These teams have a recent history of taking part in some high scoring affairs as is evident by the L/7 meetings eclipsing the total with a combined average of 52.1 ppg going on the scoreboard. I know Carolinas offense has not looked all that explosive out of the gate this season, but they    do go  against a Seattle side that is off a 37-31 slugfest last time out and that also allowed 30 points in a loss to the Rams in week 1 play. With that said, my projections estimate both these sides will score 21 plus points. SEATTLE is 10-0 OVER   when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 2 seasons. CAROLINA is 6-0 OVER  when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

Carroll is 31-17 OVER after a win by 6 or less points as the coach of SEATTLE

NFL team against the total (SEATTLE) - off a upset win as an underdog against opponent off an extremely close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival are 26-6 OVER L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over

After yesterdays 13-12 slugfest Im betting on immediate offensive regression here in a game with huge post season implications for the Reds. CINCINNATI is 15-4 UNDER  after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs over the last 2 seasons. CINCINNATI is 21-8 UNDER  as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season.

MLB Road teams where the total is 10 or higher (PITTSBURGH) - after having won 4 of their last 5 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a winning team are 55-19 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate.

Play under

Jayhawks are the nation’s top-ranked team  overall in returning production, and are currently outgunning their opponents this season by an average +231 net YPG and averaging 37 plus points per game on the season. Meanwhile, BYU in back to back games have scored 38 and 41 points and thanks to not being able to run the ball consistently have been firing away down field via their passing game. Today Im betting on a back and forth all guns blazing tilt with the combined average score eclipsing this number. 

My projections estimate both sides will score 28 plus points. KANSAS is 40-5 OVER  when both teams score 28 or more points with a combined average of 77.5 ppg scored. .BYU is 6-0 OVER  when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. BYU is 9-0 OVER when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 67.6 ppg scored. 

Leipold is 10-1 OVER  after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins in all games he has coached with a combined average of 76.4 ppg scored. 

CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (KANSAS) - after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 3 consecutive games, with 9 or more offensive starters returning are 41-16 OVER L/31 seasons. 

Play over

Colorado has allowed 22 runs in their L/2 games, and with their bullpen showing exhaustion Im betting they get pummeled again vs a Padres offense that come to life of late as is evident by average 7.6 rpg in their L/7 trips to the diamonds. Considering the Rockies bats have also looked alert in recent games averaging 7 rpg in their L/7 games Im betting we see a fairly high scoring affair. 

COLORADO is 7-0 OVER  in road games vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 13.1 rpg scored. COLORADO is 24-12 OVER  after allowing 7 runs or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scorecd. 

SAN DIEGO is 37-21 OVER   after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 9.4 rpg scored. 

Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (COLORADO) - allowing 5.5 or more runs/game on the season (NL), after allowing 9 runs or more 2 straight games are 33-7 OVER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the over

Milwaukees starter PERALTA is 16-2 OVER  in road games after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12 rpg scored.  (Peralta allowed one run on two hits in 6 1/3 innings in a 3-1 victory over the Miami Marlins last Tuesday)

PERALTA is 1-5 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 6.80 and a WHIP of 1.580.

Cards starter Wainwright (4-11, 7.95 ERA) picked up victory in his last out in the Cardinals' 5-2 victory over the Baltimore Orioles on Tuesday. However, prior to that he went 0-10 with a 10.72 ERA.MILWAUKEE is 12-1 OVER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.40 or worse over the last 2 seasons like Wainwright with 12.5 rpg going on the board. Wainwright owns a bloated 7.95 ERA on the season, and looks to be worn out entering this game, giving credence to what Im betting will be a fairly high scoring game right out of the gate. 

Play over

Niners had the league’s No.1 scoring defense last season  allowing just  17.2 ppg  and are off holding the Steelers to  7 points and a total of  239 yards on offense. On the flipsdie, the Rams, travelled to  Seattle in week 1 action and  slowed the Seahawks down to a crawl, as is evident by  allowing just  180 total yards and  only 13 points. 

Needless to say both the LA Rams and the SF 49ers looked very good defensively in game 1 of the season. Both did this while playing in the visitors role. Note:NFL Game2  sides  playing in the their 2nd  of back-to-back away tilts like the 49ers  have only eclipsed the offered total just twice in 18 opportunities dating back 7 seasons. Also away  sides like SF,  have  gone under 13 of their L/14  road  games  after allowing 7  pts or less  on the road in their  previous  game. SAN FRANCISCO is 6-0 UNDER in road games after playing their last game on the road over the last 3 seasons.

Defense, Defense and more defense today in what Im betting will be a grinding tilt. 

NFL Road teams against the total (SAN FRANCISCO) - excellent offense from last season - averaged 5.7 or more yards/play, versus division opponents are 26-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors.

NFL team against the total (LA RAMS) - excellent passing team from last season - had a completion pct of 64% or better, versus division opponents are 56-23 UNDER L/5 season for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play under 

Connecticut blasted Minnesota by a 90-60 count in game 1 of this series, and Im betting they light the board up again, but for the Lynx to reciprocate with some offensive fire works of their own in a tilt Im projecting to eclipse this total. MINNESOTA is 8-1 OVER   revenging a blowout loss versus opponent by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 176.4 ppg scored. 

CONNECTICUT is 10-3 OVER   in home games after scoring 75 points or more in 2 straight games this season with aq combined average of 167.7 ppg scored.

Over is 4-1 in Lynx last 5 Sunday games.

Over is 5-2 in Lynx last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

Over is 7-3 in Lynx last 10 overall.

Over is 4-1 in Sun last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

Over is 13-5 in Sun last 18 home games.

Over is 5-2 in Sun last 7 vs. Western Conference.

Over is 5-2 in Sun last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (MINNESOTA) - off a road blowout loss by 20 points or more, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 37-9 OVER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 165 ppg going on the board.

Play over 

ECU defense ranks  99th in total defense and 104th in scoring defense  and Im betting is in deep trouble vs the  Mountaineers. Meanwhile, App State is top-50 in total offense, passing offense, rushing offense and scoring offense and Im betting they tee off here today on their own home field vs a side that looks vulnerable . App State D, has also been sub par and even though the Pirates have not really been rhythmic on offense so far this season they should do enough damage here to help us eclipse this beat down number. Houston is 10-0 OVER off a home loss as the coach of E CAROLINA with a combined average of 79.3 ppg scored. (E.Carolina lost last time out 31-13 to Marshall.)

Play over

In the opener, New York right-hander Gerrit Cole (13-4, 2.79 ERA) is scheduled to oppose Pittsburgh right-hander Johan Oviedo (8-14, 4.34). My projections estimate that the Yankees will score 5 plus runs and the Pirates 3 plus runs which gives us an edge on an over ticket cashing here today. 

PITTSBURGH is 11-3 OVER  in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this season with a combined average of 9.8 rpg scored. PITTSBURGH is 16-4 OVER   after a game with a combined score of 4 runs or less this season with a combined average of 10.4 rpg scored.

BOONE is 20-8 OVER  vs. an NL team with an slugging percentage .400 or worse in the second half of the season as the manager of NY YANKEES with a combined average of 9.3 rpg scorec.

MLB road teams (NY YANKEES) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or better over his last 10 games are 44-9 OVER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. 

Play on the over

Padres Pedro Avila goes to the hill. The righty is  1-2 with a 2.19 ERA and 38 strikeouts this season. Avila is 0-0 with a 2.35 ERA and 10 strikeouts in his career against the Dodgers and matches up well here. Avila just pitched 6.2 scoreless innings against the PadresThe Padres pitching staff is 4th in ERA (3.86), 16th in WHIP (1.29) and 4th in quality starts (66).

On the flip side, G.Stone despite of not pitching well goes against, a Padres offense that is highly inconsistent, as is evident , by a  offense that  is ranked in  17th in runs per game (4.55), 22nd in batting average (.242).

Everything points to a lower scoring affair. 

SAN DIEGO is 7-0 UNDER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better this season with a combined average of 6.7 rpg. SAN DIEGO is 33-17 UNDER  vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season with a combined average of 8.1 rpg going on the board. SAN DIEGO is 12-2 UNDER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season with a combined average of 6.9 rpg. 

ROBERTS is 48-30 UNDER  at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 as the manager of LA DODGERS with a combined average of 8.4 rpg.

MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (SAN DIEGO) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL, excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season are 43-10 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored.

Play on the under

The Jets  and Bills have a recent low scoring matchup history as is evident by three straight under in the last 3 meetings  with   37, 37, and 32 combined points going on the scoreboard. Last season Buffalo went under the Total in 7 of 8 road games when favored, while the Jets went under in 4 of 5 games as home pups. BUFFALO is 6-0 UNDER  as a road favorite of 7 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 35.4 ppg scored. BUFFALO is 7-0 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 38.3 ppg scored. 

Also Monday night home dogs have remained on the low side of the number 13 straight times over the last couple of seasons. Considering this field is prob going to be in bad shape after the Dallas. NY Giants games on Sunday it would be fair to access that the sledding could be rough for the offenses which once again favors a lower scoring affair. 

NFL Road teams against the total (BUFFALO) - excellent offense from last season - averaged 5.7 or more yards/play, versus division opponents are 24-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play under 

Detroit is 12-0 OVER Game 1 of the season and have gone over  4 straight vs AFC West... DETROIT is 14-1 OVER  in road games against AFC West division opponents since 1992. Lions allowed 6.2 ypg on D last season dead last in the NFL. Im betting on Mahomes and company to rack up points again, and for Lions QB  Jeff Goff  who had 4438 yards and 29 TDs last season to reciprocate with some offensive fireworks of their own. KC is  8-0  L/8 OVER  Game 1 of the campaign... 8-0 OVER  L8 vs Motown with a combined average 56 ppg scored. . Chiefs scored 44 points  in the opening week win over the Arizona Cardinals in 2022, and have scored at least 33 points in every opener since 2017 and they Im betting will be the the catalysts for what Im betting will be an over cashing for us here tonight.

Play over. 

FRIED is 4-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 0.35 and a WHIP of 0.857 and Im projecting another top tier effort from a quality pitcher in good form as is evident by a current 2.52 ERA on the season.The Braves pitching has imploded in their L/2 games, and they will be primed to right that ship today. Meanwhile, Cards starter Wainwright has gone 10-4 with a 3.42 ERA against the Braves in 21 games (16 starts) since the 2003 season and despite of some inconsistencies during  this campaign is still  capable of slowing . down the Braves explosive offense. 

ST LOUIS is 51-36 UNDER  vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.4 rpg scored. 

MLB teams where the total is 10 or higher (ATLANTA) - very good offensive team ( 5.0 or more  runs/game) against a terrible starting pitcher (ERA 6.20 or worse) (NL), with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 35-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

MLB Road teams (ST LOUIS) - after 3 straight games where they committed no errors, with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP  1.900 or more  over his last 10 starts are 40-15 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play under

Central Michigan returns nine starters on defense .After ranking top-50 nationally in EPA/Rush Allowed and Defensive Line Yards and  they should be tough to work against once again. Michigan State returns four starters on the offensive line, but its line ranked 122nd in Offensive Line Yards and 116th in Stuff Rate allowed so scoring and moving the chains could easily be problem here tonight against a formidable defense. Meanwhile, Central Michigan has to replace their starting QB and running back from last season, and they also could find the sledding tough here early this season. The Spartans return seven starters on defense and the rest of the class looks to be tough as nails, Im seeing this being their strength this season. All in all Im projecting a fairly low scoring event with this Total not being eclipsed.

CFB  teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (C.MICH/MICHIGAN ST) - in the first week of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses against opponent first 2 weeks of the year, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses are 42-10 UNDER L/31 seasons with a combined average of 38.6 ppg scored. 

Play under 

NC Carolinas defense was elite last season, and will once again come in with some of the best defensive players in all of college football especially at the linebacker position ie Payton Wilson. Last years offensive coordinator  Beck left NC for Coastal Carolina, so the offense will Im betting be a work in progress  out of the gate against a strong UConn defense. Note: NC Star quarterback Devin Leary transferred to Kentucky so as I said, things will be different, and will take time to jell. On the flipside, the Huskies will once again lean on their running game, behind new QB Joe Fagnano and that will eat up alot of clock time in what should be a grinding early season affair that gives the edge to the defenses and not the offenses. 

NC STATE is 22-6 UNDER when playing on a Thursday since 1992 with a combined average score 44.9 ppg scored. 

CFB team against the total (UCONN/NC STATE) - in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences, with an experienced QB returning as starter, in the first two weeks of the season are 84-33 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play under 

Seattles starter KIRBY is 11-2 OVER in road games with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored.

SEATTLE is 10-2 OVER  in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season this season with q combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. SEATTLE is 19-5 OVER   in road games in August games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.4 rpg scored. Seattle has gone over in 8 of their L/9 games overall, and have recently exploded offensively scoring 37 runs in their L/4 games overall and have averaged 7.3 rpg in their L/7 games overall. Im betting their hot bats are key to us seeing this totals offering eclipsed. 

Kopech the White Sox starter owns a bloated 9.88 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill. 

CHI WHITE SOX are 16-7 OVER   in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season with a combined average of 11.3 rpg scored. 

MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (SEATTLE) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), red hot hitting team - batting .325 or better over their last 5 games are 31-7 OVER L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. 

Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (SEATTLE) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), red hot hitting team - batting .325 or better over their last 5 games are 51-17 OVER L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play over

The Blue Jays will send Chris Bassitt (11-6, 3.95 ERA) to make his team-leading 26th start of the year. The right-hander has faced Cincinnati twice in his career, giving up four runs (three earned) over 15 2/3 innings.

The Reds will counter with rookie left-hander Brandon Williamson (4-2, 4.33), who will make his 17th start of the season.

Williamson is coming off back-to-back strong starts, allowing one run in each outing and is capable of slowing down the Jays offense .

Torontos starter BASSITT is 12-3 UNDER  as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.9 rpg scored.  BELL is 27-13 UNDER  vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better as the manager of CINCINNATI with a combined average of 7.7 rpg scored. 

TORONTO is 16-4 UNDER  vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season. TORONTO is 24-9 UNDER  after allowing 1 run or less this season which was the case yesterday in a 1-0 loss. The-average combined score of those 33 games clicks in a 6.8 rpg . TORONTO is 23-8 UNDER (+14.5 Units) vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored. 

CINCINNATI is 13-3 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season this season.CINCINNATI is 9-0 UNDER  in home games in August games this season.

LAST 10 GAMES: Reds:own a 239 batting average, 3.20 ERA. Blue Jays own a  .217 batting average, 2.69 ERA. These telling numbers point to what Im betting will see this hefty Totals offering not eclipsed. 

Play under

Woodruff (2-1, 1.99 ERA) came off the 60-day IL on Aug. 6 and limited the Pittsburgh Pirates to two runs and four hits in five innings, striking out nine without a walk. He now looks healthy and ready to resume what has been a consistent pitching career at the MLB level as is evident by making the all star team in 2019 and 2021. Quote:"He's in a really good place after two starts," Milwaukee manager Craig Counsell. "I'm looking forward to handing him the ball the rest of the year." END QUOTE. 

WOODRUFF is 13-3 UNDER in an inter-league games in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.9 rpg scored.WOODRUFF is 21-9 UNDER  after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. MILWAUKEE is 10-2 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 5.5 rpg scored.

Note: Texas will send  left-hander  Heaney to the hill after he was lifted in the second inning of his Saturday outing against the San Francisco Giants after saying he was not feeling well. He is said to be  100% now, and my pitcher vs power rankings suggest he matches up well vs a Brewers side that has struggled against southpaw pitching this season averaging just 3.2 rpg  on a ugly .216 BA. Heaney owns a stingy 0.69 ERA in his L/3 starts. Note:  The two times he faced the Brewers he struck out 20 and walked two over 10 2/3 innings .Rinse and repeat scenario now on board.

Play under 

 Rays starter Civale is winless in two starts since arriving from Cleveland. He is 0-1 with a 4.82 ERA as a Ray, having allowed 16 hits in 9 1/3 innings and Im betting he gets tagged again.  Meanwhile, The Giants have gone the bullpen route in in the first two games in this series s and are expected to the same here Wednesday, as there are alot of tired arms in the ,lineup, and that wont be a positive situation, against a Rays team that can be very explosive offensively. The Rays have averaged 5.2 rpg on the season, and 5.3 rpg via a .287 BA during a recent 7 game span.

TAMPA BAY is 49-37 OVER  vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season with a combined average 9.2 rpg scored. 

 TAMPA BAY is 38-18 L/56 OVER in road games against NL West opponents with the average combined score of 10 rpg going on the board.

KAPLER is 17-6 OVER vs. excellent speed teams - averaging 1 or more SB's/game as the manager of SAN FRANCISCO with a combined average of 10.4 rpg scored. 

MLB  Road teams (TAMPA BAY) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or better  over his last 10 games are 33-6 OVER L/26 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the over

Arizonas starter  PFAADT is 8-1 UNDER  vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored. ARIZONA is 13-4 UNDER   vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. 

ARIZONA is 22-8 UNDER   after 4 or more consecutive home games this season with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. Arizona has only scored more than 3 runs in game three times over their L/12 trips to the diamonds. 

San Diegos starter Seth Lugo has pitched his best ball on the road this season where he has garnered a 3.27 ERA. Im betting he stays viable in todays road tilt vs a very inconsistent Dbacks offense.

MLB Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (SAN DIEGO) - after being shut out in a loss to a division rival, starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 30-7  UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play under 

San Francisco and Las Vegas participated in joint practices ahead of their preseason opener Sunday in the desert, and in scrim-ages  the Raiders defense forced multiple interceptions from Purdy, and other 49ers QBs and Im betting they continue those efforts here today. The 49ers listed Lance and Sam Darnold as their No. 2 quarterbacks in this game, and Im betting both struggle against a hungry group of Raiders. Defense trumps offense here today. Also  mew Raiders QB Jimmy G is not expected to play here vs his old team. 

SF has gone under in their  L7 preseason Road games.  

Play on UNDER 

All the QBs in this tilt from both sides  are mid range type performers, which gives credence to some points going on the board. Fins QB White is expected to play the first half of this game, and should help deliver some good offensive production , while, /Desmond Ritter will get alot of snaps for the Falcons and in turn my projections estimate that he and his following crew of 
QBs will produce the results we need for an over wager. 

NFLX totals of 36.5 or less where the home team is the underdog have gone 46-24-1 (66%) OVER since 2008.

Play over

After 6 straight unders the Fever finally eclipsed the total last time out, on a deflated line.  They also finally put 80 points on the board for the first time in 7 games, last time out which aided in the over result  However,  here against a up-trending  Lynx defense,  that has not allowed more than 79 points in their L/3 games, Im betting this number will not be breached . 

MINNESOTA is 30-12 UNDER L/42  road games off an upset win as a road underdog with the average combined score clicking in at 141.2 ppg. (Defeated Chicago last time out as 3.5 point underdogs)

WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (INDIANA) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (43.5-46%) after 15+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or less) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5 TO's or less) are 71-39 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the under 

The two starting pitchers today have not performed optimally but their supporting bullpens have been fairly consistent. Both offenses are also not in top form, and this gives credence to a totals offering that is not eclipsed. 

ST LOUIS is 22-11 UNDER  as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. 

TAMPA BAY is 21-9 UNDER  vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of  7.4 rpg scored.

MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL, excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season are 42-10 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play under

The Mercury have gone under the total in 9 of their L/11 overall including their L/4 games at home. Meanwhile, the Mystics have gone under in 9 of their 13 road games this season. Im betting the under trend continuing here today as my own projections estimate a total closer to 155 which gives us a full possession edge on the offered number to the under. 

WASHINGTON is 6-0 UNDER in road games vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 148.7 ppg scored.

WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (PHOENIX) - after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games after 15 or more games are 100-56 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.

WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (PHOENIX) - after allowing 90 points or more against opponent after scoring 80 points or more are 206-138 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play under

The Padres offense is up-trending having averaged 6.1 rpg during a 7 game span previous to yesterdays 8 run explosion vs the Dodgers. Meanwhile, the Dodgers , a side that averages 5.9 rpg also averaged 6.1 rpg during a 7 game span, and will be ready to bounce back here after scoring just 3 runs yesterday. Considering Padres starter Hill owns a slightly boated 4.95 ERA at home this season, Im betting on the Dodgers bats doing some damage here tonight. On the flipside , Lynn the Dodgers starter owns a 7.85 ERA in his L/3 starts and a ugly 6.23 road ERA and a 6.33 ERA overall, which according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest will see an above average  Padres output that helps us cash an over ticket. 

Padres  starter HILL is 9-0 OVER  when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 14.3 rpg scored. 

Dodgers starter LYNN is 9-1 OVER   when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.9 rpg scored. LYNN is 15-6 OVER (+8.4 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. 

LA DODGERS are 14-3 OVER  in road games in day games this season with a combined average of 11.9 rpg scored.LA DODGERS are 8-0 OVER in road games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season.LA DODGERS are 14-2 OVER  vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 11.6 rpg scored. 

The Dodgers have gone over the total in 5 straight games. 

The Padres have gone over in 3 of their L/4 and score 8 or more runs in this over results. 

Play on the over

NYY starter Luis Severino (2-5, 7.49 ERA)  last pitched Sunday in Baltimore, where he allowed seven of his nine runs in the opening inning and tied a season high by giving up 10 hits in less than 4 innings of work. That was the 4th time in 12 starts be allowed 7 runs or more and once again looks to be cannon fodder vs a up trending Astros offense that has averaged 5.1 rpg ion the road this season. . SEVERINO is 15-4 OVER   in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.7 rpg scored. Meanwhile, Houstons starter Brown went 1-3 with a 5.92 ERA in five July outings and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well here vs the NYY hitters. Im betting both these offenses do enough damage against these pitchers to get us over the offered total. 

HOUSTON is 10-0 OVER  in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.800 or worse since 1997 with a combined average of 12.5 rpg scored. 

Play on the over

JP Sears (2-7, 4.01 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 106 strikeouts); Dodgers: Julio Urias (7-6, 4.98 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 77 strikeouts)

The Dodgers scored 10 runs yesterday in a win vs the As, and Im betting  more positive production from the Dodgers explosive lineup here tonight and for the As to do just enough damage in response, to help us cash a Over ticket. 

OAKLAND is 7-0 OVER  in road games vs. teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game this season with a combined average of 13.3 rpg scored.  OAKLAND is 9-1 OVER (  vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.5 rpg scored. 

OAKLAND is 24-9 OVER   as a road underdog of +175 to +250 this season with a combined average of 11.3 rpg scored. 

LA DODGERS are 9-0 OVER  vs. an AL team with a batting average of .260 or worse in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 12 rpg scored. 

MLB Road teams (OAKLAND) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or less  over his last 10 games are 32-6 OVER L/26 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play over 

Tom Benson Hall of Fame Stadium - Canton, OH

Early season pre season football usually favors the defenses over the offenses, and Im betting nothing changes here today in what my projections estimate will be a very low scoring affair. 

Under is 5-0 in Jets last 5 games overall.

Under is 7-0 in Jets last 7 vs. AFC.

Under is 6-1 in Browns last 7 games overall.

Under is 4-1 in Browns last 5 games on fieldturf.

Under is 9-3 in Browns last 12 Thursday games.

CLEVELAND is 12-3 UNDER   against conference opponents in exhibition ball since 1993 with a combined average of 32.5 ppg scored. 

Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York.

Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Play under 

My projections estimate a score in the low 160s giving us a significant edge on the offered Totals number from the sports books. 

Under is 5-0 in Dream last 5 overall. Last time out the Sky had a rare offensive outburst, scoring 90s points , but previous to that they did score more than 77 points in 4 straight games, and now Im betting on immediate regression, against a Vegas side that is currently playing a top tier brand of D, as is evident by allowing three of their L/4 opponents to exceed 78 points in production. Meanwhile, I also expect Atlanta to try to slow this game down to a crawl vs an explosive side which will aid in a combined score that remains on the low side of the number.

Under is 5-1 in Mercury last 6 games following a straight up loss.

Under is 4-1 in Mercury last 5 overall.Under is 16-5 in Mercury last 21 games playing on 1 days rest.

Under is 15-5-1 in Mercury last 21 vs. Eastern Conference.

Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta.

Play under

My projections estimate a score in the low 160s giving us a significant edge on the offered Totals number from the sports books. 

Under is 5-0 in Dream last 5 overall. Last time out the Sky had a rare offensive outburst, scoring 90s points , but previous to that they did score more than 77 points in 4 straight games, and now Im betting on immediate regression, against a Vegas side that is currently playing a top tier brand of D, as is evident by not allowing three of their L/4 opponents to exceed 78 points in production. Meanwhile, I also expect Atlanta to try to slow this game down to a crawl vs an explosive side which will aid in a combined score that remains on the low side of the number.

Under is 5-1 in Mercury last 6 games following a straight up loss.

Under is 4-1 in Mercury last 5 overall.Under is 16-5 in Mercury last 21 games playing on 1 days rest.

Under is 15-5-1 in Mercury last 21 vs. Eastern Conference.

Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta.

Play under

Jays starter BERRIOS is 8-0 OVER in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.9 rpg scored. BERRIOS is 9-1 OVER  as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12 rpg scored.

Micheal Grove the Dodgers starter has garnered a  (2-2 record along with a , 6.40 ERA) and Im betting he will have problems with this sometimes explosive Blue Jays offense tonight. 

LA DODGERS are 7-0 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 14 rpg scored. 

Play on the OVER

The LA Angels have scored and average of 7.1 rpg in their L/7 trips to the diamonds and Im betting on more quality offensive production today vs the Pittsburgh Pirates who have allowed an average of 7.3 rpg in their L/7 games overall. I know the Pirates offense has not been all that productive or consistent, but Im betting the Halos doing most of the heavy lifting for us today in a game I have pegged to see the offered number eclipsed. Note: Pittsburgh's starter Bido owns a 8.10 ERA in his L/3 starts. Meanwhile, Angels starter Reid Detmers, has recorded a ugly 7.63 ERA on his L/3 starts, 

LA ANGELS are 8-0 OVER  vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.6 rpg scored. 

PITTSBURGH is 14-4 OVER vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season with a combined average of 10 rpg scored. 

Play over 

My own personal projections for this game featuring the Liberty and the Wings  are in the 167 range giving us a full possession  plus value advantage  with an under wager. The average combined score of home home Liberty games, is in the 169 range. The Wings have seen an average combined score of 166.3 ppg scored in their road games and previous to a big output last time out had seen five straight games stay under the total. Last time out the Wings had a rare offensive explosion of 107 points and now Im betting on immediate regression vs the Liberty that will effect this games production levels to the under.

Under is 5-0 in Wings last 5 games following a ATS win.Under is 5-1 in Wings last 6 overall.Under is 5-1 in Wings last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 4-1 in Wings last 5 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-1 in Wings last 5 Wednesday games.

Play under

The Angels pitching has really been struggling of late as is evident by allowing an average of 8.9 rpg in this L/7 overall and here against the Yankees today Im betting things wont change much as my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest, NYY matches up well vs Canning (6-4, 4.62 ERA) who is coming off his shortest outing of the season, when he lasted just 2 2/3 innings in an 11-4 defeat to the Los Angeles Dodgers on July 7. On the flip-side, the Halos offense 5.1 rpg vs NYY  righty pitcher like Severino.LUIS SEVERINO in 5 road games, this season owns a bloated 9.27 ERA. Everything points to a higher scoring event. 

LA ANGELS are 20-8 OVER in home games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored.

The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.10 Units / 50% ROI)

MLB Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (NY YANKEES) - after a loss by 2 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 12 runs or more 4 straight games are 37-9 OVER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate with a combined average of 12 rpg scored in those tilts. 

Play on the over

The Phillies  Taijuan Walker (10-3, 4.02 ERA) and Ranger Suarez (2-4, 3.77)    are expected to be the' starters in the second game of the  doubleheader. Both pitchers are backed by viable bullpens and Im betting pitching bests the batting orders this afternoon in a game I have projected to remain on the low side of the total. Suarez is 2-0 with a 1.64 ERA in four career games (one start) against the Padres.

Walker is 3-3 with a 2.61 ERA in seven career starts against San Diego.

SAN DIEGO is 30-18 UNDER  when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 8 rpg scored. SAN DIEGO is 16-5 UNDER  as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored. 

SAN DIEGO is 17-8 UNDER  on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season with a combined average of 8.1 rpg scored .

The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 84 games (+13.15 Units / 14% ROI)

The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 73 games (+11.60 Units / 14% ROI)

MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (SAN DIEGO) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL, excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season are 42-10 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. 

Play under

In his past 10 starts NYM starter  Scherzer is 6-0 with a 3.45 ERA. Meanwhile his itching opponent,Over his last eight starts,  Padres Musgrave is 6-0 along with a 2.01 ERA. With that said, Im betting on a pitcher duel and for this contest to lack run production and a combined score that remains on the low side of the offered total. 

SAN DIEGO is 12-3 UNDER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season.SAN DIEGO is 21-9 UNDER  when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. SAN DIEGO is 31-18 UNDER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.1 rpg scored.

Under is 7-3-2 in Mets last 12 overall.

Play under

Minnesotas starter LOPEZ is 13-4 OVER  vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 91. rpg scored. KANSAS CITY is 23-11 OVER vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season with a combined average of 10.7 rpg scored. LOPEZ is 17-6 OVER  in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 9.5 rpg . Lopez (4-5, 4.24 ERA) is 2-0 with a 4.76 ERA.

Meanwhilel, Right-hander Alec Marsh (0-1, 11.25 ERA) will make his second major league start for the rebuilding Royals, against a sometimes explosive Minnesota offense. Note: KC has allowed an average of 6.9 rpg in their L/7 overall. 

KANSAS CITY is 15-6 OVER   vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 10.9 rpg scored. 

MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (KANSAS CITY) - terrible offensive team ( 3.6 or less runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70)-AL, after allowing 9 runs or more are 33-7 OVER L/26 seasons for  a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over

Marlins expected starter Hoeing  has great  home where his numbers have been stellar (0-0, 0.87 ERA). Meanwhile, Cards  starter  Matz did not pitch against the Marlins last year but has enjoyed success against them in his career, recording  a 3.44 ERA and a 4-4 record in 65 innings. He has been pitching out of the bullpen and is expected to be in the game  only be in for a short time as this should be a bullpen start for the Cards. 

MIAMI is 34-19 UNDER  vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.9 rpg. MIAMI is 15-5 UNDER after scoring 8 runs or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.9 rpg. MIAMI is 30-17 UNDER  against NL Central opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.9 rpg. 

MLB road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL, excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season are 78-21 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the under 

The Braves enter this game having allowed an average of 2.3 rpg. On the season the Guardians have average 3.5 rpg at home on the season, and depend greatly upon a solid pitching staff to keep them competitive and nothing changes today. Note: Cleveland bullpen owns a 2.24 ERA at home this season.

 Atlanta will send  right-hander Bryce Elder (6-1, 2.44 ERA) to the hill. He enters this series opener with the second-lowest ERA in the majors. Elder is 2-0 in his past three starts with a 1.42 ERA.

Braves right handed starter ELDER is 17-7 UNDER   vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored.ELDER is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.8 rpg scored. ELDER is 15-3 UNDER after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.8 rpg scored. 

Cleveland starter rookie right-hander Gavin Williams (0-0, 2.84 ERA) might be young and inexperienced but has the tools to cool down a hot hitting Atlanta group that has never faced the 23 year old before. 

CLEVELAND is 33-18 UNDER against right-handed starters this season with a combined average of 7.8 rpg scored in those 51 tilts.

CLEVELAND is 14-4 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored.CLEVELAND is 11-1 UNDER ) after 3 consecutive games versus an interleague opponent this season with a combined average of 6 rpg scored.

MLB Road teams (ATLANTA) - after 3 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs against opponent after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs are 33-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play under

The Lions defence is ranked first overall in fewest offensive points allowed (7.0 per game) and was dominant in last week's 30-6 road win over Winnipeg and here against a Argos team that will concentrate an above average amount of ball control on their run game Im betting the Argos production will be limited,Note:  The Argos enter the contest leading the CFL in rushing, averaging 152 yards per game. With that said Im  betting on a lower scoring affair based on a game that will feature time grinding ground wars. Lions  opponents are averaging just 76 yards rushing against the unit this season.BRITISH COLUMBIA is 6-0 UNDER  off 3 straight division games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 42 ppg scored.TORONTO is 32-14 UNDER  as a home underdog of 3 points or less with a combined average of 45.7 ppg scored. 

Play under 

Milwaukee has scored just 13 runs in their starters Teheran's seven starts which is not a good omen for run production today which will help keep this score on the low side of total. TEHERAN is 22-9 UNDER  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) since 1997. (Team's Record)  TEHERAN is 15-4 UNDER  ) in home games in July games since 1997. (Team's Record)  

Under is 9-1 in Cubs last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

  CHICAGO CUBS are 15-4 UNDER   in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons

Meanwhile,Chicago will counter with left-hander Drew Smyly (7-5, 3.96) who has pitched well agains the Brewers , in the recent past as is evident by a  1-0 record along with a 0.60 ERA in three career starts covering 15 innings versus Milwaukee. This adds to my projections of lower output from the Brewers offense.SMYLY is 15-2 UNDER  vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

MILWAUKEE is 20-6 UNDER  at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. 

Under is 33-16-2 in Brewers last 51 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

Play under

Right-hander Cristian Javier (7-1, 3.72 ERA) goes to hill for the  Houston Astros this    Monday vs the Texas Rangers . He is 5-0 with a 3.88 ERA over his last nine starts  .Javier is 5-1 with a 2.90 ERA in 13 career appearances (nine starts) against the Rangers. Javiers counterpart  Texas left-hander Martin Perez (7-3, 4.28), has allowed no more than two earned runs in each of his last three starts.,Perez is 3-1 with a 1.91 ERA this season in home tilts  Im betting on a pitchers duel here and for both starters to go long and strong in a projected  lower scoring affair. 

HOUSTON is 20-8 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.8 rpg scored.HOUSTON is 54-29 UNDER  after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. 

Under is 2-0-3 in Rangers last 5 vs. American League West.Under is 5-1-3 in Rangers last 9 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Under is 6-1-4 in Rangers last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 9-2-1 in the last 12 meetings in Texas.

Play under

Despite of this being the launching pad known as Coors Field , there comes a time to fade slightly bloated totals offerings. My projections make this total closer to a 11 giving us a full 1 run cushion on cashing a under wager here. Yes, I know these teams have played some high scoring games of late, but the Rockies starter Seabold is being under rated here. He did lose last time here at home, by a 5-0 count to the Dodgers, but he still performed decently allowing 5 hits in 5 innings against a dangerous offense and is capable of slowing down this usually inept Tigers batting order. On the flipside Tigers starter  Manning, been decent in limited action( 17.3 innings) and can hold down the inconsistent Rockies bats and has a decent bullpen backing him when he fades. Tigers bullpen owns a stable 3.98 ERA on the season. 

Under is 36-15-1 in Rockies last 52 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter like Manning.

COLORADO is 90-63 UNDER  when the total is 11 or higher over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11 rpg scored. BLACK is 14-4 UNDER  in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season as the manager of COLORADO with a combined average of 9.4 rpg scored

Under is 19-9-2 in Rockies last 30 interleague home games.Under is 42-20-3 in Rockies last 65 interleague games.Under is 35-17-1 in Rockies last 53 vs. American League Central.

COLORADO is 21-9 UNDER   vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 9 rpg scored. 

DETROIT is 67-44 UNDER  when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 8.4 rpg. 

Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 road games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.

MLB teams where the total is 10 or higher (COLORADO/DETROIT) - in an inter-league game, in July games are 58-22 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg clicking in at 9.4 . 

Under is 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings.Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Colorado.

Play under

The Reds southpaw starter  Williamson  owns a 5.82 ERA against a 6.76 xERA. According to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings  does not matchup well vs the Padres sometimes explosive batting order that has eight hitters with a .325+ xwOBA on the campaign and also hit left handed pitching well, and have averaged 4.7 rpg on the road this season. In relief, the Reds have a  combined 5.35 xFIP during the month of  June (Dead last in  MLB).

Meanwhile, Padres starter Wacha, has been strong but the Reds offense can ramp it up against any arm, in MLB , and are more than capable of causing issues for the veteran hurler and with the Padres bullpen looking tired  as we approach the midway part of the season , and have a 4.55 road ERA.  Im betting the Reds do enough damage here to get us over the hump here and cash a totals ticket. Note : In the Reds L/7 games over both themselves and their opposition have average 6.7 rpg in production. 

CINCINNATI is 14-4 OVER  at home when the total is 10 or higher this season with a combined average of 12.5 rpg scored. 

Play over

The Marlins pitching staff have allowed 3 runs or less in 9 of their L/11 games overall. With Luzardo, on the hill Im betting on a rinse and repeat scenario today vs the Bosox. wiThe Miami hurler has recorded 103 strikeouts through 16 starts. He SO  batters - across seven shutout, two-hit innings on Sunday against the Pittsburgh Pirates, which was his eighth quality start. Meanwhile the Red Sox will counter  with Brayan Bello (5-4, 3.27 ERA) who has shown a great deal of consistency on the hill this season.Bello has worked at  least six innings in each of his last four starts and five of his last six overall , which includes back-to-back, seven-inning outings against the New York Yankees . Im betting he goes long and strong again and keeps the Marlins bats under wraps.

Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 9-2 in Red Sox last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 during game 3 of a series.Under is 8-3 in Red Sox last 11 home games. 

MIAMI is 18-8 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season.MIAMI is 11-3 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. 

Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Boston.Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

Play under

Pittsburgh right-hander Mitch Keller (8-3, 3.45 ERA) will oppose San Diego left-hander Blake Snell (4-6, 3.22). Both hurlers are in good form and capable of keeping the opposing offense at minimal  offense production levels. Note:  Snell  enters this tilt  having recorded a minuscule  0.29 ERA over his last five starts. Keller  gave up one run and five hits in seven innings with five strikeouts and no walks against Miami last time out. 

SAN DIEGO is 31-18 UNDER  against right-handed starters this season with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. 

SAN DIEGO is 13-4 UNDER  vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season. 

SAN DIEGO is 7-0 UNDER  vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season like the Pirates Keller. SAN DIEGO is 24-8 UNDER vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season like Keller. Under is 6-1 in Padres last 7 vs. National League Central.

Under is 15-7-1 in Padres last 23 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 17-8 in Padres last 25 road games.

Play under

My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Los Angeles will send veteran lefty Clayton Kershaw (9-4, 2.72 ERA) to the mound against Colorado's Connor Seabold (1-3, 5.88) in the opener.Kershaw has been at his best in June, going 3-0 with a 1.33 ERA in four starts. He has gone seven innings in three of those outings and 27 innings total and Im betting he continues with his top tier work here . Kershaws ability to hold down the inconsistent bats of the Rockies will help keep this score on the low side of the offered total. 

LA DODGERS are 31-18 UNDER  in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8 rpg scored. 

COLORADO is 20-8 UNDER  with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 8.2 rpg scored. COLORADO is 18-6 UNDER  after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more this season with a combined average of 9.9 rpg scored. 

COLORADO is 30-19 UNDER  in night games this season with a combined average of 10.9 rpg scored. 

MLB teams where the total is 10 or higher (COLORADO) - with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings against opponent with a tired bullpen - after 2 straight games throwing 5+ innings are 28-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with an average of 8.8 rpg scored.

MLB Road teams where the total is 11 or higher (LA DODGERS) - good offensive team (4.7 or more  runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or worse) (NL), with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 34-8 UNDER L/26 seasons with a combined average of 10.9 rpg scored.

Play under

Houstons starter Hunter Brown has pitched his best baseball on the road this season, as is evident by a 4-1 record along with a 3.46 ERA. Meanwhile, the Dodgers reply, with   T. Gonsolin who owns a solid 2.92 ERA on the season, and despite of some uneven starts recently is a top tier hurler who deserves respect here. Note: Dodgers' bullpen  over a current four-game winning streak, have seen the  relievers allow just  up one run in 19 innings of top tier work. After yesterdays 8-7 event Im betting on immediate offensive regression and a combined score that fails to eclipse this total.

GONSOLIN in his last 14 starts  at home as a favorite of -125 to -175 in his career has seen a combined average of 7.3 rpg. (Team's Record)

Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like  Gonsolin. Under is 14-5 in Astros last 19 road games vs. a right-handed starter like Gonsolin 

Under is 13-3 in Astros last 16 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game which was the case yesterday in a 8-7 loss. 

HOUSTON is 7-0 UNDER after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 6.50 or worse this season.

Under is 15-7-2 in the last 24 meetings.

Play under

Stroman has pitched very well this season, and ranked among MLB top pitchers but he has not pitched very well against the Cards in the recent past as is evident by a   0-4 record along with a 5.22 ERA in seven starts against the Cardinals. Here on the road in a baseball park that compares with Coors field in run production, probabilities, Im betting Stroman is hit harder than has usually been the case of late. Meanwhile,Matthew Liberatore (1-2, 6.12 ERA) will  take to the hill for the Cards.In his list last start the  left-hander allowed five runs, four hits and two walks in four innings in Sunday's 8-7 victory over the New York Mets and Im betting he gets beat around again vs a Cubs side in a good offensive groove of late. Note: Liberatore, went 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA in two outings against Chicago in 2022. Rinse -repeat on board. Liberatore owns a  6.03 ERA in 15 career appearances (59 2/3 innings).  His biggest problems have come against right handed hitters(.404 wOBA, 5.35 xFIP).  Considering their Cubs  can field  nine right-handed bats.

St. Louis has been outscored 12-1 in losing two straight after totaling 30 runs during a four-game winning streak and are more than capable of an explosive offensive effort in bounce back mode. 

Over is 12-4 in Cubs last 16 vs. National League Central.

Over is 3-1-1 in Cardinals last 5 during game 2 of a series.

Over is 7-3 in Cubs last 10 overall.

 The New York pitching staff has a 3.73 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .229 opponent batting average this season, and Im projecting and  betting on their starter today staying within those data parameters. Meanwhile, Seattle  starting hurler Luis Castillo,  has allowed just  six earned runs in his last five starts (30.2 IP) and matches up well here vs a NYY batting order playing without super star A Judge. Im betting on both throwers going long and strong and for the capable bullpens to help keep this combined score on the low side of the offered total. 

Under is 4-0-1 in Mariners last 5 overall. Under is 4-0-1 in Mariners last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Under is 5-0-1 in Yankees last 6 games following a win.Under is 3-0-1 in Yankees last 4 during game 2 of a series.Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 home games.Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Under is 6-1-1 in Yankees last 8 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Under is 44-21-5 in the last 70 meetings.Under is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings in New York.

Play under 

Baltimores starter Wells (6-2, 3.20 ERA), goes to the hill Wednesday vs the Tampa Bay Rays ., Wells has become and elite team leader in four important stats that demonstrate his rotational value. ERA, strikeouts (82) and opposing batting average (.183) are the best  Baltimore's starting rotation, while his WHIP (0.86) leads MLB.  Meanwhile, TB will send fire baller, Bradley to the mound   His 13.19 K/9 rate ranks second in the league among starting hurlers.  He has struck out over 34% of the batters he has gone against and is coming off an 11 strikeout outing . I know these strong pitchers, will go against solid offenses, but Im betting their young arms go long and strong, and for both bullpens to pick up any slack in what my projections estimate will be a lower scoring  affair.

Under is 11-5-1 in Rays last 17 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Under is 13-6-1 in Rays last 20 overall.

 Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Play under

My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Sunday’s Wrigley Field weather forecast estimates an average of 8 mph winds blowing from right to left in Chicago. With that kind of wind city action.Im betting the pitchers have the advantage over the hitters, and a game Im projecting to stay under the set total. 

Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 inter-league home games vs. a right-handed starter like the Os Kremer.. Under is 7-3 in Cubs last 10 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5

Under is 8-0 in Orioles last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like the Cubs Taillon. Under is 7-1 in Orioles last 8 inter-league road games vs. a team with a losing record.

Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.

Play UNDER

Red Sox starting pitchers have allowed two earned runs or fewer in 19 of the past 26 games and Im betting BoSox starter Houck will carry on with this current tradition of top tier starting pitching into this tilt against the Yankees. Houck is 2-2 with a 2.41 ERA in 33 2/3 innings over 10 appearances (five starts) in his career against the Yankees and has pitched at least five innings in 10 of his 12 starts this season. Meanwhile, the NYY will start Domingo German (4-3, 3.49)  . He is off pitching six innings of one-run ball Saturday in what was the Yankees' lone win of the last Boston series. in 13 games (11 starts) against the Red Sox, German is 3-2  along with a stable 3.64 ERA. Note: German has worked at least six innings in his last three trips to the hill while allowing two or fewer runs in six of his last seven. Advantage to the under. 

Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 vs. American League East.Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.

GERMAN is 22-9 UNDER  when working on 5 or 6 days rest in his career . (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.7 rpg scored. 

NY YANKEES are 43-25 UNDER vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored. 

Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 vs. American League East.

MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (NY YANKEES) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base are 54-19 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

Play on the 
UNDER 

Both these sides have shown sub par offensive performance charts this season, while their pitching , defense and bullpens are of the top tier variety. Everything points to this type of data inputing into this tilt and for the combined score to stay on the low side of the offered total. 

Under is 6-1 in Guardians last 7 vs. National League West.Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 interleague games. Under is 31-13-1 in Guardians last 45 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Under is 23-10 in Guardians last 33 games vs. a right-handed starter like the Padres Weathers .Under is 34-15-2 in Guardians last 51 overall. Under is 13-3 in Guardians last 16 during game 3 of a series.

CLEVELAND is 19-9 UNDER vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored in those 28 games.

Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter like the Guardians Allen. Under is 11-3 in Padres last 14 during game 3 of a series.

SAN DIEGO is 8-0 UNDER after having won 4 of their last 5 games this season with a combined average of 5.6 rpg scored. SAN DIEGO is 8-1 UNDER in home games after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season with a combined average of 5.9 rpg scored. SAN DIEGO is 13-3 UNDER  at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season with a combined average of 6 rpg scored. 

MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (CLEVELAND) - very bad AL offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better on the season are 32-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (SAN DIEGO/ CLEVELAND) - in a game involving two marginal losing teams (46 to 49%), playing on Thursday are 104-48 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in San Diego.

Play under 

My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Im betting Miami comes out here ready to leave everything on the floor in last ditch effort to stave off elimination and that alone will elevate their expected point total. Meanwhile the capable Nuggets playing on their own home floor with championship aspirations just a victory away will reciprocate with some offensive fireworks of their own in a game I have pegged to eclipse this total. 

MIAMI in their L/35 games when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average score of 223.3 ppg scored.

 NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (DENVER) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after a loss by 10 points or more are 26-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MIAMI) - after a game where they failed to cover the spread, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 37-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. 

Play over

Bostons Bello is 0-3 with a respectable 3.18 ERA in his L/3 starts and is consistently seeing a lack of run support.Bello has allowed three runs or less in his past eight outings.Bello lost both of his starts against the Yankees in 2022 but he  allowed  just three unearned runs in five innings of a 5-3 loss at Boston on Sept. 14 and allowed an earned run in six innings of a rain-shortened 2-0 loss in New York on Sept. 25. Meanwhile, Yankees starter Clarke Schmidt (2-6, 4.96), who despite of being winless in his past three starts,   owns a  2.16 ERA during that span and also suffers from run support.Schmidt last pitched in Tuesday's 3-2 home defeat to the Chicago White Sox when he allowed three runs and six hits in six innings . The righty has also allowed just 1 homer, in his L/5 starts which makes him a viable candidate to keep the Red Sox offense at bay. Considering both hurlers lack of run support and viable pitching abilities it becomes obvious to me a lower scoring game that fails to eclipse this number makes for a viable wagering opportunity. 

SCHMIDT is 9-1 UNDER vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record ) with a combined average of 5.8 rpg scored. 

Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 vs. American League East.Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 Sunday games.Under is 6-2 in Red Sox last 8 overall.Under is 6-2 in Red Sox last 8 on grass.Under is 9-3 in Red Sox last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 11-4 in Red Sox last 15 road games.Under is 5-2 in Red Sox last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-2 in Red Sox last 7 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 home games.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 overall.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 during game 3 of a series.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 on grass.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games following a win.

Play under

Astros starting hurler France owns a  29-to-9 strikeout-to-walk ratio over his first six career starts covering 34 innings and will Im betting make life difficult on the Cleveland Guardians batting order. Cleveland will fire back with right-hander Triston McKenzie (0-0, 0.00), who is  off a successful  season debut. He returned after being out with a   major muscle strain and allowed just one hit and one walk while striking out 10 over five scoreless innings against the Minnesota Twins on Sunday. He still not 100% but his bullpen should at least help keep the Astros bats to minimal production as compared to out expectations. After yesterdays 10-9 victory by the Guardians in extra innings Im betting on immediate offensive regression. 

Under is 10-1 in Astros last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Under is 9-4 in Astros last 13 during game 2 of a series.Under is 11-5 in Astros last 16 road games.

Under is 25-8-1 in Guardians last 34 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 20-7 in Guardians last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 22-8 in Guardians last 30 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 29-11-1 in Guardians last 41 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Under is 5-2 in Guardians last 7 Saturday games.Under is 43-18-1 in Guardians last 62 vs. a team with a winning record.

MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (CLEVELAND) - very bad AL offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better), with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better on the season are 31-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 7.1 rpg. 

Play under 

 My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play under 

When these teams played here in Miami back in Feb the Nuggets won 112-108 and my current line and total projections estimate a number closer to 219/220 giving us 3 full possession value with an over wager. I know the Heat will continue to be physical and try disrupt the Nuggets flow . However, with time to adjust and shake off some rust Im betting the Nuggets come out here in very aggressive fashion and force the Heat to reciprocate with some fire works of their own or be blown off the court, which will translate into a higher score than the lines-makers anticipate. DENVER is 18-7 OVER   off a home loss over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.9 ppg scored.  Malone is 15-5 OVER  off a close home loss by 3 points or less as the coach of DENVER with a combined average of 224 ppg scored. 

Over is 7-1 in Nuggets last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

MIAMI is 20-11 OVER  when playing 4 or less games in 10 days this season with a combined average of 219.5 ppg scored. 

Over is 5-0 in Heat last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 11-4 in Heat last 15 home games.Over is 19-7 in Heat last 26 games following a straight up win.Over is 13-5 in Heat last 18 games following a ATS win.Over is 20-8 in Heat last 28 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DENVER) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points against opponent off an upset win as an underdog are 118-74 OVER L/27 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MIAMI) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 226-158 OVER L/27 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Play over

I know both these offenses have been less than consistent this season, but my pitcher vs power rankings suggest this Totals line offers value for over bettors based on my projections that suggest runs output to be closer to  8.3 . Seattles starting pitcher GILBERT is 15-4 OVER  in road games after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 9.9 rpg scored. 

Padres starting right handed  hurler  MUSGROVE is 16-6 OVER  at home when the total is 7 to 7.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 8.6 rpg scored. 

Over is 21-6 in Mariners last 27 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter like Musgrove.

SEATTLE is 16-4 OVER  vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 10.2 rpg scored.

SEATTLE is 21-9 OVER after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 9.3 rpg scored. 

Over is 15-5-1 in Padres last 21 vs. American League West.Over is 33-15-3 in Padres last 51 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.

MLB Road teams (SEATTLE) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100   or better over his last 10 games are 37-8 OVER L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 11.2 rpg scored. 

Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.Over is 12-3-1 in the last 16 meetings in San Diego.

Play over

Rangers starter Martin Perez has pitched his best baseball at home this season garnering. a 1. 93 ERA in 18.7 innings of work and my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest he matches up well here vs the Cards and should once again have. a stable outing . Under is 11-4 in Cardinals last 15 inter-league road games vs. a left-handed starter like Perez.Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 inter-league games.Under is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 road games. On the flip-side ,  I know former cy Young award candidate Wainwright (2-1, 6.15 ERA) has yet to complete six innings, and his ERA is nearly double his career mark of 3.41, but hes to talented not see upward momentum, and must be respected to keep the explosive Rangers bats at bay. 

Under is 5-2 in Rangers last 7 overall.

ST LOUIS is 28-15 UNDER  after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored in this 33 tilts. 

ST LOUIS is 20-9 UNDER  in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 rpg. 

MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL, excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season are 40-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for. a 82% conversion rate. 

Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Texas.Under is 7-0-1 in the last 8 meetings.

Play under 

We have two viable pitchers starting for each team (Gray vs Wheeler), but both bullpens are substandard as is their defenses. Its also going to be a hitters environment tonight as the wind is blowing out to center field with   temps   expected in the high 80s. With that said, Im betting this is value Totals offering that needs to be taken advantage of. 

Over is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Over is 19-6-2 in the last 27 meetings.Over is 13-3 in the last 16 meetings in Washington.

MLB Home teams (WASHINGTON) - averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game on the season, after a game they hit 4 or more home runs are 39-13 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over

After a grueling 7 game series vs the Celtics the Heat will be on tired legs here and in an emotional letdown spot, that will have them unable to play a physical style of defensive ball. On the flip side the Nuggets are well rested and healthy and should come out here on fire ready to run and gun.   This combination Im betting will see this Totals offering eclipsed in more wide open game than the lines-makers are expecting. 

Over is 10-1 in Nuggets last 11 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Denver.Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DENVER) - after 6 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 38-14 OVER L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over

 My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 90 points or more against opponent after scoring 80 points or more are 196-127 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play under

 My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 27 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play on the UNDER 

Im betting game 7 of this series will be a grueling take no prisoners physical type of event that will have both sides focused on precise mistake free hoops out of transition. That Im betting will make for a lower scoring event that does not eclipse this total.BOSTON is 10-0 UNDER  when facing elimination in a playoff series over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA ( BOSTON/ MIAMI) - in a playoff game, in the 7th game of a playoff series is 60-26 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the under 

Right-hander Sonny Gray (4-0, 1.82 ERA) has the starting assignment for the Twins and gives the Twins a strong opportunity to notch another top notch effort. He leads the majors in ERA, adjusted ERA-plus (236) and fielding independent pitching (2.02), and has yet to give up a home run in  54 1/3 innings  of quality work this season. His opponent, Rookie right-hander J.P. France (1-1, 3.43 ERA) has looked  very viable at times and will also help keep this score to the low side of the offered total. Both these bullpens have also been in good form this season and deserve respect to pick up where the starters left off.

Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 vs. American League Central.Under is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning recordUnder is 16-5 in Astros last 21 games vs. a right-handed starter like Gray. 

Under is 20-8 in Astros last 28 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 9-4-1 in Astros last 14 home games.

 MINNESOTA is 18-6 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored.Under is 32-15-5 in Twins last 52 vs. American League West.Under is 7-3-1 in Twins last 11 during game 1 of a series.

Under is 11-5-2 in the last 18 meetings.

Play on the under

Right-hander Dylan Covey (0-0, 3.00 ERA), acquired on waivers from the Los Angeles Dodgers on May 20, will get his first start with the Phillies against Atlanta. Im betting the Braves light him up and put a heaping helping amount of runs on the board that will help us get over this total. Meanwhile, the Braves will send fire baller Strider to the hill. We love heavy fastball pitchers but he has  lost his past two decisions and allowed four runs in each of his two previous starts. In his most recent outing on Tuesday against the Dodgers, Strider pitched six innings and allowed four runs (two earned) on five hits, three walks and 11 strikeouts and Im also betting the Phillies sold offense should do some damage tonight,ATLANTA is 27-16 OVER  vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season with a combined average of 9.2 rpg going on the board.ATLANTA is 11-1 OVER   after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored.ATLANTA is 11-3 OVER  as a home favorite of -150 or more this season with a combined average of 9.7 rpg scored. 

Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 during game 4 of a series.Over is 12-4-1 in Phillies last 17 vs. National League East.Over is 7-3-3 in Phillies last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.

Over is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings.Play over

The Celtics in their last two games  are playing their best defensive basketball of the season, and Im betting they keep the pressure on tonight against a Miami Heat side that has regressed since game three of this series. Im expecting a very physical game here, as the proverbial  noose gets tighter around the neck of the Heat, and with elimination at hand for the Celtics for them to be even more attentive in transition, which will combine to keep this game on the lower side this offered totals number .BOSTON is 9-0 UNDER  when facing elimination in a playoff series over the last 2 seasons.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MIAMI) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 149-94 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. 

 Pirates right-hander Vince Velasquez (4-3, 3.06 ERA) is expected to be activated from the injured list to face Seattle ace Luis Castillo (3-2, 2.97). Velasquez iw fresh but rusty after the lay off and Im betting the Mariners tag him for some offensive production early. Meanwhile , Castillo according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest the Pirates matchup well here, and more runs than anticipated by the pundits and lines-makers should easily help up get an over wager to cash here. 

PITTSBURGH is 15-4 OVER  after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs over the last 2 seasons. 

Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 25-10-1 in Pirates last 36 vs. American League West.

Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter like Velesquez.

Over is 9-4 in Mariners last 13 during game 2 of a series.

MLB  team (SEATTLE) - average AL offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a good NL starter (ERA 3.70 or less), with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better on the season-AL are 31-11 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rare for bettors.

Play on the over 

Right-hander Michael Wacha (5-1, 3.58 ERA) will start Saturday for the Padres. He has allowed one run over his past four starts and is 3-0 with a 0.36 ERA in those appearances and Im betting on another strong effort today in NY.  Meanwhile, the Yanks will respond with Right-hander Luis Severino (0-0, 1.93) who will make his second start since returning from a right lat strain that cost him nearly two months to begin the season. Severino fell one out shy of qualifying for the win in Cincinnati on Sunday afternoon when he allowed one run on four hits and struck out five in 4 2/3 innings. Severino is 8-2 with a 1.79 ERA in 16 career inter-league appearances (14 starts). Im expecting Severino   to be stronger here of the extended lay off. . With that said, im betting on a pitchers duel and bullpen relief that help keep this score on the low side of the total. 

Under is 6-0 in Padres last 6 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 6-0 in Padres last 6 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-0 in Padres last 6 interleague road games.Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 vs. American League East.Under is 10-1 in Padres last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 8-1-1 in Padres last 10 during game 2 of a series.Under is 14-2-1 in Padres last 17 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.

SAN DIEGO is 15-2 UNDER\ when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season with  combined average of 7.3 rpg scored.SAN DIEGO is 9-1 UNDER in an inter-league game this season with a combined average of 6.8 rpg scored. 

NY YANKEES are 10-2 UNDER  in home games after a loss this season with a combined average of 6.4 rpg scored.

Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 interleague games.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 vs. National League West.

Play under

The Celtics top tier D, was finally on display last time out holding the Heat to under triple digits and Im betting on more top tier defensive hoops from the Celtics in transition tonight and for the Heat to suffer further offensive regression after a top tier performance in game 3 of this series.BOSTON is 8-0 UNDER when facing elimination in a playoff series over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 201.3 ppg scored.MIAMI is 9-1 UNDER  in road games after scoring 100 points or less this season. with a combined average of 211.4 ppg scored. 

NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MIAMI) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 74-39 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play under 

Tyler Wells (3-1, 2.94 ERA), who is the major league leader in WHIP (0.79) and opponents' batting average (.168, second), will start for the Orioles on Wednesday. Im betting he keeps the explosive Yankees bats at bay. Meanwhile, Nestor Cortes (4-2, 5.21 ERA) will  be on the hill for the Yanks . The southpaw allowed two runs on five hits in six innings at Toronto on Thursday and is finally starting to uptrend in my power rankings after a slow start to this season. Cortes 4-0 with a 1.37 ERA in eight career appearances (six starts) against Baltimore and Im betting he continues his upward momentum tonight in what will be some cool night time temps that favor the pitchers. 

CORTES is 19-8 UNDER  when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) 

BALTIMORE is 24-12 UNDER  as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.

Under is 5-2 in Orioles last 7 vs. American League East.Under is 8-3-2 in Orioles last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.

Play on the UNDER

Alex Cobb  and Sonny Gray are average at best pitchers but have performed very well out of the gate. Based on early season performance charts the total seems right, but after delving in deeper, and highlighting these two hurlers career averages a regression looks to be inevitable. 

MINNESOTA is 50-30 OVER  vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 9.7 runs per game scored over that 80 game sample size. Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Over is 6-2 in Giants last 8 interleague road games.Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Minnesota.

MLB team (MINNESOTA) - average AL offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a good NL starter (ERA 3.70 or less ), with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better on the season-AL are 30-10 OVER  L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the over

These offenses are explosive to say the least . When looking at the pitching matchup of Berrios and Bradley some powerful trends pop up. BERRIOS is 9-0 OVER  in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)  with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. BERRIOS is 16-4 OVER (+11.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.8 rpg scored. It must also be noted Berrios  owns divergent numbers at home (3.74 xFIP) and road (4.58 xFIP) during his career, and once again is vulnerable in the Rays backyard where they have 5.8 rpg this season. Meanwhile, Bradley the Rays starter has not pitched all that well at home this season where he has garnered a 5.40 ERA and against a Blue Jays side that averages 4.8 rpg on the road this season looks like cannon fodder for a strong offense. Over is 8-1 in Blue Jays last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter like Bradley.

Over is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings.Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay.

Play on the over

The Lakers are now 1 loss away from losing this series and suffering a sweep at the hands of the Denver Nuggets. Now in desperation mode Im betting on a hugely aggressive effort from the senior laden Lakers, that will see them leave everything on the floor . As has been evident of late,  the Nuggets just wont go away and give this game to the Lakers, but instead fire back with offensive fireworks of their own in a tilt that Im betting eclipses this total. 

LA LAKERS are 30-17 OVER  after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 231 ppg scored. 

DENVER is 48-33 OVER  when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 227.9 ppg scored. Over is 6-1-1 in Nuggets last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 6-1-1 in Nuggets last 8 road games.Over is 5-1 in Nuggets last 6 Conference Finals games.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (DENVER) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 34-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA LAKERS) - triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 85-43 OVER  L/27 seasons for a  67% conversion rate for bettors. 

Over is 33-16-2 in the last 51 meetings.Over is 15-7-2 in the last 24 meetings in Los Angeles.

Play over

A pair of former Cy Young Award winners go to the hill tonight as the Guardians' Shane Bieber (3-2, 3.20 ERA) and the Mets' Justin Verlander (1-2, 4.76 ERA) do battle. Both hurlers have looked average at best, making this number offered by the books vulnerable .With the Cleveland bullpen struggling of late and the Mets bullpen having struggled for most of this season, it will be an easy decision to take an over stance .  My projections make this total closer to 8 giving us value on the over cashing.Over is 13-5 in the last 18 meetings.

Play on the over

 Cubs starter Justin Steele  after a fast start to his season is finally starting look human.

Steele in his last   outing allowed a  season-high five runs on four in the fourth inning -- and five hits in barely getting through six innings of Chicago's 7-3 loss at Houston on Tuesday. Today against the sometimes explosive bats of the Phillies Im betting Steel will be humbled again. Thanks to Chicagos 4.9 rpg game offensive output on the road this season, Im also betting the Cubbies dont go down without a fight in a game I have pegged as an over result. 

Cubs are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia.Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Philadelphia.

Over is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 vs. National League Central.Over is 3-1-1 in Phillies last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.

Over is 7-0 in Cubs last 7 games following a loss.Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 during game 3 of a series.Over is 7-0 in Cubs last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 6-0 in Cubs last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 8-0 in Cubs last 8 road games.Over is 7-0 in Cubs last 7 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. .Over is 11-1 in Cubs last 12 overall.

MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (PHILADELPHIA) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.00 or better ) (NL), after a win by 4 runs or more are 48-15 OVER L/26 seasons with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. 

Play over

Because the Lakers are backed into the proverbial corner after going down 2-0 in this series Im betting they come here in aggressive run and gun fashion and the Nuggets will have no choice but  to reciprocate with some offensive fireworks  of their own or be blown of the court. Advantage to the over.

Note: LA LAKERS  in their L/36 games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 231.9 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (DENVER) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 33-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 231.3 ppg scored. 

Play on the over

 Based on my power rankings projections this total should be closer to 10 thus giving us value with an over wager.

Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 inter-league games vs. a left-handed starter like the Nats Corbin.

Over is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 inter-league games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 inter-league road games.Over is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 inter-league games.Over is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.DETROIT is 12-2 OVER  when playing against a team with a losing record this season.Over is 21-8-3 in Tigers last 32 vs. a team with a losing record.

Over is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 inter-league home games vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 8-3 in Nationals last 11 vs. American League Central.

Over is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings.Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Washington.

Play over

After missing nearly three weeks, Taillon has thrown a combined 10 1/3 innings over his past three starts, recording a 9.58 ERA  and once again looks to be cannon fodder for the Phillies sometimes explosive bats.  Taillon has made five career starts against the Phillies, garnering a  1-2 record along  with a bloated  6.86 ERA. Meanwhile, Aaron Nola (3-3, 4.53 ERA) is scheduled to take to the hill for  the Phillies. Nola is 4-2 with a 4.74 ERA in seven starts in his career against the Cubs.NOLA is 19-6 OVER when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. Everything points to this total being eclipsed. 

Over is 6-0 in Cubs last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 7-0 in Cubs last 7 road games.Over is 7-0 in Cubs last 7 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Over is 10-1 in Cubs last 11 overall.

CHICAGO CUBS are 8-0 OVER  in road games after 2 or more consecutive overs this season with a combined average of 12.5 rpg scored. 

MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a starting pitcher who is winless after 5 or more starts, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 10 games are 35-10 L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Philadelphia.

Play over

Jays starting right-hander Alek Manoah (1-4, 5.40 ERA) is winless in his past seven starts, and has garnered a bloated  7.98 ERA in three starts this month. Meanwhile, Baltimore sends  right-hander Grayson Rodriguez (2-1, 6.57 ERA)  to the hill to start against the Blue Jays . He is 1-1 and has recorded a ugly  11.37 ERA this month. Everything points to these sometimes explosive offenses teeing off today and for this total to be eclipsed.

Over is 10-4 in Blue Jays last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter like the Orioles starter Rodriguez. 

Over is 8-3 in Blue Jays last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Over is 6-2 in Blue Jays last 8 vs. American League East.

Over is 33-16-7 in the last 56 meetings.Over is 9-3-2 in the last 14 meetings in Toronto.Over is 7-3 in Orioles last 10 road games.Over is 12-4-1 in Orioles last 17 on astroturf.

MLB  teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (BALTIMORE) - after 4 straight games where they committed no errors, in May games are 38-16 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the over

All three games played between these Western conference rivals stayed under the total this season with a combined average of 4 gpg scored. Im betting on more tough defensive hockey here tonight in the series opener. 

VEGAS is 6-0 UNDER  off a win by 3 goals or more over a division rival this season with a combined average of 3.8 gpg scored. (Vegas wrapped up their series vs the Oilers last time out with a 5-2 victory).VEGAS is 10-1 UNDER (+9.2 Units) in the conference finals (lifetime) with a combined average of 4.3 gpg scored. 

DALLAS is 7-1 UNDER  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 4.8 gpg scored.-3 UNDER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 5.1 gpg scored. 

NHL team against the total (VEGAS) - revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite, off a road win are 302-215 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 59% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the under 

The Nuggets came out of gate in game 1 running and gunning , but looked a little weary in the 2nd half of that tilt with  the pace dropping perceptively and the Lakers adjusting on defense.  
Im betting on  a more even keeled game here with  key adjustments taking place on both sides of the court which Im betting results in a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse this total. 

Under is 6-2 in Lakers last 8 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Under is 11-4-1 in Lakers last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Under is 11-3-1 in Nuggets last 15 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Under is 8-3 in Nuggets last 11 home games.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA LAKERS) - an good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 43-18 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA play off Game 2’s after a Game 1 over result , have seen the  under go 41-26 for a 70% conversion rate for bettors  in the last five seasons. 

Play under

Florida has gone under this total in four consecutive trips to the ice  as they come off a  low-scoring series against the  Toronto Maple Leafs. In that series, the  Panthers goalie Sergei Bobrovsky  stopped 164 of 174 shots for a .943 save percentage and Im betting he remains hot here tonight in Carolina. 

Meanwhile, Carolina has also played top tier D in this season play offs , allowing the second-fewest goals per game (2.55)  in the post season which was a continuation of a top tier defensive effort during the regular season where they garnered a stingy 2.56 GAA. It must also be noted that  Goalie Frederik Andersen has been in top form  for the Hurricanes garnering a .931 SVP in his last 5 appearances.

CAROLINA is 30-18 UNDER in home games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons.

FLORIDA is 18-6 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) this season.

These teams played under this total in2 of 3 meetings this season and Im betting on a risne repeat situation tonight.

Play on the under 

Its not an ideal night for baseball in Bostons Fenway as temps are expected to be  around 50 degrees all night with , with 12 mph winds blowing in from left field. Pitchers have an advantage in this weather conditions.

Seattles starter GONZALES is 17-4 UNDER  in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7 rpg scored.  GONZALES is 21-8 UNDER  in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored.

Under is 5-2 in Mariners last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter like the BoSox starter Bello. 

Home plate umpire Mike Estabrook has seen 55% of his career gigs go under the total, a notorious pitchers leaning official.

Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 during game 3 of a series.

MLB teams where the total is 10 or higher (BOSTON/SEATTLE) - in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 54%), in May games are 48-14 UNDER  L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play under 

The L/3 meetings in this series during the current campaign have all eclipsed this total and my projections once again anticipate a score in the mid 220s which gives is a full possession advantage to the over. Considering the Lakers are a top tier side in  transition on offense while the Nuggets ae a weak transition defense you can bet the Lakers will press which will force the home side to be even more aggressive offensively and what could easily be a run and gun game 1. 

LA LAKERS are 17-6 OVER in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 233 ppg going on the scoreboard.LA LAKERS are 23-14 OVER  as a road underdog this season with a combined average of 234.1 ppg scored. 

DENVER is 42-23 OVER  in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 229.7 ppg scored. 

Play on the over

Brandon Williamson will make his MLB debut in the launching pad known as Coors Field and Im betting it wont be a pretty start to his big league career. Hes got a great arm but has control issues, none of which have been worked out during his minor league career. Not a good omen for him here in this type of ball park. Williamson went 2-4 with a 6.62 ERA in eight starts for Triple-A Louisville this season. The Rockies have done their best offensive work vs lefties this season averaging 5.4 rpg. 

Meanwhile, the Rockies will respond with Anderson who will face his former team in his first start of the season.  ( The Reds have an extensive scouting report on Anderson)  

COLORADO is 21-10 OVER  as a home favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average of 12.9 rpg scored. 

Over is 4-0-1 in Reds last 5 road games with the total set at 11.0 or higherOver is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.Over is 8-1-1 in the last 10 meetings in Colorado.

Play on the over

Seattle won  Monday's series opener, racking up 15 hits in a 10-1 victory and Im betting the hits and runs will keep on coming this Tuesday night as they face the very inconsistent BosSox starter N. Pivetta who owns a 8.40 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill.

PIVETTA in his L/6 after getting rocked for 7 or more runs last outing has seen a combined score of 13.3 rpg scored. ( In his latest appearance, on May 9 at Atlanta,  he allowed seven runs on eight hits in four innings)

Meanwhile, Boston despite of some sluggish offense efforts of late are more than capable of a bounce back game here vs a Seattle pitcher in Castillo. Note: The Red Sox are ranked near the top in MLB vs righties like Castillo averaging 5.4 rpg on a .273 BA. BOSTON is 7-0 OVER in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season with a combined average of 11.7 rpg scored.

.BOSTON is 16-7 OVER  in home games this season with a combined average of 11.3 rpg scored. 

Play over

My power rankings suggest the BoSox offense matchup well vs the Mariners starter Kirby. BOSTON is 9-1 OVER vs. a starting pitcher like Kirby with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season with a combined 12.3 rpg scored. BOSTON is 18-6 OVER  against right-handed starters this season with a combined 11.6 rpg scored. Kirby is 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA in two career starts against the Red Sox, allowing 10 runs (eight earned) in 10 innings. He has also surrendered four home runs.BOSTON is 26-13 OVER in all games this season with a combined average of 10.8 rpg scored.Meanwhile, the Mariners offense should also roll today vs a tired pitching staff and bullpen that just allowed 21 runs in a 3 game set to the Cardinals in which they were swept. Red Sox starter Houck has also looked less than stellar of late, garnering a 6.48 ERA in his L/3 starts. 

Over is 3-0-1 in Red Sox last 4 during game 1 of a series.Over is 8-0 in Red Sox last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (SEATTLE) - with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts, ice cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 20 games are 65-30 OVER L/26 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Over is 20-8-1 in the last 29 meetings in Boston.Over is 21-6 in the last 27 meetings.

Play over

NYM starter Peterson has not looked great so far this season, but has a good hsitroy against the Dbacks, as is evident by a  2-0  record along with a 2.93 ERA in six career outings (five starts) against Washington. With the Nats only averaging 2.9 rpg this season at home Peterson and his bullpen should do fine from a defensive perspective in this tilt. 

Meanwhile the Nationals starter  Corbin has also under performed but is trending upwards as he has worked at least into the sixth inning in his last five starts. With the Mets only averaging 2.7 rpg vs lefties this season, Corbin should have a decent outing. 

NY METS are 12-4 UNDER  against left-handed starters this season like Crobin with a combined average of 6.7 rpg going on the board. 

NY METS are 9-1 UNDER  when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. 

WASHINGTON is 14-5 UNDER vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season with a combined average of 7.7 rpg scored. 

WASHINGTON is 18-7 UNDER in home games with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored.

MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (NY METS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL, excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or better  errors/game on the season are 39-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 7.8 rpg scored. 

MLB team (WASHINGTON) - with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.70 or worse on the season (NL). are 52-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play under 

Minnesota's Louie Varland (0-0, 4.32 ERA) will make his ninth career start and first against the Cubs, while Chicago will respond with  right-hander Marcus Stroman (2-3, 2.28). Varland has pitched his best at home this season where has garnered a 1.50 ERA in 6 innings of work. It must also be noted that Stroman has gone at least six innings while allowing two or fewer runs in seven of his eight starts this season and Im betting nothing changes today in what Im projecting will be a lower scoring affair. (Also expecting immediate offensive regression from the Twins after yesterdays 11 run output) 

Under is 20-7-1 in Cubs last 28 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.CHICAGO CUBS are 10-2 UNDER  after 2 or more consecutive road games this season with a combined average of 6.5 rpg scored. 

Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 7-3-1 in Twins last 11 during game 3 of a series.Under is 9-4-1 in Twins last 14 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 15-7-2 in Twins last 24 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Play under

The pitching matchup of  righty Musgrove going against Urials the lefty gives the offenses and advantage as the   Dodgers rank third against righties (119 wRC+), while the Padres  rank  eighth against southpaws with a 115 wRC+ so far this season. Dodger stadium will see temps in the high 70s, with light winds blowing out to center.

LA DODGERS are 13-4 OVER  in home games in May games over the last 2 seasons with 11.7 rpg scored. Over is 9-3 in Dodgers last 12 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 10-3 in Dodgers last 13 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.

Play over 

Baltimores starter Wells, , has not lost since April 9. In five starts since then, he is 2-0 with a 3.10 ERA, 23 strikeouts and seven walks and is not an easy guy to face for a Pirates side that has not scored more than 3 runs in 11 straight games. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh's Roansy Contreras (3-3, 4.74 ERA) will go against a Baltimore team that hits southpaws better than righties ranking 15th . My projections based on the pitching matchup , and projected offensive outputs suggests a line closer 7.5 thus giving us value on this offering. 

Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-0-1 in Orioles last 5 overall.BALTIMORE is 15-4 UNDER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.7 rog scored. 

Play under

These teams took part in a high scoring game yesterday, and the environment is right for another fairly high scoring affair that eclipses this total according to my projections. With temps in the low 18s and NW winds at around 13 mph Im expected plenty runs.

BOSTON is 18-9 OVER vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season with a combined average of 10.5 rpg scored.BOSTON is 15-6 OVER  in home games this season with a combined average of 11.6 rpg scored. 

Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 interleague games.Over is 8-1 in Cardinals last 9 overall.

Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Boston.Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

Play over