At 10:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Los Angeles Dodgers (960) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the San Francisco Giants (959) listing both starting pitchers Kenta Maeda and Tyler Beede. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (48-24) closed out their four-game series with the Cubs last night by winning three of those four games with a 3-2 victory. San Francisco (30-39) saw their four-game winning streak snapped yesterday with a 5-3 loss at home to Milwaukee.

REASONS TO TAKE THE DODGERS MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE: Los Angeles has won 11 of their last 15 games after a win — and they have won 36 of their last 51 games after not allowing more than two runs in their last game. LA stays at home in Dodgers Stadium where they have won 39 of their last 51 games. While the fact that the Dodgers have now won 24 of their last 29 home games when priced at least at -150 might compel most bettors to take their chances investing in the higher price, that would be the less profitable path this season. Los Angeles has been a home favorite priced above my -150 threshold 30 times this season after last night — and they have won 21 of those games by more than one run to produce a much better yield overall. We had the Dodgers with the Run-Line last night — and, frankly, we should have seen a payout if not for manager Dave Roberts mismanaging things in the bottom of the 6th inning when his team had runners on second-and-third with no outs (for starters, he should have pinch hit for pitcher Hyun-Jin Ryu when he was up with one out with two runners in scoring position — Ryu struck out instead). They send out Maeda who is 7-3 with a 3.89 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP in thirteen starts. The right-hander has been dominant at home where he owns a 1.69 ERA with a 0.72 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .145 in five starts. Los Angeles has won 5 straight home games with Maeda on the mound — and they have won 4 straight home games with Maeda facing the Giants. He should pitch well once again against this Giants team that has lost 25 of their last 35 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. San Francisco has lost 9 of their last 12 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game — and they have lost 11 of their last 13 games after winning four or five of their last six games. Additionally, the Giants have lost a decisive 40 of their last 55 games against teams with a winning record. Furthermore, San Francisco has not won many games as a big underdog as they have lost 18 of their last 21 games as a money-line dog priced at least at +200 — and this includes them losing eleven of their last thirteen road games priced at +200 or higher. They counter with Beede who is 0-2 with an 8.06 ERA and a 2.06 WHIP in 22 1/3 innings of work. The rookie right-hander has pitched 15 1/3 of those innings on the road where he has been hit hard given his 8.80 ERA along with a 2.09 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .313. He faces a powerful Dodgers’ lineup that is scoring 5.5 Runs-Per-Game at home with a .279 batting average along with a .353 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .852. LA has won 40 of their last 53 home games against right-handed starting pitchers — and they have won 13 of their last 16 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: The Giants are looking to avenge a 1-0 loss to the Dodgers back on June 9th — but they have lost 25 of their last 34 road games when playing with revenge from a one-run loss in their last meetings. That is not a good sign for a San Fran team that has lost 9 of their last 13 meetings with the Dodgers. Rather than paying the higher price on LA, the recent history makes it clear that the better investment is to lower the price by laying the -1.5 Run-Line. Lastly, because Maeda did not last five complete innings in his last start, the Dodgers are supported by a Run-Line specific angle that has been 72%  effective over the last five seasons. LA has a bullpen WHIP of 1.22 — and teams with a bullpen WHIP of 1.25 or lower using a starting pitcher who did not finish the 5th inning in his last start have then covered the -1.5 Run-Line in 64 of these last 89 situations (when priced at +100 to -190). 10* MLB Monday Late Show Run-Line Bailout with the Los Angeles Dodgers (960) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the San Francisco Giants (959) listing both starting pitchers Kenta Maeda and Tyler Beede. Best of luck for us — Frank

At 7:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the money-line on the Washington Nationals (952) versus the Philadelphia Phillies (951) listing both starting pitchers Patrick Corbin and Jake Arrieta. THE SITUATION: Washington (33-38) has won two of their last three games with their 15-5 win over Arizona yesterday. Philadelphia (39-32) has lost five of their last seven games with their 15-1 loss to Atlanta yesterday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE NATIONALS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Washington has won 5 of their last 7 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. The Nationals have also won 7 of their last 10 games at home — and they have won 5 of their last 6 games against fellow NL East foes. They give the ball to Corbin who is 5-5 with a 4.11 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP in fourteen starts. The right-hander has struggled in his last three starts — but all those games were on the road. Corbin has thrived at home where he sports a 2.36 ERA, 0.87 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of just .182 in six starts. Corbin’s teams have won 22 of their last 36 games with him making a home start — and his teams have also won 6 of their last 9 home games with Corbin pitching with the Total set at 10 or higher. He faces a Phillies team that has lost 4 of their last 5 games against left-handed starting pitchers. Philadelphia has lost 4 of their last 5 opening games to a new series. The Phillies have also lost 7 of their last 10 games on the road — and they have lost 5 of their last 7 road games with the Total set at 10 or higher. Philly has also lost 13 of their last 19 games as an underdog priced no higher than +150. They counter with Arrieta who is 6-5 with a 4.31 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP in fourteen starts. The deeper sabermetrics are not encouraging for the veteran with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.87 and 4.49 moving forward. The right-hander has struggled on the road as well with a 4.54 ERA in seven starts along with a 1.51 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .297. The Phillies have lost 11 of their last 17 road games with Arrieta pitching as an underdog. He faces a hot-hitting Nationals team that is scoring 6.7 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .287 batting average along with a .337 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .875 over that span. Washington has won 7 of their last 9 games against right-handed starting pitchers — and they have won 7 of their last 10 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: The Phillies have lost 19 of their last 28 games played in Washington against the Nationals. 10* MLB Monday Daily Discounted Deal with the money-line on the Washington Nationals (952) versus the Philadelphia Phillies (951) listing both starting pitchers Patrick Corbin and Jake Arrieta. Best of luck for us — Frank.

Take the Atlanta Braves with the money-line versus the New York Mets listing both starting pitchers Mike Soroka and Zack Wheeler. Atlanta (42-30) has won nine of their last ten games with their 15-1 win over Philadelphia yesterday. The Braves have then won 20 of their last 26 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Atlanta has also won 8 of their last 9 games at home. New York (34-37) has lost three of their last four games with their 4-3 loss to St. Louis yesterday. The Mets go on the road where they have lost 20 of their last 26 games away from home. New York has also lost 4 straight opening games to a new series. Take Atlanta with the money-line listing both starting pitchers. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports begins Monday on a 9 of 12 (75%) MLB HOT STREAK that has continued his RED HOT 31 of 45 (69%) MLB run along with a 67 of 107 (63%) long-term MLB mark! Now Frank furthers his 10 of 14 (71%) MLB TOTALS TEAR along with his 14 of 21 (67%) MLB Game of the Year/Month mark with this 25* MLB Divisional Total of the Year for the first half of the regular season prior to the All-Star Break! DON’T MISS OUT!

At 7:20 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Mets (953) and the Atlanta Braves (954) listing both starting pitchers Zack Wheeler and Mike Soroka. THE SITUATION: New York (34-37) has lost three of their last four games with their 4-3 loss to St. Louis yesterday. Atlanta (42-30) has won nine of their last ten games after they crushed Philadelphia yesterday by a 15-1 score on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Over is 10-1-1 in the Braves’ last 12 games after a win — and they have played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Atlanta’s bullpen has pitched 9 1/3 combined innings over their last two games — and they have played 15 of their last 18 games Over the Total when their bullpen has logged in at least 9 combined innings in their last two games. The Over is also 12-3-1 in the Braves’ last 16 home games against teams with a losing record. They give the ball to Soroka who is 7-1 with a 1.92 ERA along with a 0.97 WHIP in eleven starts. The deeper sabermetrics are not bullish on the rookie right-hander with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.93 and 3.59 moving forward. Soroka opened the season with an unsustainable low Batting Average for the Balls he Allowed Into Play (BABIP) and Home Run to Fly Ball rate — and the that he is still leaving 77.6% of the runners left on base when retiring the side is well above the league average. But the right-hander has seen the Regression Gods already visit him a few times this month as he has a 4.12 ERA with a 1.12 WHIP over his last three starts while striking out only 14 batters in 19 2/3 innings of work. Soroka has not been as effective at home where he sees his ERA rise to a 3.03 mark along with a 1.18 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .248 in five starts as compared to his filthy 1.11 ERA, 0.81 WHIP and .154 opponent’s batting average on the road. Atlanta has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total with Soroka facing a team with a losing record. He faces a Mets team that is scoring 5.9 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games. New York has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers — and the Over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games against teams using a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. The Over is 3-0-1 in the Mets’ last 4 games after a loss. Additionally, New York has played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 28 of their last 42 games Over the Total in night games. They counter with Wheeler who is 5-4 with a 4.87 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP in fourteen starts. The right-hander has particularly struggled on the road where he has a 5.48 ERA with a 1.45 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .287 in seven starts. The Over is 7-3-2 in the Mets’ last 12 road games with Wheeler on the mound. The Over is also 6-0-2 in New York’s last 8 games with Wheeler pitching on five days of rest. He faces a hot-hitting Braves team that is scoring 9.0 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .342 batting average along with a .402 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of 1.056 over that span. Atlanta is scoring 5.8 Runs-Per-Game at home — and the Over is 12-3-1 in their last 16 home games against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: The Braves have scored at least nine runs twelve times this season. They face a pitcher in Wheeler who has already surrendered 13 home runs this season. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break National League East Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the New York Mets (953) and the Atlanta Braves (954) listing both starting pitchers Zack Wheeler and Mike Soroka. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Norway (225909) minus the Goal-Line versus South Korea (225910). THE SITUATION: Norway (1-0-1) looks to bounce-back from a 2-1 loss to France last Wednesday. With a 3-0 victory over Nigeria in their opening match, a victory for the Grass Hoppers clinches their spot in the Knockout Stage Round of Sixteen. South Korea (0-0-2) lost their second straight match on Wednesday with a 2-0 loss to Nigeria. The Taegeuk Ladies must win this match to secure 3 points and hope they can grab one of the four third-place finishes in the six groups that will advance to the final sixteen  Knockout Stage.

REASONS TO TAKE NORWAY MINUS THE GOAL-LINE: The Grass Hoppers acquitted themselves quite well against the talented host nation. They controlled the time of possession 56% of the match. If not for a controversial penalty kick assisted by the Video-Assist-Review, Norway may have secured a point with a 1-1 draw. The headline regarding this Norwegian team is they are without their star, Ada Hegerberg, who is boycotting participation with the national team given their soccer federation’s unequal treatment of the women’s club. But this remains a very talented team even without perhaps the best female player in the world. Without Hegerberg, the Grass Hoppers were 7-0-1 in the UEFA Qualifying stage for this World Cup while outscoring their opponent’s by a dominant 22 to 4 goal margin. Norway continued their quality play without Hegerberg in their 3-0 win over Nigeria as they dominated possession again by holding the ball for 59% of that match. South Korea is a solid side that dominates their Asian Federation — but they tend to falter against quality opponents from European and North American. They were easily handled by France in their opening match by a 4-0 score. The Taeguek Ladies needed to then step up on against a Nigerian side that had never won a match in a World Cup before their triumph last Wednesday. This South Korean side has a small backline that is effective in pushing the attack against their Asian peers but tends to get overmatched against bigger opponents. That group had cohesion issues in the 2015 World Cup where they surrendered eight goals in four matches. The six goals they have allowed in the first two matches in this tournament is a concern. But perhaps a bigger concern is the lack of offensive punch from this group that has yet to find the back of the net. South Korea will likely play their most aggressive match in this tournament this afternoon with their need to secure 3 points to keep their Knockout Stage hopes alive. However, those tactics will leave then Taegeuk Ladies vulnerable in the counter-attack.

FINAL TAKE: Norway would be a significant threat to win this tournament if Hegerberg was on their roster. Even without their best player, this strong European team with a rich history remains capable. They should overwhelm a South Korean team that continues to falter against European competition. 25* Women’s World Cup Group-A Match of the Year with Norway (225909) minus the Goal-Line versus South Korea (225910). Best of luck for us — Frank.