers used a high downforce race package. The drivers this weekend will return to the low downforce high 750 horsepower package that was previously used here up until 2018.

Our Long Shot Bet is on a driver outside the top-ten favorites is on Ryan Blaney who is listed at +2800 to win this race. Blaney comes off a 14th place result yesterday which will give him the 7th starting spot for today’s race. Blaney is in a mini-slump having finished just 31st and 37th places in his previous two starts at Daytona and Michigan. But Blaney had finished in 7th place or better in his four of his previous six starts — and he won at Talladega earlier this year. Blaney does generally perform better on the longer tracks but he does have a good history at Bristol that profiles closely to this race. Frankly, it is often that Blaney’s odds drop this low — so he is worth the flyer especially with the advantageous starting position relative to the favorites. Blaney is linked with Erik Jones for head-to-head betting propositions. Jones finished 12th yesterday which was his fifth straight race where he failed to crack the top-ten results. After seeing his contract not renewed by Joe Gibbs Racing, Jones is in limbo right now. Jones has consistently middling results — and Blaney has the better upside. Take Blaney (7639) in head-to-head betting propositions versus Jones (7640). Best of luck for us — Frank.

The NASCAR Cup Series moves to the Dover International Speedway in Delaware for a double-header this weekend. Today’s Drydene 311 will only be 311 laps rather than the traditional 400 for the “monster mile” here. This is a mile oval course that is most closely resembles the Bristol International Speedway due to its 24-degree banked concrete turn. The best track history numbers require us to skip last year where the drivers used a high downforce race package. The drivers this weekend will return to the low downforce high 750 horsepower package that was previously used here up until 2018.

Our Best Bet to win this race is on Martin Truex who is listed at +400 at Bovada. Truex may be the hottest driver on the Cup Series right now outside of Kevin Harvick and Denny Hamlin as he has earned 3rd place finishes in five straight events. Truex thrives on intermediate tracks like this one-mile oval. Truex has a great track history here as well with two victories in his last twelve trips here over the last six years. He has not finished worse than 15th place in all twelve of those races. His average finish of 4.83 here since 2017 is the best mark of all the drivers in the field. Truex is linked with Kevin Harvick in head-to-head betting propositions for this race. I am fading Harvick for this initial race with him drawing the ten spot for starting positions. With this being a shorter race, starting position plays a critical role — so it will be difficult for Harvick to advance to the front of this race. Harvick’s favorite horsepower package is not the 750 higher-powered package as none of his victories this year have come with it. Take Truex (7504) versus Harvick (7503) in head-to-head betting propositions. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

The NASCAR Cup Series moves to the Dover International Speedway in Delaware for a double-header this weekend. Today’s Drydene 311 will only be 311 laps rather than the traditional 400 for the “monster mile” here. This is a mile oval course that is most closely resembles the Bristol International Speedway due to its 24-degree banked concrete turn. The best track history numbers require us to skip last year where the drivers used a high downforce race package. The drivers this weekend will return to the low downforce high 750 horsepower package that was previously used here up until 2018.

Our Top Overlay Bet on driver who offers the most value relative to the odds is on Brad Keselowski who Bovada lists at +1200. Keselowski won at Bristol earlier this year which is the track that most closely resembles Dover. Keselowski is a savvy veteran driver who has won three times on the Cup Series this year with two of the wins being vulture victories helped by late restarts — so a race that may feature plenty of crashes and restarts plays into his wheelhouse. Keselowski had registered seven straight top-nine finishes before suffering a crash at Michigan two weeks ago where he finished 39th. He responded with a 13th place last week at Daytona — but he should be primed for a big performance this week. He is linked with Kyle Busch in head-to-head betting propositions. The reigning Cup Series champion has struggled this year with no victories on the circuit. Busch has complained that he has been hampered by the lack of practice time on the tracks given COVID restrictions. Busch has also struggled in bumpy races this year where he has too often seen himself get the worst end of some exchanges — and that is not a good sign for this afternoon’s race. That is what happened to Busch last week at Daytona where he finished 37th. Take Keselowski (7504) in head-to-head betting propositions versus Kyle Busch (7503). Best of luck for us -- Frank.

The NASCAR Cup Series moves to the Dover International Speedway in Delaware for a double-header this weekend. Today’s Drydene 311 will only be 311 laps rather than the traditional 400 for the “monster mile” here. This is a mile oval course that is most closely resembles the Bristol International Speedway due to its 24-degree banked concrete turn. The best track history numbers require us to skip last year where the drivers used a high downforce race package. The drivers this weekend will return to the low downforce high 750 horsepower package that was previously used here up until 2018.

Our Long Shot Bet on a driver listed outside the top-ten favorites is on Clint Bowyer who Bovada lists at +3000 to win this race. Bowyer finished in 2nd place at Bristol which is the race that most closely resembles the track here at Dover. Bowyer also owns the 5th best Driver Rating in the four races that took place at Dover in 2017 and 2018 with the low downforce 750 horsepower package. Bowyer comes off a 6th place result last week at Daytona — and he has the 4th starting position for this race. Bowyer is linked with Matt Kenseth in head-to-head betting propositions. Kenseth finished in 2nd place at the Brickyard but he has not finished better than 15th place in his next eight starts. Kenseth also finished in 16th place at Bristol. Take Bowyer (7577) in head-to-head betting propositions versus Kenseth (7578). Best of luck for us — Frank.

The Go Bowling 235 will take place at the Daytona International Speedway. This is a much-anticipated race because it will combine the 2.5-mile superspeedway oval track with a right-turn that add a road course with fourteen turns for an added challenge to these drivers. This 3.61-mile “rivol” road course addition is usually reserved for the sports car but given the havoc that COVID-19 placed on the schedules this year, the NASCAR Cup Series decided to add it to their schedule this season to see how it works. This will be a new experience for most of these drivers — and no one will have the benefit of practice runs given COVID restrictions. Just 65 lap given the more than 3 1/2 miles around the winding course. I will be looking to superspeedway results along with road race results — but that data only goes so far given this unique race. I love it! The sports cars race on this roval track is the Roval 24 — and there are a few stock car drivers who have competed in that event on one-off appearances.

Our Top Overlay Bet on the driver who offers the most value relative to their odds is on Kevin Harvick who is listed at +700 by Bovada. Harvick has been the best driver on the NASCAR Cup Series with six victories after last weekend’s sweep in Michigan. It is not often we get the chance to throw a chip on Harvick at this price. The veteran is one of the few drivers who has experienced here at the Rolex 24 — and he is a winner of one of the last ten road course races in the last ten on the Cup Series circuit. We might see several crashes which mean plenty of restarts. Harvick may be the best driver on the tour — and those skills will be at a premium today. Harvick is linked with Denny Hamlin for head-to-head betting propositions. I have backed Hamlin often this year — especially when he is been getting a better price than Harvick in his duels with him. Yet despite his five victories this season, he has too often lost the head-to-head battle with Harvick. I will take Harvick’s edge in experience in this race along with road course record. Take Harvick (7501) over Hamlin (7502) in head-to-head betting propositions.  Best of luck for us — Frank.

The Go Bowling 235 will take place at the Daytona International Speedway. This is a much-anticipated race because it will combine the 2.5-mile superspeedway oval track with a right-turn that add a road course with fourteen turns for an added challenge to these drivers. This 3.61-mile “rivol” road course addition will take place at the Daytona International Speedway. This is a much-anticipated race because it will combine the 2.5-mile superspeedway oval track with a right-turn that add a road course with fourteen turns for an added challenge to these drivers. This 3.61-mile “rivol” road course addition is usually reserved for the sports car but given the havoc that COVID-19 placed on the schedules this year, the NASCAR Cup Series decided to add it to their schedule this season to see how it works. This will be a new experience for most of these drivers — and no one will have the benefit of practice runs given COVID restrictions. Just 65 lap given the more than 3 1/2 miles around the winding course. I will be looking to superspeedway results along with road race results — but that data only goes so far given this unique race. I love it! The sports cars race on this roval track is the Roval 24 — and there are a few stock car drivers who have competed in that event on one-off appearances.

Our Long Shot Bet on a driver outside the top ten favorites to win is on Jimmie Johnson who is listed at +3000 at Bovada to win this race. Johnson is desperate to win one more time on the Cup Series in his swan song season — and this could be the place. Johnson has two 2nd place finishes at the Rolex 24 with the last one being in 2008. Johnson was also winning the Charlotte Roval road course race similar to this layout in 2018 before losing the lead on the final lap. Johnson also has eight starts at the IMSA Michelin Pilot Challenge here at Daytona using this roval format. In what could be a chaotic event, Johnson’s long experience and elite driving skills make him a live dog. Said Johnson about his possibilities:  "I am so excited for this weekend at Daytona … The challenges of this track – there will be some really high speeds and then the chicane off of turn four will change that to some degree. It’s going to be a balance of aero efficiency on the straightaways and mechanical grip for the tight little infield section. It’s going to be really interesting for those who have never taken a lap on this track." Johnson is linked with Aric Almirola in head-to-head betting propositions this week. Almirola is having a nice season after finishing in 16th and 6th place over the weekend in Michigan. But he does not have the same experience at this course as Johnson nor the pedigree on road courses. Take Johnson (7545) versus Almirola (7546) in head-to-head betting propositions. Best of luck for us — Frank.

The Go Bowling 235 will take place at the Daytona International Speedway. This is a much-anticipated race because it will combine the 2.5-mile superspeedway oval track with a right-turn that add a road course with fourteen turns for an added challenge to these drivers. This 3.61-mile “rivol” road course addition will take place at the Daytona International Speedway. This is a much-anticipated race because it will combine the 2.5-mile superspeedway oval track with a right-turn that add a road course with fourteen turns for an added challenge to these drivers. This 3.61-mile “rivol” road course addition is usually reserved for the sports car but given the havoc that COVID-19 placed on the schedules this year, the NASCAR Cup Series decided to add it to their schedule this season to see how it works. This will be a new experience for most of these drivers — and no one will have the benefit of practice runs given COVID restrictions. Just 65 lap given the more than 3 1/2 miles around the winding course. I will be looking to superspeedway results along with road race results — but that data only goes so far given this unique race. I love it! The sports cars race on this roval track is the Roval 24 — and there are a few stock car drivers who have competed in that event on one-off appearances.

Our Best Bet to win this race is on Kyle Busch who Bovada lists at +525. The reigning NASCAR Cup Series champion has endured a very disappointing season this year. He has been unlucky by being on the wrong end of some ill-fortuned bumps on the track. However, the main issue has been the lack of practice time on these tracks from week-to-week which Busch has been very vocal about making him feel out of synch. Busch seems to have an edge if he has more course information and experience — and losing out on practice sessions diminishes from his usual edge. But now most of his competitors will have no experience here — and Busch has raced here at the Rolex 24. Busch maintains one of the most diverse schedules on the Cup Series — and while I think that detracts from his chances at times, these experiences should serve him well this afternoon. Said Busch about this challenge today: "I think anytime you’re able to go to a racetrack and gain some experience, run some laps, obviously it helps with the visual, the pickup points, how the transition of the corner and so on, it helps … There’s definitely – I hope, anyway – there’s a little added advantage there. The big difference is the cars I drove in the GTD class, they’re very technologically advanced with the brakes and traction control, so a lot of things you can really attack with those cars, plus a lot of downforce, and they’re lighter." Despite zero wins this season, Busch has been racing well — he has four top-five finishes in his last six races after 4th and 5th place results last weekend at Michigan’s two races. Busch is linked with Joey Logano for head-to-head betting propositions. Logano finished in 5th place last Sunday at the Michigan International Speedway. Yet he tends to perform better on intermediate tracks in the 1 1/2 to 2-mile range like last weekend. He is not as experienced on road courses as Busch either. Take Busch (7501) in head-to-head betting propositions versus Logano. Best of luck for us — Frank.

The NASCAR Cup Series stays in Michigan today to complete the weekend doubleheader at Michigan International Speedway in Brooklyn. Kevin Harvick won the Firekeepers Casino 400 race yesterday. This is an intermediate 2-mile oval track that was repaved in 2012. Given the doubleheader of two Cup Series races here this weekend, this race has been shortened to 312 miles consisting of 156 laps as it was yesterday. The same tire combination and horsepower package from yesterday will also carry over today.

Our Best Bet to win this race is on Denny Hamlin who is listed at +550 by Bovada. Hamlin and Harvick have been the top two drivers on the NASCAR Cup Series this year with both owning five victories after Harvick’s victory yesterday. I shied away from Hamlin yesterday as he has not been as effective with this tire combination in previous races in Las Vegas, Kentucky, and Texas. Hamlin was in a position to win this race yesterday (with so many late restarts reshuffling the leaderboard).  Hamlin finished 2nd yesterday in Driver Rating, most fast laps, and average running position despite ending the day in 6th place. That disappointing 6th place result does give him the 15th starting position (with the top-twenty results from yesterday creating the inverse order for today’s starting positions) — and that has him start ahead of Harvick as well as contenders Brad Keselowski, Ryan Blaney, and Martin Truex. Hamlin has won at the Michigan International Speedway twice in his career and he finished 2nd in the August race here last year. Additionally, I had Hamlin tentatively circled for this race because he won the Sunday race at Pocono earlier this year after racing there the day before in NASCAR’s first-weekend doubleheader event which has been scheduled to accommodate the changes needed after the stoppage of play in March. Hamlin is linked with Blaney in head-to-head betting propositions for this race. I have backed Blaney a number of times this year because he is driving one of the fastest cars on the circuit. But Blaney is simply not one of the best drivers — he is at a disadvantage when the races are interrupted since it detracts from the speed of his car. Given the quick turnaround of this race, I think driver talent will play a larger role today given the experience these professionals got on this track yesterday. I think yesterday was the race for Blaney to win — his 4th place result came on the heels of two straight 20th place finishes. Blaney has never won at the Michigan International Speedway and has just one victory this year on the Cup Series tour. Take Hamlin (7617) in head-to-head betting propositions versus Blaney (7618). Best of luck for us — Frank.

The NASCAR Cup Series stays in Michigan today to complete the weekend doubleheader at Michigan International Speedway in Brooklyn. Kevin Harvick won the Firekeepers Casino 400 race yesterday. This is an intermediate 2-mile oval track that was repaved in 2012. Given the doubleheader of two Cup Series races here this weekend, this race has been shortened to 312 miles consisting of 156 laps as it was yesterday. The same tire combination and horsepower package from yesterday will also carry over today.

Our Long Shot Bet on a driver outside the top-ten favorites is on Erik Jones who is listed at +3300 odds according to Bovada. Jones finished in 11th place yesterday but the deeper analytics suggest he deserved a better fate. Jones had the 4th highest average running position along with earning the 5th best driver rating and the 6th most fastest laps. The bevy of restarts late in that race pushed Jones back to 11th. I was impressed with Jones’ effort yesterday despite getting the news that Joe Gibbs Racing will not be extending his contract next year. He gets the 10th starting slot for this race with the top-twenty results from yesterday creating the inverted starting positions today — so he will start ahead of the top favorites which will offer him an early advantage. Jones does have two top-six finishes in his last four races. Jones has a 3rd place finish on this track in 2017. Jones is lined with Jimmie Johnson for head-to-head betting propositions. It just is not working out for Johnson in his farewell season on the Cup Series. He has failed to finish inside the top-ten in eleven straight Cup Series races. Johnson finished in 12th place yesterday which was his seventh straight race at the Michigan International Speedway where he failed to finish inside the top-ten for Hendrick Motorsports. Take Jones (7649) in head-to-head betting propositions versus Johnson (7650). Best of luck for us — Frank.

The NASCAR Cup Series stays in Michigan today to complete the weekend doubleheader at Michigan International Speedway in Brooklyn. Kevin Harvick won the Firekeepers Casino 400 race yesterday. This is an intermediate 2-mile oval track that was repaved in 2012. Given the doubleheader of two Cup Series races here this weekend, this race has been shortened to 312 miles consisting of 156 laps as it was yesterday. The same tire combination and horsepower package from yesterday will also carry over today.

Our Top Overlay Bet on the driver who offers the most value relative to their odds is on Kyle Busch who Bovada lists at +750 to win this race. Busch is a driver that I have had circled in sharpie for weeks for this very situation. The reigning NASCAR Cup Series champion has endured a very disappointing season this year. He has been unlucky by being on the wrong end of some ill-fortuned bumps on the track. However, the main issue has been the lack of practice time on these tracks from week-to-week which Busch has been very vocal about making him feel out of synch. Yesterday’s race serves as his de-facto practice session for today — so he should finally return to the level of comfort with his car and the track along with his game plan with his Joe Gibbs Racing team. The record indicates that Busch finished in 38th place in that Sunday second race at Pocono in June — but the eye test from that race was that he got off to a fantastic start after finishing in 5th place the day before. Coincidentally, Busch also finished in 5th place yesterday which was his 3rd top-five finish in his last five races on the NASCAR Cup Series. Busch leads the field in the average finish here at the Michigan International Speedway since 2017 with five straight top-six finishes after yesterday. And he was bumped once again yesterday which will surely leave him and his driving team seething even more than they have all spring and summer. Busch is linked with Ryan Blaney in head-to-head betting propositions for this race. I have backed Blaney a number of times this year because he is driving one of the fastest cars on the circuit. But Blaney is simply not one of the best drivers — he is at a disadvantage when the races are interrupted since it detracts from the speed of his car. Given the quick turnaround of this race, I think driver talent will play a larger role today given the experience these professionals got on this track yesterday. I think yesterday was the race for Blaney to win — his 4th place result came on the heels of two straight 20th place finishes. Blaney has never won at the Michigan International Speedway and has just one victory this year on the Cup Series tour. Take Kyle Busch (7631) in head-to-head betting propositions versus Blaney (7632). Best of luck for us -- Frank.

The NASCAR Cup Series moves to Michigan this week to the Michigan International Speedway in Brooklyn. This is an intermediate 2-mile oval track that was repaved in 2012. With the weekend doubleheader of two Cup Series races here over the next two days, this race has been shortened to 312 miles consisting of 156 laps.

Our Top Overlay Bet on the driver who has the most value relative to their odds is on Ryan Blaney who Bovada lists at +825 to win this race. Blaney was in great form earlier this summer but 20th place finishes at Kansas and New Hampshire have been step backs for the #12 Ford car. But Blaney won earlier at Talledega while consistently having one of the fastest cars on tour this year. Restarts have ruined many of Blaney’s efforts this season with him getting passed early — but he should benefit from the repaved surface limiting crashes and restarts. Goodyear is issuing the same tires as they did for the races in Las Vegas, Kentucky, and Texas for this race. Blaney leads the field in average racing position, fastest laps run, most laps led, and driver rating for those races. And while he has never won this race, he has three top-tens including a 3rd place result in 2017. Ford cars have won here in each of the last four races — and he drew a prime starting position at #4 which should help him be in a strong position all afternoon. Blaney is linked with Brad Keselowski in head-to-head betting propositions for this race. Keselowski comes off a victory last week in New Hampshire —and Team Penske signed him to a contract extension this week. He may be due for an emotional letdown for this race and the long weekend in Michigan. Keselowski has never won on this track while ranking just 11th in average finish here since 2017. Take Blaney (7522) in head-to-head betting propositions versus Keselowski (7521). Best of luck for us -- Frank.

The NASCAR Cup Series moves to Michigan this week to the Michigan International Speedway in Brooklyn. This is an intermediate 2-mile oval track that was repaved in 2012. With the weekend doubleheader of two Cup Series races here over the next two days, this race has been shortened to 312 miles consisting of 156 laps.

Our Long Shot Bet on a driver outside the top-ten favorites to win this event is on Kurt Busch who Bovada lists at +2800 to win this race. Busch had finished in the top-nine in Kansas and Texas before falling back to 17th place last week in New Hampshire. The veteran has been a model of consistency with twelve top-ten results in his nineteen races since the beginning of March. He also has a nice track history at the Michigan International Speedway with three career victories and a 2nd place finish last year for the June race. Busch is linked with Alex Bowman in head-to-head betting propositions. Bowman won in California earlier this season but has only six top-ten finishes in his next eighteen races. His 15th place result last week in New Hampshire was his third-best result in his last six races (with the best being just an 8th place finish). Bowman’s track history here is not stellar either where he has never finished better than 10th place. Since 2017, Bowman is 13th in the field in average finish at this track while Busch ranks 5th in average finish with this field during the time. Take Kurt Busch (7449) in head-to-head betting propositions versus Bowman (7450). Best of luck for us — Frank.

The NASCAR Cup Series moves to Michigan this week to the Michigan International Speedway in Brooklyn. This is an intermediate 2-mile oval track that was repaved in 2012. With the weekend doubleheader of two Cup Series races here over the next two days, this race has been shortened to 312 miles consisting of 156 laps.

Our Best Bet to win this race is on Joey Logano who is listed at +750 at Bovada. Logano is in great form right now with 4th place showing last week in New Hampshire after a 3rd place finish in Texas two races ago. Logano finished 35th in the middle race in Kansas after suffering a crash. Logano had two wins on intermediate tracks before the stoppage to begin the calendar year in Las Vegas and Phoenix. He has a great track record at Michigan where he has three career victories inlacing last year. In both races at Michigan last year, Logano led for 163 and 52 laps. Logano also drew the pole position for this race. Drivers starting at the pole position have won 20% of the races on the Cup Series this year. And pole position is important on this repaved track where ties are less likely to blow out — so there are fewer opportunities to pass drivers from the restarts. Logano is matched with Aric Almirola in head-to-head betting propositions. Almirola comes off a 7th place finish last week in New Hampshire. But Almirola has only one top-ten finish in his last five races here in Michigan since 2017. He is just 17th in average finishing position here during that span. Take Logano (7539) versus Almirola (7540) in head-to-head betting propositions. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

After a ten-day break, the NASCAR Cup Series returns to action this afternoon at the New Hampshire Motor Speedway for the Foxwoods Resort Casino 301. This is an intermediate oval track at 1.058 miles. This is a flat track that will make passing difficult given its tight corners. The tour is returning to the 2018 horsepower package for this event with a lower downforce so last year’s results here are probably less illuminating than the 2018 data. This race compares most closely to the Phoenix Open which before the stoppage in action since that was also an intermediate track with a flat surface while requiring a 750 horsepower package.

Our Best Bet to win this race is on Martin Truex, Jr. who is listed at +725 to win this event according to Bovada. Truex is in good form coming off a 3rd place finish at Kansas ten days ago after finishing in 2nd place in Kentucky on July 12th. Truex thrives on intermediate tracks with his ten wins on those courses being tops on the circuit. Truex also won at Martinsville Speedway in June which required the 750 horsepower package. He has a great track record at New Hampshire where he has the top average finish along with having the most laps led in the three races here since 2017. Truex was dominant in the 2018 race here where he’d have the second most laps led while earning the best driver rating. Truex is linked with Brad Keselowski in head-to-head betting propositions.  Keselowski has vulture two wins on the tour this year but his car has rarely been one of the fastest in these events. There is no question that Keselowski is a savvy driver who has been inside the top-ten in his last five races. But Keselowski has just an average finish of 13.2 on intermediate tracks since 2017 — and his driver rating of 94.7 on intermediate tracks is far below the driver rating of 110.6 that Truex enjoys on intermediate tracks. Keselowski has averaged just a 13.75 average finish here at New Hampshire in his last four races here. Take Truex (7523) in head-to-head betting propositions versus Keselowski. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

After a ten-day break, the NASCAR Cup Series returns to action this afternoon at the New Hampshire Motor Speedway for the Foxwoods Resort Casino 301. This is an intermediate oval track at 1.058 miles. This is a flat track that will make passing difficult given its tight corners. The tour is returning to the 2018 horsepower package for this event with a lower downforce so last year’s results here are probably less illuminating than the 2018 data. This race compares most closely to the Phoenix Open which before the stoppage in action since that was also an intermediate track with a flat surface while requiring a 750 horsepower package.

Our Top Overlay Bet on the driver who offers the most value relative to their odds is on Joey Logano who Bovada lists at +1100 odds to win this race. Logano has two-top five results at races with the 750 horsepower package including a victory in Phoenix which is the race most similar to this one given its flat mile track. Logano has struggled this year but many of those races have required the 550 horsepower package. Logano finished 7th at the NASCAR All-Star Race before earning a 3rd place result in Texas before a disappointing 35th last time out in Kansas. Logano finished in 9th place here for the 2018 race. Logano has won at New Hampshire twice with five top-fives in his career here. Logano is linked with Erick Jones for head-to-head betting propositions. Jones comes off a 5th place result last week in Kansas — and he has two top-tens here in New Hampshire. But Jones has finished outside the top-ten in nine of his last fourteen races. I do worry that driving for Joe Gibbs Racing leaves him as an afterthought to Denny Hamlin, Kyle Busch, and Martin Truex. Logano along with Brad Keselowski are the two bell cows for Team Penske. And Jones has just a 16th average finish at New Hampshire in his four races since 2017. Take Logano (7535) in head-to-head betting propositions versus Jones (7536). Best of luck for us -- Frank.

The Super Start Batteries 400 takes place at the Kansas Speedway in Kansas City, Kansas. This will be under the lights tonight which will make the recent results at the NASCAR All-Star Race last week along with the two races in Charlotte back in May. The Kansas Speedway is a smooth 1.5-mile track that has been recently resurfaced so it compares to the recent races in Kentucky and Homestead — this is the third straight 1.5-mile race that with a smooth surface. The moderate banking at this course is also similar to the tracks in Kentucky and Homestead.

Our Best Bet to win this race is on Ryan Blaney who Bovada lists at +600. At first, glance, seeing Blaney listed at +600 had me look elsewhere since he was consistently being offered as a double-digit dog eleven days ago. I have loved Blaney at those prices with him being our consistent Top Overlay Bets over the last month. In the five races this season on smooth 1.5-mile tracks this season, Blaney has the best average finish along with the best driver rating, and the most fastest laps. Our support has been justified. Frankly, Blaney was robbed last week from winning the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 in Texas where he led for 150 laps of that race while winning Stage One and Two. A rookie mistake by Quin Houff triggered a wreck in the pit area which required a late caution flag just after Blaney had made his final pit stop — so he was relegated to back of the pack while Austin Dillon’s Hail Mary to keep driving on old tires was rewarded. Blaney did win at Talledega this year — and his 7th place finish last week snapped his five-race top-five run at 1.5-mile tracks. After considering the other drivers, I can’t quit Blaney tonight even at this price. He has led the field in average green flag speed in three of the last five 1.5-mile races with low to minimal track wear. And he has a strong track record here at Kansas with three of his six starts resulting in top-seven results. He got caught up in trouble in two of those races — so avoiding bad luck would have seen him with top-seven or better results in five of those six races. Blaney had the fastest car last Sunday in Texas — I suspect that carries over tonight for Team Penske for a crew that will be anxious to finally get a second victory this season. Blaney is linked with Chase Elliott in head-to-head propositions tonight. Elliott does not do his best driving on 1.5-mile tracks as he has only two victories since 2017 on intermediate racecourses. Elliott won the NASCAR All-Star Race last Wednesday at Bristol but that is a short 1/2 mile track. Besides last week in Bristol, Elliott has not been doing his best racing. He finished in 12th place on Sunday at the Texas Motor Speedway after a 23rd place in Kentucky and an 11th place at the Brickyard. Elliott has only two top-ten finishes in his last six races — so his recent average finishes have not been nearly as good as Blaney. Take Blaney (7627) in head-to-head betting propositions versus Elliott (7628). Best of luck for us -- Frank.

The Super Start Batteries 400 takes place at the Kansas Speedway in Kansas City, Kansas. This will be under the lights tonight which will make the recent results at the NASCAR All-Star Race last week along with the two races in Charlotte back in May. The Kansas Speedway is a smooth 1.5-mile track that has been recently resurfaced so it compares to the recent races in Kentucky and Homestead — this is the third straight 1.5-mile race that with a smooth surface. The moderate banking at this course is also similar to the tracks in Kentucky and Homestead.


Our Top Overlay Bet on the driver who offers the most value relative to the odds is on Denny Hamlin who Bovada lists at +700 to win this race. Hamlin was in a position to win the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 as he was in a late duel chasing Ryan Blaney as both made their final pit stop. Then rookie Quin Houff prompted a crash in the pit area which produced a caution flag which relegated Hamlin and Blaney to the back behind a handful of other drivers including the eventual winner in Austin Dillon who was rewarded for driving on wearing tires since he was able to take his pit stop during the caution. That Hail Mary pass was rewarded this time — but Hamlin remains 2nd on the Cup Series in points with his four victories tied with Kevin Harvick this year (who I consider unplayable at +400 odds for this race). Hamlin won the Dixie Vodka 400 at the Homestead-Miami Speedway on a smooth 1.5-mile track with moderate banking — so he is primed to do well under these racing conditions. Hamlin has two victories at this event in 2012 and then last fall where he led for 153 laps en route to the win. He has not finished worst than 16th place in his last five starts here. He has been snake-bit when racing here at night with an average finish of 23.3 as compared to his 7.3 average finish in his last six races here during the day. I suspect that is more of an aberration than representing any concerns about Hamlin driving at night. Hamlin did finish in 2nd place under the lights in the last race that took place in Charlotte back in May. Hamlin is linked with Chase Elliott in head-to-head propositions tonight. Elliott does not do his best driving on 1.5-mile tracks as he has only two victories since 2017 on intermediate racecourses. Elliott won the NASCAR All-Star Race last Wednesday at Bristol but that is a short 1/2 mile track. Besides last week in Bristol, Elliott has not been doing his best racing. He finished in 12th place on Sunday at the Texas Motor Speedway after a 23rd place in Kentucky and an 11th place at the Brickyard. Elliott has only two top-ten finishes in his last six races — so his recent average finishes have not been nearly as good as Hamlin who has five top-five finishes with two victories in his last eight starts. Take Hamlin (7621) in head-to-head betting propositions versus Elliott (7622). Best of luck for us -- Frank.

The Super Start Batteries 400 takes place at the Kansas Speedway in Kansas City, Kansas. This will be under the lights tonight which will make the recent results at the NASCAR All-Star Race last week along with the two races in Charlotte back in May. The Kansas Speedway is a smooth 1.5-mile track that has been recently resurfaced so it compares to the recent races in Kentucky and Homestead — this is the third straight 1.5-mile race that with a smooth surface. The moderate banking at this course is also similar to the tracks in Kentucky and Homestead.


Our Long Shot Bet on a driver outside the top-ten favorites is on Kurt Busch who Bovada lists at +2600 odds. Busch lacks a victory in 2020 but he has been remarkably consistent. His 8th place finish last week at Texas was his eleventh top-ten finish in his last sixteen starts. Busch also has four top-five results — so maybe he just needs a break to vulture a victory like Austin Dillon did last week. Busch has a 9th overall ranking for average speed at the finish line for low to minimal tire wear tracks at 1 1/2 miles. He returns to the Kansas Motor Speedway where he has four top-ten finishes in his last five starts with a 4th and 7th place result in the two races here last year. Kurt Busch is linked with Jimmie Johnson in head-to-head betting propositions. The dream of Johnson winning one more race in his swan song season seems to be drifting away. He finished just 26th last week in Texas. Since a 7th place result in Atlanta, Johnson has not finished in better than 10th place in eight straight races. On similar smooth 1.5-mile tracks, Johnson settled with a 16th place finish at Homestead and 18th place in Kentucky. The Kansas Motor Speedway has not been his favorite track in his illustrious career with it ranking just 10th in terms of average finish. While he finished in 10th and 6th place in his two races here last year, those were his only two top-ten results at Kansas since 2017. Take Kurt Busch (7655) in head-to-head betting propositions versus Johnson (7656). Best of luck for us — Frank.