NFL : Lions vs. Jaguars
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The NFL comp play is on Detroit at 1:00 eastern. The Lions are rested and ready off the bye week. Today they catch a reeling Jacksonville team that fits a nasty system that is 33-61 ats and on a 2-32 run playing against home dogs off back to back road dog losses vs a team that averages 3.5 or more yards per carry on an average 25 rushes per game. The Jags are 2-7 ats off a loss and have failed to cover 12 of 15 after throwing for 250+ yards. The favorite has covered the last 4 in this series. In a battle of the large cats look for the lions to take down the Jaguars. RV- GC Sports
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Detroit (1-3) at Jacksonville (1-4) 1:00 ET
Jaguars (+) over Lions- To start with I'm not 'Matt' fan, Patricia or Stafford! One is 'Over-rated' and the other in 'Over-his-head'. So, I get to 'fade' one of the NFL's biggest imposters in a NFL QB that is in his 12th season and we are still waiting for him to 'arrive.' Detroit jump out to a 14-0 lead against NO and than we're outscored 35-7 as Patricia's game plan went into effect. Lions have lost 9-of-10 SU with their only win by 3-points and here they are favored by 3.5. I don't buy it! Jags QB Minshew will shine here! By the Numbers: Lions 4-10-1 L-15 as Rd Fav, 1-7 ATS vs losing record, 3-12 ATS L-15 overall. Take JACKSONVILLE!
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PICK - Lions/Jaguars OVER 53.5
These two teams should have no problem eclipsing the total of 53.5. Jacksonville is the definition of a OVER team. The Jags don't play any defense and their offense is pass-heavy. Jacksonville has allowed 30 or more in each of their last 4 games and are giving up 417 ypg and 6.7 yards/play. They have been especially bad against the pass, allowing 8.7 yards/attempt.
Detroit's Matthew Stafford is the king of putting up big numbers against bad teams and this Lions offense is due for an outburst. They are scoring 24.8 ppg, but only at 334 ypg. Like the Jags, Stafford and the Lions would prefer to throw it all over the field.
Key here is the Jags should be able to go score for score with Detroit. Lions defense is giving up 31.8 ppg, 405 ypg and 6.3 ypp.
OVER is 35-19 in the Lions last 54 road games vs a team from the AFC and 11-2 in the Jags last 13 home games vs a team from the NFC North. Play the OVER 53.5!
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