We have two teams playing at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum at the moment going head to head here this evening. The Jazz remain one of the leagues top teams, while the Thunder look to be in tank mode. But Im betting on the Jazz overlooking their downtrodden opponent, while I expect the Thunder to be motivated to play a top tier side, with a nothing to lose attitude. From a linesmakers perspective this is not an outlandish line considering the matchup, but  the NBA is not a cut dry type of league when it comes to deciphering equilibriums , and with that said Ill take a contrarian view and recommend we plug our noses and  take the points. 

Oklahoma City is 4-0 SU L/4 visits to Utah. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 24-13 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.  OKLAHOMA CITY is 18-7 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 31-14 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road underdogs (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a struggling  team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 227-154 ATS L/24 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a struggling  team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 178-115 ATS L/24 seasons for a 61`% conversion rate.

Play on Oklahoma City to cover 

My own projections estimate a total that should be closer to 218. Thus giving us value with an under wager. We have a full possession plus to work with this spot play. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-8 UNDER in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-20 UNDER (+10.0 Units) when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons.

NBA team (UTAH) - a very good team (+7 PPG or more differential) against a struggling team ( 7 PPG or less differential), after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games are 26-6 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (UTAH) - a very good team (+7  or more PPG diff.) against a struggling  team (- 7 or less  PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after a combined score of 205 points or more are 23-4 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

The Lakers despite of being without their two top players James and Davis have shown themselves to be a difficult team to face, thanks to a very strong defence that ranks 2nd in the league in ppg allowed and 1st in defensive efficiency. Its their conditioning that makes them dangerous because they run constantly in transition. Note:LA LAKERS are 9-1 ATS  in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. I know the Lakers played yesterday and lost, but they are Lakers are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games as a road underdog and  are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games playing on 0 days rest and also 4-0 ATS off an SU loss and also 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 meetings in this series. 

Lakers are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games playing on 0 days rest.

 Charlotte also boasts a strong defensive presence but the Lakers rank higher , and in this type of head to head matchup have an edge according to my projections. 

Hornets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Hornets are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Play on the Lakers to cover

The Clippers rank 28th in pace in the NBA and own the 6th best ppg defense and 2nd ranked defensive rating and have allowed an average of 107 ppg on the road. Im betting the Clippers do what they do best and control the pace of this tilt and defensively own a side that is going to be in a regression mode tonight after taking part in a 132-125 uptempo affair last time out.  This Im betting directly effects the the total combined score to the under here.   INDIANA is 18-4 UNDER  after scoring 130 points or more  with an average of 201.4 ppg scored.

 LA CLIPPERS are 18-8 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of 218.9 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA CLIPPERS) - good 3PT shooting team ( 36.5% or more ) against an average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, hot shooting team - 2 straight games making  50% or better  of their shots are 28-4 UNDER L/28 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA CLIPPERS) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after allowing 115 points or more are 32-6 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (INDIANA) - in non-conference games, off a road win are 43-12 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Denver is off a down performance last time out and now Im betting on a big bounce back effort. 

DENVER is 20-8 ATS  after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons

NBA  Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 28-4 ATS L/24 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Denver to cover

The Bulls were upset last night vs Minnesota , but they are a well conditioned group despite of this being a back to back game, and their 5th and final road game on this current trip. Donovan is 17-5 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game as the coach of CHICAGO. CHICAGO is 13-4 ATS in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season. 

Chicago is 18-10 SU against opponents with a losing record.

The Grizzlies are 12-15 SU in home games.

Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Bulls are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games as a road underdog.

Bulls are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

Bulls to cover

The Jazz average just under 120 ppg at home this season, and against a lower tier defensive side like the Wizards Im betting on them putting 5 to 10 more points on that average tonight, while the Wizards Im betting will be good for 110+ points in a chasing environment. When these teams played back on March 18th the Wizards  took a 131-122 affair, and more fireworks should be considered highly likely again in the rematch as Utah will have little empathy in melt up type of revenge match.WASHINGTON is 15-3 OVER  as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 247.3 ppg scored.WASHINGTON is 8-0 OVER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game this season with a combined average of 250.7 ppg going on the board.WASHINGTON is 9-0 OVER (+9.0 Units) when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 258.3 ppg scored.

NBA team (UTAH) - after 2 straight blowout wins by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 42-15 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

Dallas lost to San Antonio last night in a close game by a 119-117 count and are now on tired legs against a top tier side that beat them already this year by a DD deficit. Rinse and repeat on tonights agenda. Carlisle is 36-53 ATS  in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more as the coach of DALLAS. 

DALLAS is 0-7 ATS after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots this season.

The Seventysixers are 11-0 ATS/SU  as a favorite after being outscored in the paint by double digits last game with each win coming by by more than 5 points. 

PHILADELPHIA is 22-12 ATS  versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DALLAS) - terrible defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season against opponent after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 63-105 L/24 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. 

Play on the 76ers to cover

Minnesota has played alot more competitively of late especially with  Karl-Anthony Towns in the lineup covering 6 of their L/9 and once again according to my power rankings  look like viable underdogs in this spot play vs the visiting Chicago Bulls side that has lost 9 of their L/14 SU overall and off a loss last time out. 

CHICAGO is 17-31 ATS  versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Bulls are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Minnesota.

Play on Minnesota to cover

The Spurs D has been trashed on a very consistent basis of late, allowing 134, 132, 134, 139, 125, 121 points in a 10 game span, and against this kind of opponent my estimates project Dallas to score in excess of 115+ points while the Spurs project to score 109+ points. Note: DALLAS is 20-4 OVER  where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 238 ppg going on the board. 

 The Spurs are 11-0-1 OVER L/12  as a dog with less than two days rest after they had fewer than 10 turnovers last game with a combined average of 237.1 ppg scored. 

Popovich is 34-16 OVER in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 as the coach of SAN ANTONIO with a combined average of 231.1 ppg going on the board . 

Play OVER

The Bucks have now lost 3 straight games, and will be vert hungry to get back on the winning track against a Orlando side they match up well against according to my power rankings and SRS numbers data. Milwaukee is ranked 4th in SRS 4.31 while, Orlando is ranked 27th with a -6.94 mark. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. Advantage Milwaukee. 

Bucks are 5-0-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Orlando.

NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ORLANDO) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a home cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog are 11-33 L/24 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover

Afternoon basketball can start a little slower then night time hoops, and today Im betting on an affair that is grinding in nature and that combines to stay under the offered totals number. 

Denver runs the 29th ranked pace in the NBA along with the 9th best ppg defence. Meanwhile, Boston ranks 21st in pace in own the 10th best ppg defence. 

Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 7-1 in Celtics last 8 overall.

Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

Play UNDER

Charlotte plays a style conducive to slowing  down teams like Atlanta. This Im betting will see this afternoon tilt garner  alot less scoring than some may be  anticipated. 

CHARLOTTE is 20-9 UNDER   in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (ATLANTA) - tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 75-39 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

 Play UNDER

Oklahoma City's D, has been shredded on a consistent basis of late, allowing an average of 129.4 ppg in their L/5 trips to the hardwood. With that said, Im expecting this trend to continue which projects into what Im betting will be a combined score that eclipses this offered totals number. 

Over is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Over is 10-2 in Thunder last 12 games as a home underdog.Over is 5-1 in Thunder last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 10-2 in Thunder last 12 home games. Over is 26-10-1 in 76ers last 37 games playing on 0 days rest.

 NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 33-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate.

Play OVER

The Sacramento Kings have lost 5 straight games, and look very much like they will lose again tonight and by a hefty count vs a Utah side that can crush the best of sides without empathy.

UTAH is 10-2 ATS  in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season . Jazz are 18-4 ATS in their last 22 games as a home favorite.

The Jazz are 16-0 ATS /SU at home after Rudy Gobert had a double double last game.

Play on the Utah Jazz to cover

Playing hard last night in a start to finish win vs the Suns, the clippers now on tired legs and not completely focused on this lowly opponent ( Rockets) should offer room for a cover by the road underdog that has covered 3 of their L/5 and not lost by more than 10 points in their L/8 games. 

HOUSTON is 14-4 ATS  in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

LA CLIPPERS are 8-21 ATS  in home games off 3 or more consecutive home wins since 1996

NBA  team (LA CLIPPERS) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 19-57 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate. 

Play on the Rockets to cover 

Denver owns the 9th ranked ppg D in the NBA behind the 29th ranked pace, while, San Antonio ranks 15th in pce in 22nd in offense  ppg. Considering both sides condensed exhausting schedule, and their other pertinent  numbers we have a projected  tilt that very much looks like a combined score that fails to eclipse this number is a likely scenario. 

Malone is 10-1 UNDER in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12  or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of DENVER with a combined average of 198.6 ppg. 

SAN ANTONIO is 10-1 UNDER revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 214.6 ppg going on the board.

NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 30-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. 

NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DENVER) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 34-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate.

Play UNDER 

Neither of these teams is playing all that well of late, but considering this is the Sixers 5th game in 9 days means they are the more tired side here. With that said,  Im betting we have an edge with the home side . SRS numbers -Phil  4.81 vs NO - 0.32- Suggest the number is tainted with general value going to the underdog.

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average

76ers are 10-22-2 ATS in their last 34 road games vs. a team with a winning home record

76ers are 1-3-2 ATS in the last 6 meetings. 

Play on the NO Pelicans to cover

 The Pistons have been very competitive of late covering 10 of their L/15 overall, but they did get beat up on by Denver last time out, 134-119. The thin air of the Mile High city and the fact the Pistons were playing back to back games and already on tired legs contributed to their loss. Now with rest Im betting on them coming out here alot fresher vs a Kings side they have revenge against for a 110-107 loss back in late February. 

DETROIT is 8-0 ATS after a blowout loss by 15 points or more this season.

DETROIT is 20-8 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season.

NBA Road underdogs (DETROIT) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less against opponent off a upset loss as a favorite are 34-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to cover

The Phoenix suns played and emotional game that ended in a OT win vs Utah last night, and now on tired legs and in an emotional letdown state are susceptible   to being run over by a side that will have little empathy for them, as they look to send a message their upstart conference rivals. 

LA CLIPPERS are 15-7 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. LA CLIPPERS are 62-42 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.

NBA road underdogs (PHOENIX) - after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 4-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the LA Clippers to cover

The Phoenix suns played and emotional game that ended in a OT win vs Utah last night, and now on tired legs and in an emotional letdown state are susceptible to a very slow start and a down offensive performance against a defense that has alot of stopping power as is evident by ranking 6th in ppg allowed behind the 27th ranked pace. Advantage under. 

PHOENIX is 18-8 UNDER  in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Utah enters this game off an exhausting game last night vs the Suns, losing in OT. Now in an emotional letdown spot I expect the Jazz to not be as aggressive offensive  as usual which Im betting results in a game that goes under the set total.  NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PORTLAND) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 26-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (UTAH) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are they 31-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER

Both these sides are playing sub par hoops at the moment, but according to my projections we have value with the home dog in this spot play.

CLEVELAND is 1-9 ATS  as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. CLEVELAND is 0-8 ATS against Northwest division opponents this season.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after beating the spread by more than 30 points in their previous game against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 8-30 L/24 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oklahoma City to cover 

The Jazz will be ramped up take out the Suns this Wednesday night in Phoenix after the Suns took out Utah in their New Year eve game by DDs. Im sure the Jazz were side swiped by a team that they had probably previously over looked. it must be noted that the Jazz since last season have been one of the leagues most dangerous road teams winning 30 off 44 games SU, including a 7-0 SU mark vs a side they have revenge against. Note: Utah is 3rd in ppg allowed defense and 3rd in ppg offense and rank 1st in the NBA in SRS with a 10.02 mark vs the Suns 3rd ranked SRS with a 6.33 mark which includes ranking 5th in defense ppg, and 9th in ppg offense. Utah has won their 3 most recent visits to Phoenix. Rinse and repeat event on board. 

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average

NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (PHOENIX) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 9-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

The Phoenix Suns are 4-185-2 ATS at home in SU losses to avenging opponents, including 0-30 ATS in their last 30 games.

Play on Utah to cover

The Atlanta Hawks are a hot team in search of their 14th victory in 18 games under interim coach Nate McMillan and will host the Memphis Grizzlies on Wednesday night. I know they played last night but are a well conditioned team and more than capable of continuing to run and gun here vs a Memphis side that also played last night and , that they this franchise has beaten at home in 17 of their L/24 games.

Hawks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games.

 Grizzlies are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a double digit win as a underdog of 6 points or more are 1-29 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -9.5 ppg. 

Play on atlanta to win /cover

This is the Bucks 5th straight road game and now on tired legs I expect a slower pace from them here and a more defensive minded stance, as they allowed 128 points last time out in a back and forth 129-128 win. Note: MILWAUKEE is 20-9 UNDER  after allowing 120 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219. 8 ppg scored. 

The Warriors are 0-10-2 UNDER off a road loss in which Stephen Curry had a positive plus/minus. 

GOLDEN STATE is 14-4 UNDER versus below average foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game this season with a combined average of 219.8 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 23-10 UNDER versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season with a combined average of 222 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 205 points or more are 34-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

NB ARoad teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after scoring 110 points or more are 29-5 UNDER L/24 seasons  for a 85% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER

Pistons have played well against top tier sides like Denver as is evident by a  7-0 ATS record  in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. DETROIT is also 11-1 ATS   versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season.

Meanwhile, the Nuggets are a sub par  8-18-1 ATS in their last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 and  is 8-18 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. 

I know The Nuggets scored a 119-109 win on Sunday over Orlando for their fifth straight and are hot, but this number is just slightly inflated and gives us some needed value.

Detroit also looked good last time out, taking a 132-108 win vs the Thunder and have momentum entering this tilt.Road underdogs (DETROIT) - off a road win, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are a bankroll expanding 52-24 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. 

Detroit has covered 4 of the L/5 meetings in this series and Im betting they stay within the number here tonight.

Play on the Pistons to cover

Over is 5-1-1 in Grizzlies last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record and tonight Im betting they push the red hot Heat into a faster paced more offensive game then they would like to partake in. Over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 games as a home favorite.

MIAMI is 8-0 OVER  in home games versus struggling  defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 238.4 ppg scored.

MIAMI is 13-3 OVER  in home games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.2 ppg. 

MEMPHIS is 9-1 OVER in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229 ppg scored.

MEMPHIS is 11-2 OVER  in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 233 ppg scored.

Only one of Grizzlies last 10 games have seen less than 216 combined points scored.

Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Miami.

Play OVER

Boston is owns the 6th best SRS in the league at 4.57 while Boston ranks 10th with a 1.96 mark. My projections and power rankings along with the SRS data, makes the 76ers the fav by 2.5 plus points making them my selection this spot. Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

PHILADELPHIA is 18-8 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 25-1 L/5 seasons for a 96% conversion rate.

Play on the 76ers to cover

The Sixers ranks 7th in ppg allowed while the Celtics rank 10th behind the 21st ranked pace. Both sides are considered eastern conference contenders and rivals and tonight Im betting on a physical affair, as both jockey for play off seeding possibilities and domination from a head to head standpoint.

Boston has gone under in 5 straight. Philadelphia have stayed under in 8 of their L/11 overall. 

BOSTON is 30-11 UNDER L/41 after a huge blowout win by 30 or more with the average combined score of 193 ppg scored. (Beat Charlotte 116-86 last time out) Regression is expected. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BOSTON) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 51-17 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 75% conversion rate.

Play on the UNDER

The Lakers remain without the services of Anthony Davis and LeBron James and are fade material in their current form that has seen them lose 6 of the L/9 and while covering just 2 times. The Lakers also have a history of poor performances vs the Atlantic division failing to cover 20 of their L/24 opportunities including 4 straight meetings vs the Raptors as visitors. 

Lakers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.Raptors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Play on the Raptors to cover

The Suns, who will visit the Houston Rockets on Monday, closed Sunday ranked seventh in offensive rating (115.3) and tonight Im betting on more offensive explosiveness, that will result in a wide open affair that eclipses this number. 

The Rockets are 21-0-1 OVER  with no rest after a loss in which they led after the third quarter which was the case last time out. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 61-25 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

The Knicks have proved themselves to be a top tier defensive side this season behind key catalyst  Rose  who plays into their system perfectly. Since  Derrick Rose came to this team the Knicks own the  best defense in the NBA  as is evident by allowing just  107.2 points per 100 possessions. Tonight whether James Harden or Durant play for the Nets, I still like the Knicks and their never say die attitude, and hard core physical attributes and team chemistry to make life difficult for the Nets.The Knicks are 9-2 ATS l/11 on the road vs .750 or better opposition. The Knicks have lost both meetings this season, by 5 and 7 points respectively and another close one will be on this agenda , but Im betting on the Knicks tenaciousness to get them the cover in revenge mode. Note:Knicks are  4-0 ATS in this series when playing with same-season double revenge- exact . 

Play on NY Knicks to cover

The Atlanta Hawks return home and are now on tired legs after  their season-long eight-game road trip and now this  Sunday play to host the Golden State Warriors.Both sides are banged up as the condensed schedule takes its toll on teams. If Warriors Seth curry plays he will be less than 100% with a sore tailbone as will Atlantas Trae Young who has knee issues. With that said, Im betting on a muted type tilt that will be slower than might be expected, which will translate into a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers  estimates. The last time these teams played the Hawks pounded the Warriors by a DD deficit and now I expect the Warriors to be more vigilant defensively.Note: Kerr is 35-18 UNDER  in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent as the coach of GOLDEN STATE with a combined average of 216.5 ppg scored.GOLDEN STATE is 34-21 UNDER when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 18-9 UNDER  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season with a combined average of 222.9 ppg scored. 

The Warriors are 0-10 UNDER L/10 after they had at least 5 turnovers more than their season-to-date average last game with a combined average of 211 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent against opponent off a road blowout win by 20 points or more are 47-17 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

The Lakers modus operandi has been a top tier brand of  defense , as is evident by ranking 2nd in the league in ppg allowed, behind what is now a short handed offense that ranks 22nd in ppg scored this season. The Lakers have gone under in 9 of their L/10 games. Competing here against the explosive Clippers Im betting will see the Lakers be even more attentive in transition which will dictate a slower pace (ranked 15th in the league) than is usually the case and this this will translate into a combined score that does not eclipse this offered number. 

LA LAKERS are 16-2 UNDER  when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 210.7 ppg. LA LAKERS are 20-4 UNDER  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts this season for a combined average of 211.4 ppg scored. LA LAKERS are 16-3 UNDER   versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 215 ppg. LA LAKERS are 23-8 UNDER  versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season with a combined average of 215.1 ppg scored. LA LAKERS are 10-2 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with a combined average of 212.7 ppg. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA CLIPPERS) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 92-38 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

The Nets come into the game 34-15, fresh off an truly eye opening 111-89 win over the Charlotte Hornets on Thursday night. The home blowout represented a fourth straight victory for the Nets, who have won 12 of their last 14 to climb to the top of the Eastern Conference during this hot stretch. This team is heading into top gear and looks unstoppable in their current form especially against an inconsistent Bulls side that looks lost after 6 straight losses where they have been outplayed. Note: The Nets are  14-2 in 2/1 rest situations  and are 6-1 ATS L/7 in this series . Rinse and repeat situation on board. CHICAGO is 0-11 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. 

Even if Durant is not in the lineup today the Nets still have the guns to defeat the Bulls. 

NBA Road teams (BROOKLYN) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 62-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Brooklyn Nets to win 

The San Antonio Spurs have not played well at home this season, and have won only twice through the first seven games of their franchise-high 9 game home-stand, and once again look like vulnerable favs in this spot.  Spurs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. I know that the Pacers are not exactly playing great basketball, but a sense of desperation now permeates around this team, and a win is extremely important right now. This Im betting will see the Pacers pull out all the stops here this evening, making getting points a viable investment  option. 

Pacers are 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Pacers are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games following a double-digit loss at homePacers are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.Pacers are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in San Antonio.

NBA Home teams (SAN ANTONIO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 31-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. 

Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover

Cleveland has been held under 100 points in each of its past four games, but all the more need to open up, which will effect their defensive numbers. Miami popped 116 points on the board last time out, and are more than capable of putting points on the board here. 

MIAMI is 9-0 OVER as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of  232.2 ppg. 

MIAMI is 15-4 OVER  in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 226 ppg going on the board. MIAMI is 11-1 OVER in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 232.7 ppg. 

CLEVELAND is 13-4 OVER  in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 225.4 ppg were scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CLEVELAND) - in a game involving two horrible defensive teams (102 or more PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 110 points or more 2 straight games are 25-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate.

NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CLEVELAND) - in a game involving two horrible defensive teams (102 or more  PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 110 points or more 2 straight games are 35-11 OVER L/24 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the OVER

Cleveland has lost 4 straight games by DD deficits and even now in desperation mode look like candidates to be blown out of the water in another  blowout style affair. vs a Heat side that is heating up and that has won and cover 5 straight in this series at home. The Cavaliers are 0-11 ATS /SU failing to cover by more than 14 ppg  as a 8+ point dog after Collin Sexton was their high scorer last game with the average ppg diff clicking in at 25.1 ppg. CLEVELAND is 0-7 ATS  in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -22.4 ppg. 

Play on Cleveland to cover

These teams have plenty of offensive  fire power, but they both still possess some physical defensive attributes, and Im betting those stopping  qualities  will shine in this tilt between top tier sides. I expect both teams to pay special attention to defense especially in transition. Bucks HC Budenholzer is 83-56 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) in all games he has coached with the average combined score ringing in at 209.9 ppg. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE/ PORTLAND) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 29-4 UNDER L/24 seasons for a  88% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 205 points or more are 33-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PORTLAND) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 35-8 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PORTLAND) - after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 34-8 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

The Atlanta Hawks and the New Orleans Pelicans both played overtime Thursday night.Both were short-handed. Both will be tired when they complete back-to-backs with a Friday night matchup in New Orleans. However, one side  the Hawks does have the edge according to my power rankings which adjust for conditioning.  The Hawks rank higher on my charts and are one of the better conditioned sides in the league. 

Pelicans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record and are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite and are also  1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Hawks are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in New Orleans. Hawks are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.Hawks HC  McMillan is 13-2 ATS  after allowing 105 points or more 5 straight games in all games he has coached since 1996. 

NEW ORLEANS is 1-12 ATS  in home games versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46%  or more- 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on Atlanta to cover

Houston ranks 25th in ppg offence , while Boston ranks 16th in offensive ppg output. both have proven themselves highly inconsistent offensively and Im betting on more of the same muted action when they meet this Friday night. 

Under is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 games as a favorite.

Under is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 games as a road underdog.

HOUSTON is 18-4 UNDER  versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average score of 216.6 ppg. HOUSTON is 25-9 UNDER  versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season for a combined average of 217.9 ppg. HOUSTON is 14-2 UNDER after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games this season with a combined average of 213.4 ppg scored. 

Under is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings in Boston.

Play UNDER

The Raptors in my opinion are in tank mode and playing with little or no motivation, and their offence has proven futile for a quite a while now. The Raptors are 0-12 UNDER L/12  at home off a loss in which they shot under 40% from the field, which was the case last time out. Torontos opponent Golden State, is 20-9 UNDER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons . This game has sleeper written all over it, that will translate to a lower scoring affair. 

Play on the UNDER 

New Orleans enters this game off a 115-109 win vs Boston on the road last time out. But now on in a letdown spot could start slowly, which could see their improving defensive game lapse early giving us the room for a faster pace game as this tilt progresses giving an edge for this total to go  over the offered number. 

NEW ORLEANS is 12-0 OVER  in home games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 243.5 ppg scored.Van Gundy is 11-1 OVER   in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game as the coach of NEW ORLEANS with a combined average of 236.9 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

New Orleans enters this game off a 115-109 upset win vs Boston on the road last time out. But now on in a letdown spot could start slowly vs a Orlando Magic side that is playing better lately   from a bettors perspective having covered 4 straight and 7 of their L/9 overall in competitive fashion. The Magic are also 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 meetings vs the Pelicans and get my support here getting points. 

NEW ORLEANS is 1-10 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

NBA team vs the money line (ORLANDO) -   - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after scoring 40 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are  26-6 L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (ORLANDO) - good offensive team - scoring 99+ points/game on the season, after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 71-39 L/24 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover

The Heat rank 27th in offensive output per game in the league and rank 3rd in defense ppg in the league behind a grinding pace that ranks 28th in the NBA. Seth Curry and company may want to open up but with the Heat  dictating the pace of their games. Im betting this will be a sloshy affair that runs much slower than even this totals number indicates. GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 UNDER  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 207. 8 ppg scored. MIAMI is 12-4 UNDER  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season with a combined average of 205.1 ppg going on the board. 

The Warriors are 0-13-1 UNDER by more than 20 points a game as a dog with rest off a game as a dog in which they had less than 10% of their points from free throws with none of the game sin this 14 game set going over this offered number. 

Play UNDER

The Nets, who glided past the visiting Houston Rockets 120-108 on Wednesday night, hold the best record in the Eastern Conference. Their 33-15 record includes a 19-6 mark in home games and despite of how well the Hornets have played this season, Im betting they are in a bad spot vs a side that will be more than ready to send a message, yes even if James Harden cannot play. The Hornets won their first matchup with the Nets this season, a 106-104 decision on Dec. 27 in Charlotte and now we have the motivation of a strong side to back here in revenge mode. BROOKLYN is 11-2 ATS  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.The Hornets are 0-14 ATS /SU  as a road dog coming off a game as a favorite.

Play on Brooklyn to cover

The Sixers are off a loss last time out which was their 2nd straight and now i expect a more aggressive offensive effort after producing just 95 points last time out whihc will help this combined score get eclipsed . The Seventysixers are 11-0 OVER L/12 as a favorite coming off a loss as a road dog with a combined average of 235.9 ppg scored. 

NBA road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHILADELPHIA) - good shooting team - shooting 46% or better on the season against opponent after a game where a team made 35% of their shots or worse are 22-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. 

Play OVER 

Sacramento took out the Spurs 132-115  when they played a couple of days ago, and now Im betting the Spurs paying alot more attention to defence especially in transition which should slow this game down a bit. Which I am betting helps keep this combined score on the low side of the total.  SAN ANTONIO is 9-1 UNDER  revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 213.4 ppg scored.

SAN ANTONIO is 32-17 UNDER in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 218.8 ppg scored. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 39-13 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against an average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50%  or more of their shots are 27-3 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

The Jazz will try to extend their six-game winning streak on Wednesday night when they take on the Grizzlies in Memphis, but Im betting things wont go as easily as some may  believe. The Jazz's arrival in Memphis was delayed after their charter plane, which departed from Salt Lake City, was forced to make an emergency landing in the same city shortly after takeoff on Tuesday when it hit a flock of birds that caused an engine issue. No players were injured, but the plane returned to Salt Lake City International Airport, where the Jazz waited for another aircraft. This kind of delay is never easy on players, and Im betting it will show on the court. MEMPHIS is 19-8 ATS  versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season. MEMPHIS is 23-11 ATS in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. MEMPHIS is 27-13 ATS against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

The Grizzlies are 14-0 ATS /12-2 SU with rest after outscoring their opponent in the paint by at least 10 points last game with both losses coming by 3 points or less. 

Play on Memphis to cover

The Knicks I am betting will bounce back from an atypical defeat Wednesday night, when they visit the Timberwolves in Minneapolis, Minn., in the final game of the season between the nonconference foes. Minnesota is highly inconsistent and a regression is expected tonight. 

The Timberwolves are 0-15 ATS /SU as a dog off a road game in which Karl Anthony Towns scored at least 30 points.

NBA Road teams (NEW YORK) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a terrible team (-7 PPG or less differential) are 41-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate.

Play on NY Knicks to cover

Brooklyn smashed Houston 132-114 on March 3rd and now knowing they cannot run with this type of juggernaut they will hunker down and try to turn this game into a physical affair , which will translate into a lower scoring game.

HOUSTON is 14-4 UNDER  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36%  or more  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

HOUSTON is 21-8 UNDER  revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 220.2 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 21-8 UNDER   revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 212.4 ppg scored. 

The Rockets are 0-14-1 UNDER L/15 coming off a 10+ point loss as a home dog with a combined average of 210. 6 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER

For 9 straight games the Sixers did not allow more than 109 points to opposing offenses, and than last time out allowed 122 points. Im now betting on them coming back and paying special attention to defense especially in  transition, which Im betting helps keep this tilt on the low side of the total. Note : Their opponent Denver, ranks 29th in pace, so with the pressure Im betting the Sixers bring , this game will be alot slower than anticipated by the lines-makers.Under is 5-1-1 in 76ers last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHILADELPHIA) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 88-44 L/24 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Golden States super star Curry is not expected to face the Bulls, and thats not a good omen for their chances here vs a Bulls side that just added Vucevic,.CHICAGO is 14-5 ATS  in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. CHICAGO is 12-1 ATS in road games after a non-conference game this season.

NBA Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 6-51 L/24 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.1 ppg. 

NBA Home teams (GOLDEN STATE) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, hot shooting team - 2 straight games making  50% or more  of their shots are 100-43 ATS L/24 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago Bulls to cover

This has been a grueling season for NBA teams, as they take part in a condensed league schedule. The Bucks are now playing their 3rd game in 4 days and are pretty banged up , despite of most of their starters expected to play tonight and Im betting they will not want to take part in anything that resembles a run and gun affair, much like their meeting  in late Feb that saw the Clippers lose to the Bucks by a 105-100 score. Im once again betting on defence, and special attention paid to transitional ball to  help keep this combined score on the low side of the total. 

MILWAUKEE is 21-8 UNDER L/29 versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season with a combined average of 190.6 ppg. MILWAUKEE is 31-17 UNDER  when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 219.6 ppg scored.

LA CLIPPERS are 19-9 UNDER  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.2 ppg scored. 

LA CLIPPERS are 17-7 UNDER  when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.2 ppg going on the board. 

NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA CLIPPERS) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 39-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 35-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. 

The Bucks are looking to defeat the Clippers for the fifth straight time and Im betting they have the edge here as underdogs as two-time reigning MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo is slated to return from a one-game absence due to his nagging left knee injury. Antetokounmpo was one of four starters to miss Saturday's 102-96 home loss to the New York Knicks. Milwaukee posted a 105-100 home win over Los Angeles on Feb. 28 when Giannis Antetokounmpo recorded 36 points,. Rinse and repeat situation on board.MILWAUKEE is 21-8 ATS  when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 2 seasons.Clippers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Play on Milwaukee to cover

This Toronto team is the most hungry angry and desperate side you will get to back this season. I know they played last night and have now lost 11 of their L/12, but like I started off with this game screams must need win, vs a side they have revenge against and matchup well against.  NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TORONTO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 2 or more consecutive home losses are 22-4 ATS L/24 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Toronto to cover

Dallas has been playing. alot better D of late and have seen 6 of their L/8 games as result stay under the total. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City have gone under in 4 of their L/6 mostly because of lack of offence that ranks 27th in the league, and a stricter defensive methodology. Im betting on more of the same action here when these teams meet and a combined score that remains on the low side of the total. 

The Mavericks are 0-16 UNDER L/16 as a road favorite when the line is at least eight points lower than their last game going under by more than 19 ppg.  Under is 6-0 in Mavericks last 6 games following a straight up loss.

Under is 12-4 in Mavericks last 16 overall.Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

The Raptors have lost 10 of their L/11 and with Portland Damian Lilliard expected to play after sitting out this past Friday, look once again that their current losing run will continue. 

TORONTO is 1-10 ATS   in home games versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or better - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

NBA Home favorites (TORONTO) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 20-46 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

The Suns are in revenge mode for a loss they suffered to the Hornets on Feb 24th at home losing by a 124-121 count. I know the Suns are on tired legs but according to my power rankings and  adjusted ratings they are the best conditioned team in the league . Williams is 8-0 ATS  when playing their 4th road game in 7 days as the coach of PHOENIX.

PHOENIX is 16-3 ATS  in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons

PHOENIX is 15-4 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 38-10 L/24 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 31-9 ATS L/24 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home underdogs (CHARLOTTE) - terrible defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season, after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 8-29 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Phoenix suns to cover

Sacramento put 141 points on the board in a DD win vs the Hawks last time out, and now Im betting on regression in this spot play vs a Cleveland side that  has been mostly competitive in their L/6 trips tp the court going 3-3 SU. 

Walton is 4-15 ATS L/19 in home games after a combined score of 245 points or more in all games he has coached. 

NBA Home favorites (SACRAMENTO) - in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (33%-36.5%) after 42+ games, after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better are 6-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% go against conversion rate. 

Play on Cleveland to cover

Doncic was sidelined by tightness in his lower back as the Mavericks lost to visiting Indiana 109-94 on Friday, but HC Rick Carlisle said Doncic would travel to New Orleans and was hopeful the All-Star would be available. Thus on that premise I will recommend what my power rankings suggest is the superior side. Dallas ranks 10th in SRS with a 1.64 mark and New Orelans ranks 13th with a 0.75 mark. Note: SRS: Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average

DALLAS is 12-2 ATS in road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Dallas to cover

The San Antonio Spurs Im betting will get back to their winning ways after 4 straight losses  and finally take advantage of their home court when they host the new-look Chicago Bulls on Saturday as side that has also struggled losing 4 of their L/5 overall..  Note:  Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 41-16 ATS L/24 seasons for a 72% conversion rate.  SAN ANTONIO is 11-3 ATS  in non-conference games this season.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 41-4 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover

The Timberwolves got by the Rockets 107-101 last night and Im betting on another close game tonight after looking at some game film, that proved to me how evenly matched these opponents are. Timberwolves are 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 games as a home favorite and  are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win. Rockets are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HOUSTON) - cold team - having lost 15 or more of their last 20 games against opponent after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games are 46-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Rockets to cover

The Jazz have won their past three matchups against Memphis and Im betting on another conclusive win here at home in the land of the mormons. 

The Jazz are 13-0 ATS/SU  at home coming off a win with each victory coming by DDS. .UTAH is 12-0 ATS  after 3 consecutive non-conference games this season.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - a very good team (>=+7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after scoring 105 points or more 4 straight games are 100-63 L/24 seasons for a long term 61% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Utah to cover

The Dallas Mavericks look to keep their foot on the gas when they host the Indiana Pacers on Friday.The Mavericks posted their 14th win in 19 outings with a 128-108 victory over the Minnesota Timberwolves on Wednesday. With that said, Ill recommend we ride the momentum of the Mavs vs a inconsistent Pacers side, that was blasted by the Mavs at home earlier this season. INDIANA is 2-11 ATS  in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.INDIANA is 0-11 ATS  after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games this season. NDIANA is 4-15 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% ot more  of their shots this season. 

Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover

Denver despite of ranking 4th in ppg scored in the league also ranks 29th in pace. Thanks to a high shooting percentage, which Im betting regresses the Nuggets are scoring at a lower rate than their current output should be expected going forward, at least according to my own projections. With Van Gundy finally getting his Pelicans to pay more attention to defence of late,  allowing 101, 108, 111, and 86 in 4 of their L/5 we have a situation that actually bodes well for a score that does not eclipse this total. 

DENVER is 94-64 UNDER  in road games against Southwest division opponents with a combined average of 204.5 ppg scored in that 158 game sample size. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after allowing 115 points or more are 30-5 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

The Knicks will get a chance to go back over the .500 mark for the fourth time since Feb. 27 after rolling to a 131-113 win over Washington on Tuesday night. Im betting on their explosive momentum and willing to lay a trey . NEW YORK is 9-1 ATS  at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season. The Wizards are 0-14 ATS /SU on the road with rest coming off a road game where they scored fewer than 10 fast break points. which was the case in that above mentioned blowout loss. 

 WASHINGTON is 2-10 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - after allowing 110 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after scoring 120 points or more are 16-60 L/24 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at 10.2 ppg which qualifies under an ATS situational bet. 

Play on NY Knicks to cover

The Nets are playing their 5th game in 7 days and are also playing on back to back nights which Im betting has them on tired legs and in no way ready to run and gun here in the high altitudes of  Salt Lake City tonight. With this being the Jazz first home game after a 5 game road trip they may also be disorientated and take time to get use to home cooking which in conjunction with the Nets exhaustion should see a combine score that remains on the low side of the offered number. 

UTAH is 13-3 UNDER  in home games after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 213.2 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (Brooklyn/UTAH) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 29-4 UNDER  L/24 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) ARE 35-8 UNDER L/24 SEASONS for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

The Phoenix Suns have been racking up the road wins and are closing in on an impressive franchise record.Phoenix aims to stretch its road winning streak to eight games when it visits the Orlando Magic on Wednesday and Im betting they get it as well as the cover vs a Orlando team that looks to be in tank mode .ORLANDO is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.The Magic are 0-15 ATS /SU L/15  after allowing 50-plus points in the paint last game failing to cover by more than 14 ppg with every loss coming by DDs. 

Play on Phoenix to cover

Detroit has been extremely inconsistent this season , and after a couple wins put out a clunker last time out at home. However, my power rankings suggest they matchup well vs the Pacers who are also less than consistent. Thus making getting points here a viable betting opportunity. 

The Pacers are 2-11 ATS L/13 at home. INDIANA is 0-10 ATS  after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games this season.

DETROIT is 17-6 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season. DETROIT is 10-1 ATS off a home loss this season. The Pistons are 14-0-1 ATS   with more than one day of rest coming off a home game.

INDIANA is 3-12 ATS  in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) against a poor team (-3 to -7 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are just 7-28 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams (INDIANA) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 6-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to cover

With Golden States Seth Curry and his brother at less than 100% if they play at all tonight Im betting the Sixers who are in top form have an edge.  PHILADELPHIA is 16-5 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season.PHILADELPHIA is 16-4 ATS  after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season. Sixers are 7-1-1 ATS L/9 overall.76ers are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

NBA teams vs the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) - 42+ game are 8-26 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +4.5 ppg.

Play on Philadelphia to cover 

The Trail Blazers were a shaky 9 of 41 from 3-point range and the trio of Damian Lillard (seven attempts), CJ McCollum (five) and Carmelo Anthony (four) never saw one go through the net in their ugly DD loss Sunday to Dallas  and will now be ready to play much better defence in redemption mode.  The Blazers also on tired legs will want to slow down their speed orientated opponent which Im betting will lead to a lower scoring tilt than the linesmakers expect . QUOTE: "We really depend on our offense and making 3s and any time me, CJ and Melo go 0-for-16 from three, we're not going to have much of a chance," Lillard said;  eND QUOTE: 

BROOKLYN is 36-18 L/54 UNDER after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher.  Under is 5-2 in Nets last 7 games as an underdog. 

Under is 8-2 in Trail Blazers last 10 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games are 26-3 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 90% conversion rate.

Play the UNDER

The Pelicans enter this game ranked 5th in ppg offence in the league and 25th in ppg allowed defence. \Tonight New Orleans will be out looking to take down a Lakers side playing without James and Davis, and will have no mercy in the process which Im betting leads us into a higher scoring tilt that the public and linesmkaers might expect. NEW ORLEANS is 17-4 OVER   in home games this season with a combined average of 232.4 ppg scored. 

NEW ORLEANS is 11-0 OVER  in home games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 243.8 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 9-0 OVER  in home games after a game where they covered the spread this season with a combined average of 242.1 ppg scored. 

NEW ORLEANS is 26-9 OVER   versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season with a combine average of 233.6 ppg scored. 

Play OVER 

Rockets' are on a demoralizing 20-game skid and now face a hungry Toronto side, that is on a 8 game losing streak and desperate for a win. 

HOUSTON is 4-17 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts this season. HOUSTON is 3-17 ATS  in home games this season.HOUSTON is 0-7 ATS  in home games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season. HOUSTON is 1-9 ATS  as a home underdog this season.

Play on Toronto to cover

The Pacers shot just 38.8% yesterday and looked to be on tired legs in a grinding  109-106 OT win vs the Heat. Now playing on back to back days, Indiana could find themselves running on less than a full tank and susceptible to a down offensive effort vs the red hot Bucks . Note: The Pacers are 0-11 UNDER L/11 on the road after they shot under 40% from the field.Under is 9-3 in Pacers last 12 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.Under is 5-2 in Bucks last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Play on the UNDER

The Pacers took part in a grinding 109-106 OT battle yesterday vs the Heat, and will now be on tired legs in back to back tilts and susceptible to down performance.  The Bucks are red hot having won 6 straight and have are 5-0 straight SU/ATS vs the Pacers L/5 at home in this series  and get my support again in a favorable situation here on home court.INDIANA is 4-17 ATS ( versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36%  or more of their attempts this season.INDIANA is 0-9 ATS  after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games this season.

Play on Milwaukee to cover

The Sacramento Kings conclude a six-game road swing through the Eastern Conference on Monday, facing the Cleveland Cavaliers. Needless to say Im sure their exhausted and susceptible to a down performance. Cleveland has won 2 of their L/3 and are showing signs of momentum.Bickerstaff is 22-9 ATS in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games in all games he has coached .Kings are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite.

Play on Cleveland to cover

The Blazers are starting to heat up as CJ McCollum has shaken off the rust  after a explosive effort on Friday night  and now the Trail Blazers look like viable bets to beat the visiting Dallas Mavericks for the second time in three nights.

Note:The Trailblazers are 11-0 ATS/SU  L/11 off a home win in which they had assists on less than 40 percent of their made field goals.

DALLAS is 9-19 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. 

Stotts is 120-97 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of PORTLAND.

Play on the Portland Blazers to cover

In the first meeting of this weekends series the Indiana Pacers pounded the Miami Heat 137-110 and now the Heat have revenge on board and will motivated here . MIAMI is 32-19 ATS  after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

INDIANA is 1-9 ATS  after allowing 110 points or more 3 straight games this season.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 33-9 ATS L/24 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MIAMI) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an embarrassing upset loss by 20 points or more as a favorite are 26-4 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. 

Play on Miami to cover

Early afternoon starts can some time see teams starting slowly and playing with less energy . After Miami allowed 137 points in a DD loss to the Pacers in the first game of this weekend series, you can bet the Heat will be ready to pay attention to defense in transition and for the Pacers to regress offensively after shooting 58.4 % from the field and 55.6% from the land of the trey.The Heat are 0-12-1 UNDER  at home after their opponent shot 50% or better from beyond the arc last game with a combined average of 202 ppg.

INDIANA is 15-4 UNDER after scoring 130 points or more.

NBA team (MIAMI) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game are 25-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

The Charlotte Hornets aim to halt a 10-game road losing streak to the Los Angeles Clippers when the teams square off on Saturday night and despite of looking like non viable su winners, getting the cover is a viable option.CHARLOTTE is 19-8 ATS versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more  - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.CHARLOTTE is 10-2 ATS  when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.CHARLOTTE is 21-8 ATS after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Charlotte to cover

 The Sixers remain quite formidable at home, going 18-4 SU and deserve respect here as medium line price. The Kings are getting respect,  because of a couple of road wins as dogs. However, they are on tired legs with this being their 5th straight away game in a week,  Note: NBA  team (SACRAMENTO) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, playing on back-to-back days are 53-94 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors.

PHILADELPHIA is 12-4 ATS  in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season. SACRAMENTO is 7-15 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts this season.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a double digit win as a underdog of 6 points or more are 1-24 SU L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at 9+ ppg. 

Play on  Philadelphia to cover

The Lakers key to their successes and failures are based on a top tier brand of  defensive basketball that can easily take teams like the Hawks out of their offensive flow. The Lakers rank 6th in NBA in ppg allowed and are ranked 24th in pace in the league. Considering the Hawks have win 6 straight, you can bet the Lakers will be ready to play . It must also be noted that the Hawks own the 11th best ppg defense in the NBA and rank 22nd in pace, which is. a divergence to previous recent campaigns. With this being an afternoon game, Im also expecting energy levels to be somewhat subdued which Im betting will influence total input in this spot and keep the combined score below this posted total offering.  Four of the L/5 meetings in this series have stayed under the total.

Under is 6-1 in Hawks last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600

LA LAKERS are 11-1 UNDER  in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at. 215.7 ppg .LA LAKERS are 15-3 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 209.5 ppg.LA LAKERS are 13-3 UNDER as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 213 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER

Portland played last night and are now on tired legs as they play their 5th game in 7 nights, and are susceptible to a down effort vs a Dallas side that matches up well against them according to my power rankings and projections. According to SRS ratings the Mavs rank 11th in the league with a 1.10 SRS vs the Blazers who rank 22nd and 0.94 mark. i.e ( Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average)

Mavericks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite.Mavericks are 27-13-1 ATS in their last 41 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Mavericks are 21-9 ATS in the last 30 meetings. Mavericks are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Portland.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (DALLAS) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 41-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.3  ppg. 

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PORTLAND) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or more  on the season, after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 13-37 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate.

Play on Dallas to cover

HC Nick Nurse and the Raptors are finally getting  completely healthy   heading into this contest vs the Jazz. Its been the Raptors problems with covid protocols that has derailed some of their previous positive momentum . However, now well rested and the Raptors should prove to be a formidable opponent for a Utah side that after being red hot have now lost 4 of their L/7 overall and looking very mortal. Jazz are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Nurse is 17-4 ATS  after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games as the coach of TORONTO.Toronto is 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 meetings in this series. 

Play on Toronto to cover

Brooklyn is 14-1 in its past 15 games and has won a franchise-record eight straight road games and six straight overall and are   are 12-0 OVER L/12  as a road favorite eclipsing  the the total  by more than 19 ppg.  Im betting on them continuing to run and gun in this spot vs a Orlando side on tired legs after playing last night . I know the Magic scored just 93 points last night in a one point loss to the Knicks, but now with very little left to lose after suffering their 9th straight ,loss Im betting we see a fairly wide open affair, as the Magic go into tank mode. Note: Orlando is also getting healthier and are expected to have Fournier , back in the lineup. 

BROOKLYN is 8-1 OVER  in road games versus struggling  defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game this season with a combined average of 251.7 ppg scored.BROOKLYN is 9-1 OVER in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season with a combined average of 248.7 ppg scored.BROOKLYN is 15-2 OVER  versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average of 241.1 ppg scored. 

Play OVER

Toronto has done well against the Jazz recently winning 4 straight meetings and must than be noted that the Jazz are 0-12-2 UNDER as a road favorite when they lost at least their last two meetings against this opponent.TORONTO is 24-10 UNDER  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average score fo those tilts ringing in at 212.7 ppg. My projections also estimate a total closer to 227 which is more than a full possession edge. 

Play on the UNDER 

The Blazers took Tuesdays nights tilt by 1 point, and now Im betting on the Pelicans regrouping and getting the Portland split. Pelicans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Trail Blazers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

NBA  teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) - up-tempo team averaging 83 or more shots/game on the season against opponent after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 40-14 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

PORTLAND is 12-23 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game over the last 2 seasons

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PORTLAND) - after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 16-41 L/5 seasons for a 72%  go against conversion rate for bettors, 

Play on New Orleans to cover

Atlanta has won 7 straight with alot of that success attributed to much better defensive performances, allowing  107, 82, 106 scores in their L/3 efforts  . Im betting on the Hawks D to continue to improve vs a Oklahoma City side, that ranks 26th in ppg offence in the league. With that said, Im betting on this combined score failing to eclipse the total.

The Thunder are 0-12 UNDER L/12 off a game as a dog in which they had more turnovers than assists. OKLAHOMA CITY is 30-18 UNDER  when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons.OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-7 UNDER L/26 in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.

ATLANTA is 12-3 UNDER  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

Play UNDER 

The Grizzlies will be primed to take down the red hot Miami Heat here tonight at home and get my support.The Heat are 0-13 ATS L/13 as a road favorite off a win where they allowed 50-plus points in the paint including 7 straight SU losses. MIAMI is 4-13 ATS  after a blowout win by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out. 

Play on the Grizzlies to win 

These two top tier teams will test each other here this evening a what could be a dress rehearsal for a play off matchup. With that said, Im betting a on hard fought physical affair that stays on the low side of the number.  

PHILADELPHIA is 31-17 UNDER  when playing 4 or less games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons.

MILWAUKEE is 28-15 UNDER off a road win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE/PHILADELPHIA ) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are  23-3 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 89% conversion rate.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE/PHILADELPHIA) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 34-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER 

The Sixers are riding a season-best, six-game winning streak entering their matchup with the visiting Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday, and in their current form will not easily be disposed of making getting points a viable wagering opportunity.

MILWAUKEE is 7-22 ATS  in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 9-1 ATS  in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days are 33-4 L/24 seasons for a 89% conversion rate.

Play on the 76ers to cover

The banged up Raptors have lost 4 straight, and considering their current form , and knowing nothing comes easy to them right now , it will be an easy decision to take the points with the home side,.  DETROIT is 17-8 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season. DETROIT is 9-1 ATS off a home loss this season.

TORONTO is 3-11 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season. 

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (TORONTO) - off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more, playing with 2 days rest are 8-35 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to cover

 The Lakers are off their biggest offensive output in 15 games last time out scoring 128 points on 62.8% FG shooting. LA LAKERS are 11-1 UNDER after a game where they made 60% of their shots or better since 1996. Meanwhile the Wolves are off an upset win last time out.  MINNESOTA is 26-6 UNDER  in road games off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog since 1996.

 LA LAKERS are 18-5 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. LA LAKERS are 16-2 UNDER  after playing a road game this season.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MINNESOTA) - off a win against a division rival, a terrible team (25% or less) playing a team with a winning record are 25-4 L/24 seasons for a 86% conversion rate.

Play UNDER

The Trail Blazers will welcome standout shooting guard CJ McCollum back to the lineup after a two-month absence due to a fractured left foot. McCollum averaged 26.7 points and five assists in 13 games prior to the injury and this makes them a dangerous opponent vs a public side ( New Orleans) tonight. I know Zion Williamson is a super star in the making but this still does not make the Pelicans contenders , and tonight that will become evident. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a double digit win as a underdog of 6 points or more are 1-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 97% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Portland to cover

My projections estimate both these sides will easily eclipse the 105 point plateau here this evening. OKLAHOMA CITY is 16-2 OVER  where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average score of 234.4 ppg scored.  CHICAGO is 19-4 OVER  where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 239.6 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 47-13 OVER L/24 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, in non-conference games are 35-11 OVER L/24 seasons for. a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER

The Knicks are in bounce back mode after a frustrating 117-112 road loss to the Brooklyn Nets on Monday in which they cut an 18-point deficit down to three in the final seconds. This team has shown me they are a never say die group and deserve respect as underdogs in this spot play. The Knicks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.Knicks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Also the Knicks have revenge on board for a loss earlier this season to the Sixers. NEW YORK is 8-1 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season.NEW YORK is 13-4 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons. I know the 76ers are hot but they are just   3-15 ATS  after 4 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons .NEW YORK is 10-1 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games this season.

Play on the Knicks to cover

The Lakers were off Sunday, having opened the second half with a defensive minded 105-101 home win over the Indiana Pacers on Friday, while, the  Warriors pulled off a run and gun upset last night by a 131-119 vs Utah and are now on tired legs. Note: The Warriors are 0-10 UNDER L/10 at home off a win as a dog in which they scored a least 18 fast break points  going under by 20 plus points. 

LA LAKERS are 11-2 UNDER  when playing against a team with a winning record this season.LA LAKERS are 17-4 UNDER  vs. horrible rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 5+/game over the last 3 seasons. LA LAKERS are 10-2 UNDER   in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA LAKERS) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 64-33 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER