"The Lynx are just the second team in league history to make the playoffs after starting 0-6, and must not be under estimated in their ability to compete here tonight against the Connecticut Sun. Collier, Kayla McBride, Aerial Powers, Jessica Shepard and (Dorka) Juhasz, have shown alot of cohesion as the season, has progressed, and despite a few stumbles to end their season are a viable underdog side to back . While I dont believe they can win this game outright, I do believe in them not going out with a whimper at least in game 1.MINNESOTA is 20-6 ATS  after allowing 80 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons .Reeve is 28-15 ATS   off an upset loss as a road favorite as the coach of MINNESOTA. 

Lynx are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Lynx are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.Lynx are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss.

Play on Minnesota to cover

Chicago has been highly competitive recently covering 6 of their L/7 and deserve respect here getting points. The Connecticut Sun Im betting sit some players as their play off destiny is secured as the third seed. 

Sky are 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Connecticut.

WNBA team (CONNECTICUT) - good free throw shooting team (76-80%) against an average free throw shooting team (71-76%), hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 45% better of their shots are 39-77 ATS L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago to cover

Mystics seem to always bring their A game out when playing the Liberty. . The regular season ends Sunday in New York Im betting will rest key players on a roster that has weathered injuries all summer.

Mystics are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall and deserve respect here getting this many points.Liberty are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 2 days rest.

WNBA Home favorites (NEW YORK) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, vs. division opponents are 35-71 ATS L/26 seasons for a 67% go against conversion rate. 

Mystics are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

Play on the Washington to cover

The Mystics seem to always bring their A game in against top tier opponents like the Aces .

WASHINGTON is 12-2 ATS  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Vegas is off an extended road trip and make take time to get acclimated to home cooking again. LAS VEGAS is 2-9 ATS   after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons

WASHINGTON is 16-7 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 33% or more  of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

LAS VEGAS is 6-15 ATS  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

Vegas has failed cover 5 straight games.

Play on Washington to cover

Phoenix ranks last in the league, winning just nine of their 35 games this season, and are on a six-game losing streak and thanks to those numbers are now being under rated by the linesmakers here. I cannot see the Sun being very motivated here and that alone may be the difference maker. 

White is 2-10 ATS  in home games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in all games he has coached since 1997.

PHOENIX is 10-2 ATS  in road games after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons.

WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (CONNECTICUT) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against a sub par team (-7 PPG or less differential), after scoring 70 points or more in 2 straight games are 8-27 L/26 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Mercury to cover

Minnesota has scored 90 plus points in 2 straight games and with their offense in top form are more than capable of covering this number vs the explosive Liberty. MINNESOTA is 6-0 ATS  after scoring 90 points or more this season.

MINNESOTA is 15-8 ATSvs. good free throw shooting teams - making 76% or more  of their attempts this season.MINNESOTA is 34-18 ATS  average defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 season. MINNESOTA is 9-1 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive overs this season. MINNESOTA is 6-0 ATS  after scoring 80 points or more in a win over a division rival over the last 3 seasons.

WNBA Underdogs (MINNESOTA) - revenging a home loss versus opponent, off an upset win as an underdog are 35-13 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Minnesota to cover

The last time Minnesota visited Seattle back on June 29th this season, the Lynx came away with a 99-97 win as 3 point dogs, and Im betting it will be close again but the pendulum will swing back the other way in favor of the home underdog Storm in the rematch. 

SEATTLE is 19-4 ATS L/23  after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less shots than opponent. SEATTLE is 7-1 ATS  versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games this season. SEATTLE is 12-4 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

WNBA Underdogs (SEATTLE) - revenging a home loss versus opponent, off a win against a division rival are 39-20 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Seattle to cover

The Liberty enter this game as the No.2 seed in the WNBA while Indiana has the worst record in the league. However, because of this according to my projections the lines makers have over compensated for this discrepancy , which gives us value with what will be a motivated underdog with little left to play for other than a big upset . The Liberty are just 1-4 ATS L/5 and are consistently being over rated on the line.

Play on the Fever to cover 

The Liberty had a huge DD win vs Vegas last time out- while shooing over 50% from the field and now Im betting on immediate regression in a letdown situation. Meanwhile, Chicago After a 3 game win streak lost as favs to the up-trending Lynx and will now be motivated to perform against a top tier team that has had issues covering this season, covering only 6 of 14 home tilts. 

Chicago has covered 7 of 12 away affairs.

NEW YORK is 6-13 ATS versus sub par foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game this season. NEW YORK is 7-16 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 6-15 ATS  in home games after a game making 11 or more 3 point shots over the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO is 15-6 ATS  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.CHICAGO is 30-13 ATS L/43 in road games versus teams who average 45 or more rebounds/game on the season after 15+ games .

 WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (NEW YORK) - off an upset win as an underdog are 15-41 L/26 seasons for a 73% go against conversion rate. 

Play on Chicago to cover

WNBA Home teams (NEW YORK) - after a game where a team made 50% of their shots or better against opponent after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 45% or higher are 19-45 L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Home teams (NEW YORK) - good 3PT shooting team (35% or more) against an average 3PT defense (30-35%), after a game making 11 or more 3 point shots are 28-58 L/26 seasons for. ago against 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Minnesota and Chicago are evenly matched according to my current power rankings even with home court advantage factored in for the Chicago. It must be noted that the Lynx has covered 5 of their L/6 road games, while the Sky have failed to cover 4 of their L/6 home tilts. Advantage Minnesota.

MINNESOTA is 11-1 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 9-2 ATS  in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

CHICAGO is 1-8 ATS in home games after allowing 80 points or more in 3 straight games over the last 3 season

WNBA Home teams (CHICAGO) - good 3PT shooting team (35% or better ) against an average 3PT defense (30-35%), after a game making 11 or more 3 point shots are 28-57 ATS L/26 seasons for a 67% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Three of the L/4 meetings in this series have been decided by 4 points or less. 

Play on the Minnesota Lynx to cover

Seattle after a bad run has now won and covered 3 of their L/4 games and have momentum entering this tilt against a Connecticut side they will be in revenge mode against. Combination of up-trending and pay back on the agenda make  the home side  viable side to back against the spread . 

CONNECTICUT is 1-8 ATS  after a game where a team made 80% of their free throws or better this season.

WNBA Underdogs (SEATTLE) - revenging a loss versus opponent, off an upset win as a road underdog are 45-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

WNBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SEATTLE) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, off an upset win as a road underdogs are 36-13 L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Seattle Storm to cover

The Mercury have been their most competitive at home this season, and Im betting they have the edge again vs a side they matchup well agains the Seattle Storm (6-20). I also expect the the Mercury will come out strong at home in Brittney Griner’s return who was off a mental health break.

 Mercury when playing at  Footprint Center own a   +1.4 rating ,  ranking   sixth in the WNBA. The Storm,  have a road  net rating of -4.2.  Mercury are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.

Play on the Mercury to cover

Storm enter this game on a  5-1 ATS run  in their last 6 games overall and have covered 4 of 5 vs an above .500 side like the  visiting Wings . Im now betting the Storm keep this game close against a side  that recently played all out hoops in a 104-91 loss vs the WNBAs top team Vegas, and will now be in an emotional  letdown spot . These circumstances could easily see the Wings start slowly tonight. Note: I know the Wings can really light the board up in run and gun mode, but they also lack defensive responsibilities and are vulnerable to being upset when in regressionary mode like Im betting they will this evening. DALLAS is 3-11 ATS  as a road favorite of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons.SEATTLE is 7-1 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games this season.

Play on Seattle to cover

NYL have really been lighting up the scoreboard of late . but the Liberty D, has also been lit up and because of this have failed to cover  3 of their L/4 games. The Liberty have a great won loss record, but their wins don't seem to come all that easily, as is evident by not covering in 8 of their L/10. Considering LA has momentum entering this tilt winning 2 of their L/3 - I like the home sides chances at competing here and getting us the cover. ( The Liberty beat the Sparks by a 87-79 count back in NY a couple of days ago, and now Im betting on a even closer game here)

NEW YORK is 4-11 ATS after scoring 80 points or more in 3 straight games this season.

NEW YORK is 6-13 ATS  vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 76% or more  of their attempts this season. 

Liberty are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.Liberty are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Liberty are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference.Liberty are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Play on the Sparks to cover

Both these teams are examples of futility, however according to my power rankings the superior side in this matchup is the visiting Storm who have covered 4 of their L/5 overall and in the most  recent past have had good results against the Fever. Also after a 4 game road trip Im betting it will take time for an inconsistent side like the Fever to get used to home cooking again. Advantage Storm. 

SEATTLE is 6-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons including 3-0 L/3 visits to Indiana. 

WNBA Underdogs (SEATTLE) - revenging a home loss versus opponent, off an upset win as an underdog are 33-12 ATS L/5 seasons for. a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Seattle to cover 

The Lynx are off a big win last time out by a 97-92 win vs the Mystics, and have momentum entering this tilt here vs a tired NY Liberty side in a rare back to back situation. 

MINNESOTA is 6-0 ATS  in road games after scoring 90 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 13-5 ATS in road games versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Liberty are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference.

Home favorites of 10 or more points (NEW YORK) - averaging 42 or more rebounds/game on the season, in May, June, or July games are 51-96 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Lynx are 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

Play on Lynx to cover

Indiana has been mostly competitive this season, and have now covered three straight and have momentum entering this game off a upset victory last time out. Meanwhile, NY despite of a great won loss record,  have been over rated by the lines-makers of late, as is evident by failing to cover 5 straight and 6 of their L/7. With that said, according to my power rankings the Liberty are once again  tagged with an  exaggerated  ATS offering from the books giving us value taking points with a viable underdog. 

WNBA Home favorites (NEW YORK) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in two consecutive games, in May, June, or July games are 6-27 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

WNBA Road underdogs (INDIANA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 85 or more points, off an upset win as an underdog are 26-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. ( The last time these teams played on July 12 the Liberty took a 95-87 ) 

Play on Indiana to cover 

Atlanta has won 6 of their L/8 overall and three straight homes games and deserve respect in their current form. WNBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ATLANTA) - after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 42-15 L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Atlanta to cover 

The Storm have lost the last 7 games while the Aces have won 3 straight and remain the top team in the WNBA. However , my numbers suggest this line is bloated and should be closer to -12 giving us alot of value with the underdog. SEATTLE is 26-12 ATS L/28  in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  75% or more ) .  Aces are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Hughes is 13-4 ATS  off a road loss by 10 points or more as the coach of SEATTLE. I know Seattle has been beaten up by the Aces, but Im betting the Storm find a way to stand up here, and get some respect back. 

Play on Seattle to cover

Dallas enters this tilt having  won four of five, while the Lynx just had their 5-game win streak abruptly come to an end vs the leagues most explosive side ( Las Vegas). Dallas ranks 6th in the standings while Minnesota ranks 7th. According to my power rankings these teams are pretty evenly matched with home court advantage being the difference maker in my betting opinion. Thus getting points here makes for a viable wagering opportunity on a plus line offering. 

Lynx are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.Lynx are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.Lynx are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Lynx are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference.

Wings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Wings are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Minnesota.Wings are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

Play on Lynx to cover 

I know Seattle has not played well of late, but after an ugly 93-73 loss vs the Connecticut Sun last time out, and some of the statements issued by the coaching staff, a much better effort must be expected and a subsequent cover .  NEW YORK is 4-13 ATS  in home games after scoring 75 points or more in 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons.Hughes is 12-3 ATS  in road games after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher as the coach of SEATTLE.

WNBA Home favorites (NEW YORK) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG differential), after scoring 70 points or more in 3 straight games are 10-29 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Seattle to cover

The Seattle Storm have struggled  defensively, but some hard work in practice recently and a more determined defensive posture will help them get back on the right track. I know the Sun play their best hoops at home but this line is still slightly bloated according to my projections, giving us value with visiting dog.  The Storm have been very competitive away from home as is evident by garnering a   8-3-1 ATS mark in their last 12 games. Sun are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

Play on Seattle Storm to cover 

Dallas enters this tilt  with a  8-8 record on the season and have been very competitive overall. They have scored an  average of 84.3 points per game (4th in the WNBA) while hitting 41.3% from the field and deserve respect here as big DD dogs.  Yes, I know how well the Aces have performed to this point in the season, but the number being offered here offers value and is vulnerable. 

My projections make this line closer +12 which gives a full possession edge on this current offering from the sports books.

Wings are 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Las Vegas.Wings are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

Play on Dallas Wings to cover

Indiana heads into this contest with a record of 5-11 for the campaign and according to my projections should be  3 point underdogs in this spot play situation thus giving us value with the short home fav Minnesota. 

Fever are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Lynx are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Lynx are 38-16-1 ATS in their last 55 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Play on Lynx to cover

Dallas has lost 5 of their L/7 but did pick up a win last time out  in Phoenix and have momentum entering this game vs Washington. DALLAS is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons. Now with revenge on board for a 75-74 loss the Mystics earlier this season, Im betting on a big time effort in revenge mode from the host side. DALLAS is 16-7 ATS  revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Advantage Dallas. 

WNBA Home teams (DALLAS) - revenging a close loss versus opponent by 3 points or less, with a losing record are 111-64 ATS L/26 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Mystics are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

Dallas to cover

Vegas enters Saturday’s matchup as  the top team in the WNBA standings with a 14-1 record after a big time win vs the NY Liberty last time out in a hard fought 91-89  that should easily have the Aces in a letdown spot. after a shooting 58% from the field. With that said,  this line is a little bloated according to my current power rankings giving us nice value with the visiting Connecticut Sun who are no pushovers themselves as they were the only team to hand the Aces a defeat this season. 

Sun are 34-15-2 ATS in their last 51 vs. Western Conference.

WNBA Road teams vs. the money line (CONNECTICUT) - top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games, on Saturday games are 29-7 L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Aces are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.

Play on Connecticut Sun to cover

My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Phoenix has a win-loss record of 2-11 so far this season and not in good form. 

Mercury are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall.PHOENIX is 0-7 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 76% or better of their attempts this season.

Fever are 6-0-2 ATS in their last 8 road games and  are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference.

Fever are 8-2-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall.NDIANA is 6-0 ATS  in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Sides is 6-0 ATS  in road games after scoring 80 points or more as the coach of INDIANA

WNBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (>=76 PPG), after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 10-39 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My  WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.

 My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating back 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play on the Sky to cover

 My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 27 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play on Atlanta to cover 

 My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 27 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play on the Fever to cover

My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 27 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play on Atlanta to cover

My WNBA basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 27 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating back over 27 years) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

WNBA Road favorites (CHICAGO) - horrible defensive team from last season - allowed 75 or more points/game, after a win by 10 points or more are 10-24 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against  71% conversion rare for bettors.

Play on the Mercury

CHICAGO is 12-5 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=33% of their attempts this season.

NEW YORK is 0-6 ATS in home games after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or higher over the last 2 seasons.

WNBA Road favorites vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, on Saturday games are 37-5 L/25 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -8 . 

- Road teams (INDIANA) - sub par performing  team - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game, on Tuesday nights are 70-29 ATS L/25 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

LOS ANGELES is 3-12 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 15 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 15 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My WNBA projections are based on a system I have used for more than 15 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My WNBA  sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 15 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 25 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned

My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 15 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 15 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends - In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CONNECTICUT is 11-1 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record this season and once again have the edge here in this tilt as favorites. CONNECTICUT is 9-0 ATS vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 80%  or more of their shots after 15+ games this season. CONNECTICUT is 9-0 ATS  after scoring 75 points or more in 3 straight games this season.

I know Chicago has been flying high entering this tilt, but it must be noted CHICAGO is 0-9 ATS after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more since entering the WNBA. 

CHICAGO is 0-7 ATS in road games vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game after 15+ games since entering the league.

Connecticut to win /cover

We have value with a viable home dog in this spot play according to my power rankings. 

PHOENIX is 7-1 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 33%  or more of their attempts after 15+ games this season. 

PHOENIX is 7-1 ATS  vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 80% or more of their shots after 15+ games this season.

WNBA Home teams vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - off 2 or more consecutive road wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 31-2 SU L/24 seasons for a 94% conversion rate.

Play on the Phoenix to cover

My projections make the Mercury 2 point favs thus giving us value with the home side.

CHICAGO is 5-13 ATS after allowing 75 points or more this season.

PHOENIX is 8-1 ATS  versus good passing teams, averaging 17 or more  assists/game after 15+ games this season.

WNBA Home teams vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games and 38-4 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate. 

Play on the Phoenix Mercury to cover

The Washington Mystics will face the Dallas Wings for the second time this season on Thursday at home in D.C. In their first matchup on June 26, Dallas led by double-digits almost the entire game. Tonight Im betting the Mystics will get their revenge here at home where they have won the last two meetings.

WASHINGTON is 9-1 ATS  revenging a loss versus opponent by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 6-0 ATS  revenging a road loss versus opponent by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

WNBA Home teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after a loss by 6 points or less are 27-2 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate. 

Play on Washington Mystics to win 

The sun play their best hoops at home where they own a 10-1 mark this season, and once again Im betting home court advantage will be golden.

'CONNECTICUT is 9-1 ATS  in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 3 seasons. CONNECTICUT is 9-0 ATS  after a game where a team made 90% of their free throws or better over the last 2 seasons.

WNBA Home favorites vs. the money line (CONNECTICUT) - off a home win by 10 points or more, in August or September games are 40-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors.

WNBA Home teams vs. the money line (CONNECTICUT) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 34-6 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Connecticut Sun to cover 

Jasmine Thomas scored 19 points, Jonquel Jones had 17 points and 13 rebounds, and Connecticut beat Minnesota 72-60 on Tuesday night to snap the Lynx's eight-game winning streak. Rinse and repeat. 

Lynx enter this game with a  1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference and are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games. 

WNBA Home teams vs. the money line (CONNECTICUT) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 35-4 L/24 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at 9.2 ppg which qualifies on this ATS line. 

WNBA Home favorites vs. the money line (CONNECTICUT) - off a home win by 10 points or more, in August or September games are 39-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at 11.9 which qualifies on this line. 

Play on the Connecticut Sun to cover

NYL last 3 losses have come by DDs, and Im betting they are being given a little ibt to much respect here even though we are backing a side from the west coast playing out side of their own time zone.

WNBA team (SEATTLE) - cold team - failing to cover the spread in 8 or more of their last 10, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games are 22-3 ATS L/24 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

WNBA Home teams (NEW YORK) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, with a losing record after 15 or more games are 8-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

WNBA Home teams (NEW YORK) - playing with 2 days rest, with a losing record after 15 or more games are 9-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Seattle Storm to cover

The Fever were playing well before the break as they won 3 games in a row and Im betting on that momentum to continue vs a rebuilding Sparks side getting to much respect here in this spot. 

Fever are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.

Sparks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.Sparks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Play on the Indiana Fever to cover

Vegas after being upset last time out will be wide awake here in ready to get redemption. LAS VEGAS is 8-0 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

WNBA Home favorites vs. the money line (LAS VEGAS) - a very good team (+7 PPG diff. or more ) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after scoring 80 points or more in 2 straight games are 35-1 L/5 seasons with th average ppg diff clicking in at +13 ppg which qualifies on the ATS line. 

Play on Las Vegas to win 

Indiana broke a long losing streak last time out and now with momentum Im betting they will be competitive again and get the cover. WNBA Home teams vs. the money line (INDIANA) - off a home win against a division rival against opponent off a home win are 26-4 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. 

WNBA  Home favorites (INDIANA) - good offensive team - scoring 73+ points/game on the season against opponent after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less are 39-18 ATS L/24 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. 

Play on the Indiana Fever to cover

This is to many points according to my projections for the Storm to be laying on the road. Advantage LA . 

LOS ANGELES is 3-0 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons at home. 

NBA Home teams (LOS ANGELES) - off a loss against a division rival, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games after 15 or more games are 6-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate.

Play on LA Sparks to cover

 Reeve is 36-24 ATS   vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents as the coach of MINNESOTA.

PHOENIX is 0-8 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home teams (PHOENIX) - playing with 2 days rest, with a losing record after 15 or more games are 9-31 ATS  L/5 seasons for a 78% go against conversion rate. 

Play on Minnesota to cover 

Indiana won the first meeting in this back to back series vs Washington and matchup well vs the Mystics as the final 89-77 score would indicate. INDIANA is 10-2 ATS off an upset win by 10 points or more as a home underdog . Thibault is 2-12 ATS  off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a road favorite in all games he has coached since 1997.

WASHINGTON is 1-10 ATS  in road games after 2 straight games attempting 70 or more shots over the last 3 seasons

NBA Underdogs (INDIANA) - averaging 45 or more rebounds/game on the season, on Tuesday nights are 63-31 ATS L/24 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. 

Play on the Fever to cover 

My projections make this line closer to -3 for the road side which gives us a full possession of value taking points with the home dog . 

NBA Road favorites (CHICAGO) - excellent offensive team from last season - scored 75 or more points/game, after a win by 10 points or more are just 6-30 L/24 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Dream to cover 

My early season power ranking suggest the Sun should be -3 favs here giving us value on an short fav line. CONNECTICUT is 33-14 ATS 47 as a home favorite of 3 points or less. 

WNBA team vs the money line (PHOENIX) - off a road win, marginal winning team from last season (51% to 60%) playing a team who had a losing record are 7-20 L/24 season for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Sun to cover

Chicago is the superior side, but this is just to many points to lay with them. Value with Indiana.

CHICAGO is 1-8 ATS ( after 3 straight games where they committed 14 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons.


Underdogs (INDIANA) - after allowing 70 points or more in 5 straight games against opponent after allowing 75 points or more in 5 straight games. are 58-25 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

The Mercury aims for a third straight win on Sunday against the Minnesota Lynx at the IMG Academy in Bradenton, Fla. Im betting on the momentum of the Mercury in this spot. PHOENIX is 15-4 ATS in road games after scoring 80 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.

 MINNESOTA is 0-9 ATS  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Phoenix to cover 

Dallas has dropped two straight games by a combined seven points since beating Washington in overtime last Friday and Im betting on another close one here with the underdog Fever with the edge.

Stanley is 3-15 ATS  on Saturday games in all games he has coached since 1997. 

DALLAS is 2-10 ATS  after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or higher over the last 3 seasons.

WNBA Favorites (DALLAS) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, with a losing record are 35-11 ATS for a 76% conversion rate. 

INDIANA is 6-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the Indiana to cover 

Nothing comes easy for the Mystics, and covering as a underdog it something that they are not equipped to do with consistency with their current lineup and lack of motivation. After 9 straight losses that is obvious. Ill take the points here. 

The Lynx are viable bets for a third consecutive victory, as they go against a  Mercury side that Im betting they will send to their third loss in a row on Friday night at the IMG Academy in Bradenton, Fla. Ride the momentum of the Lynx getting points. 

 MINNESOTA is 17-7 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

Minnesota has won 5 of the L/6 meetings in this series and the last 3 most recent meetings. 

Play on Minnesota to cover

Everything continues to be all systems go for the Seattle Storm, who look to further their best start in franchise history and win their 10th consecutive game Thursday night when they face the Indiana Fever. However, this many points has value attached to it. 

Play on the Fever to cover 

The last two meetings in this series were decided by 1 point and 2 point respectively and Im betting on another close game here.

CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on Chicago to cover 

  Connecticut sits eighth in the league standings, one-half game in front of it is seventh-place Indiana (4-6). Both are coming off losses and be primed for bounce back efforts. My power rankings make these teams fairly evenly matched with the points Im betting proving golden. CONNECTICUT is 17-30 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making  33% or better of their attempts over the last 3 seasons. INDIANA is 7-0 ATS  in road games after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Indiana to cover 

These teams are proving particularly evenly matched, and Im betting this  deciding game 5  will also be hard fought til the end, with the points proving golden. 

WNBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 44%or more  on the season against opponent after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 45% or higher 9-30 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Connecticut to cover 

There is blood in the water, and the Mystics up 2-1 have the teeth to proverbially snatch and grab game 4 here and take home a WNBA championship.  It is a well known fact that Washington has the deepest bench in the league, and that edge will be very important here in this key game. 

WNBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WASHINGTON) - after allowing 70 points or more in 3 straight games against opponent after allowing 80 points or more in 2 straight games are 27-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

WNBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CONNECTICUT) - after allowing 80 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 70 points or more in 4 straight games are 6-28 ATS L/5 seasons  for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Washington Mystics to cover

WNBA Finals - Best of 5 - Game 3 - Tied 1-1

Washington opened this best-of-five championship series with an impressive 95-86 home win over Connecticut last weekend and than Connecticut bounced back and now with the series tied 1-1 we go back to the land of the Sun. The key to this game with be Delle Donne who despite of being questionable for this game is expected to play.  Washington has outscored Connecticut by 12 points with Delle Donne in the game during these Finals. However, the Mystics have been outscored by 15 when she's not on the floor. Even for some reason, Donne can compete it must be noted that the Mystics have the deepest team in the league. QUOTE: We have the best bench in the league," Washington guard Kristi Toliver said. "Everybody knows that. Connecticut knows that. We've relied on them so much this year, and through injuries and people out. END QUOTE. Im betting on the Mystics finding a way to be very competitive and to get us the cover here.

 CONNECTICUT is 0-7 ATS  in home games hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 42% or more  of their shots over the last 3 seasons and s 1-10 ATS hot shooting team - 5 straight games making  42% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons. 

WNBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WASHINGTON) - after allowing 70 points or more in 3 straight games against opponent after allowing 80 points or more in 2 straight games are 26-6 ATS L/5 seasons for 81% conversion rate.

WNBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CONNECTICUT) - after allowing 80 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 70 points or more in 4 straight games are 6-27 ATS L/5 seasons for ago against 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Washington Mystics to cover 

There is  recency bias attached to this game and line after Connecticut took the first two games of this series including a lopsided DD 94-68 beatdown last time out over a LA group that looked asleep at the proverbial wheel .However, now back in their own digs where the Sparks have dominated opponents going 15-2 SU this season Im betting they will bounce back.

Sun are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.Sun are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 2 days rest.

CONNECTICUT is 0-7 ATS off an home win scoring 85 or more points this season.

CONNECTICUT is 1-9 ATS  in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 2 seasons and is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 33%  or more of their attempts this season. 

LOS ANGELES is 8-1 ATS in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

LOS ANGELES is 9-1 ATS  in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 73+ points/game after 15+ games this season.LOS ANGELES is 6-0 ATS  as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points this season.

WNBA Favorites (LOS ANGELES) - revenging a loss versus opponent by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite are 51-22 ATS L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate.

Play on the LA Sparks to cover 

WNBA Playoffs - Semifinals - Best of 5 - Game 1

This matchup features two of the best front courts in the league, but Im betting what I believe is the superior D, to win this series and game 1.  Sparks have my support getting points. Note:  Sparks are one of the league's original franchises and  have garnered three WNBA titles , and have been to the Finals five times and have an overall culture of winning, and obvious play off experience which gives them in an edge in this environment vs a Connecticut side, that just cant matchup to those numbers, 

WNBA team (CONNECTICUT) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record after 15 or more games are 4-26 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Sparks to cover 

WNBA Playoffs - 2nd Round - Single Elimination

Today Im betting on the  LA Sparks  continue their home dominance Sunday against the defending champion Seattle Storm in the second round of the WNBA playoffs. L.A. was 15-2 at home during the regular season and has not lost at Staples Center since June 18.  Two of those home victories came against No. 6 seed Seattle and a 3rd win is coming today.

LOS ANGELES is 10-2 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with the average diff coming in at +9.7 ppg. LOS ANGELES is 8-1 ATS  in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 73+ points/game after 15+ games this season with average ppg diff of +14.1 ppg.

WNBA Road underdogs (SEATTLE) - revenging a loss versus opponent by 10 points or more, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% after 15 or more games are 1-33 SU L/5 seasons.

Play on the LA Sparks to cover 

Minnesota and Seattle are deep teams with tons of experience and championship pedigree and both will not be easily intimated. The Minnesota Lynx enter the post season playing their best hoops of the season as is evident by winning 5 of their L/6 games while shooting an impressive 48 percent from the field in those 5 wins and are more than capable of pulling off the straight up upset here in their current form. I know Seattle has won all 3 games in this series this season, but my estimates still suggest we have leverage on this line getting 3 or more points.

Storm are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

WNBA team (MINNESOTA) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent against opponent off a road win against a division rival are 48-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Minnesota Lynx to cover 

Two non play off teams the Fever and the Liberty go head to head here tonight in NY where Im betting the home team has the edge. NY won the last meeting by a 82-76 count at Indiana last time out. In the first game of the year between these sides in NY the Fever won 81-80 on a buzzer beater. Im projections make this a close game, but home court and desperation have me backing them taking points.

INDIANA is 5-18 ATS   versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.INDIANA is 2-13 ATS   versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

WNBA Underdogs (NEW YORK) - terrible team - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 70 points or more are 42-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Liberty to cover 

Lynx star Maya Moore is sitting out and fellow superstar Seimone Augustus not 100 percent and with a play off spot locked up Im betting we see this team more interested in staying healthy than playing all out hoops. With that said, look for up and coming star rookie Teaira McCowan (9.6 ppg, 8.8 rpg) to lead Indiana in what Im betting will be a competitive effort. 

MINNESOTA is 2-12 ATS L/14 in home games after playing 3 consecutive home games.

WNBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games after 15 or more games are 58-19 ATS L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Indiana to cover 

After winning 3 straight Dallas has dropped three straight and failed to cover  . But it must be noted that Agler is 36-20 ATS  after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games in all games he has coached since 1997. Its interesting to note that Chicago has average 44.3 % with their FG conversion rate at home, but DALLAS is 21-9 ATS when their opponents make 40% to 44% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. 

Chicago Sky have already clinched a playoff berth, so playing all out here is not a priority. However staying healthy is , which makes for plenty of back door cover options if the Sky get up  big and rest their top players . 

WNBA Road underdogs (DALLAS) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games are 51-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Dallas to cover 

Phoenix has won the two meetings between the teams by a combined 11 points and Im betting on another close game , as both teams are competing for a play off birth against each other. The Mercury dont have as tough a path as Atlanta, but the Dream still have a chance if they can win their L/4 games of the season, so they wont easily fold here tonight. 

Atlanta has won 2 straight. 

WNBA Favorites (PHOENIX) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games are 73-129 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Atlanta to cover 

Los Angeles' weakness is, perimeter defending, was again exposed as Washington knocked down  nine first-half 3-pointers and put the Sparks in a 17-point halftime hole and tonight Im betting they wont easily get off the matt after being KOd last time out. LA  has proven themselves at home but on the road they have lost  9 of 15 straight up and are fade material as hefty road favs. LOS ANGELES is 7-18 ATS off a road blowout loss by 20 points or more since 1997.

Home teams vs. the money line (INDIANA) - after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half against opponent after a combined score of 155 points or more are 32-6 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Indiana to cover 

Looking to maintain their spot atop the WNBA standings, the Sun try for a fifth consecutive victory while looking to halt the Los Angeles Sparks' 10-game home winning streak on Sunday. From a matchup perspective my power rankings suggest the Sun have the edge here and offer us value taking points. 

Take the points with the Connecticut Sun to cover 

 The LA Sparks will try to extend their home winning streak to 10 games on Thursday night against the Indiana Fever. However, Im betting  it wont come so easily . 

LOS ANGELES is 9-21 ATS  after scoring 70 points or more in 5 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

This will be the Sparks 4th game in 8 days, and they are on just one days rest so a little bit of fatigue will factor into this game, which gives credence to an Indiana cover here . 

WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (LOS ANGELES) - after a game where they covered the spread, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 11-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors.

WNBA Road underdogs (INDIANA) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games are 50-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Indiana Fever to cover 

Phoenix's recent win on got them back to .500 (13-13) as they rallied for a 78-72 victory over the New York Liberty on Sunday and now bring momentum into this game vs their hosts Las Vegas.Phoenix is in seventh in the league, one-half game better than Minnesota for the final playoff spot, and will play with desperation tonight making them viable underdogs.Phoenix won the only game between the teams thus far, 86-84 on May 3 and get my support to make this a competitive tilt as well. I know Las Vegas has been hot, but because of a recency bias attached to this side number we have value on the underdog. Note:

LAS VEGAS is 0-6 ATS in home games vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 seasons. LAS VEGAS is 1-9 ATS  after a game where they covered the spread this season. LAS VEGAS is 1-10 ATS in home games after scoring 80 points or more in 3 straight games. LAS VEGAS is 6-28 ATS in home games hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 45% or better of their shots.  

PHOENIX is 12-4 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on the Phoenix Mercury to cover 

The Liberty are in a real funk and have lost 11 of their L/12 games, but this is a favorable matchup for them from a ats perspective , as Im betting this number is bloated according to my power rankings. The  Fever were smashed  107-68 on the road by the Washington Mystics last time out, and after being KOd like that by a heavy weight its hard to bounce right back. Home teams vs. the money line (INDIANA) - terrible defensive team - allowing 77+ points/game on the season, after a huge blowout loss by 30 or more are 6-25 L/22 seasons for a  go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

 INDIANA is 0-7 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. INDIANA is 4-17 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. INDIANA is 0-6 ATS in home games versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on the NY Liberty to cover 

 Rookie  star Arike Ogunbowale  leads a up trending Dallas Wings side that is on a 3 game win streak into Connecticut to play the Suns . Ogunbowale leads all rookies in scoring at 16.3 points per game, which is also good for seventh in the league and is getting more confident an over powering with each game out and is a game changer.

Meanwhile, Connecticut rallied from seven down in the final 1:47 to extend its home winning streak to six games Friday night , and exerted alot of energy in that contest , after a gruelling 4 game road trip prior to that. Now against a team they maybe over looking a natural letdown spot looks to be on the agenda making them fade material vs this type of number. I know the Sun  have won 19 of their last 20 home games dating back to last year, and I doubt they lose today ,but Im betting covering will be more difficult than some might think. 

CONNECTICUT is 1-9 ATS  after a combined score of 155 points or more this season. CONNECTICUT is 37-57 ATS  as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points since 1997.

CONNECTICUT is 2-9 ATS  vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 80% or better  of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.CONNECTICUT is 2-12 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on the Dallas Wings to cover 

Connecticut Sun look to retain the inside track on a bye to the semifinal round of the playoffs Friday night when they host the reigning WNBA champion Seattle Storm. However, I don't believe the sledding will be easy, for a  Sun side that is still getting acclimated to being at home after a exhausting 4 game  road trip that including 3 straight games out west. I know the visiting Storm were smashed by the Mystics last time out, but after that embarrassment Im betting this proud championship team will be out looking for redemption and will be prepared to play a strong game. 

Note: Storm are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games following a ATS loss.

Sun are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.Sun are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 Friday games.Sun are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Sun are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.Sun are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.Sun are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Sun are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference.

Play on the Seattle Storm to cover 

Seattle swept Washington in the 2018 championship series and won this season's first meeting 74-71 on the road June 14. However, the Mystics (17-7) finally got some amount of revenge with a 99-79 win at Seattle on Aug. 2 and will be ready to send another message to the Storm here tonight.

Storm are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.Mystics are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Mystics are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win.Mystics are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 2 days rest.Mystics are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Wednesday games.

WNBA Home favorites vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - a very good team (+7 or more  PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after scoring 75 points or more are 27-1 SU winning by an average of 12.7 ppg. 

Play on the Washington Mystics to cover

Both these teams are playing very good basketball at the moment, with the Sky having won 7 of their L/8 games, while the Sparks have also won 7 of their L/8. But home court advantage Im betting will be the difference makers and after playing a grueling competitive game in Las Vegas a couple of days ago the Sky will not be as fresh as they need to be vs a LA team on a 5 game home winning streak that plays their best in Southern California. LA has won the L/4 meetings in this series dating back to last season and they get the nod again this Sunday.

Play on the LA Sparks to cover