FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR MONDAY, 12/6:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut on Monday was with the Portland Trailblazers plus the points versus the Los Angeles Clippers. Portland (11-13) got upset for the second straight game on Saturday in a 145-117 loss at home to Boston as a 1-point favorite. The Trailblazers have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after two straight upset losses. Portland stays at home where they are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games. Los Angeles (12-12) has lost four of their last five games after their 104-99 loss at Sacramento as a 2-point favorite on Saturday. The Clippers have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. Los Angeles has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games as a favorite. Take Portland plus the points. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports SWEPT THE BOARD with a 4-0 NFL Sunday — headlined by DELIVERING their 25* AFC Underdog of the Month with the LA Chargers and their 25* NFL SNF Total of the Month with the Denver-KC Under — to further a 22 of 29 (76%) NFL run! Now Frank furthers his 11 of 15 (73%) NFL Game of the Month/Year run by UNLEASHING his 25* AFC East Game of the Year for the New England-Buffalo ATS winner on ESPN at 8:15 PM ET! DO NOT MISS OUT!

Frank is on a 44 of 71 (62%) All-Sports run over the last 25 days -- and he has CA$HED SIX STRAIGHT NFL WINNERS! Now Frank furthers his 16 of 22 (73%) NFL Prime-Time run and his 12 of 13 (92%) NFL TOTALS TEAR with tonight’s New England-Buffalo O/U winner on ESPN at 8:15 PM ET! CA$H-IN Frank’s Monday Night Discounted Deal — IT’S A STEAL!

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New England Patriots (475) and the Buffalo Bills (476). THE SITUATION: New England (8-4) won their sixth straight game in a row with their 36-13 victory against Tennessee as a 7.5-point favorite on Sunday. Buffalo (7-4) has won two of their last three games after their 31-6 win at New Orleans as a 7-point favorite last week.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: My initial thought for MNF was with the Over but I do like to make final decisions with fresh eyes. The biggest questions for tonight's game are (1) how significant of an impact will the weather have on the game and (2) how significant is the line movement in reaction to the weather? After waiting for the early afternoon forecast to make my final calls, the temperates appear destined to be in the 20s (wind chill in the teens) with winds 25-35 MPH and gusting up to 40 MPH. Precipitation does not seem likely by game-time -- so probably not blizzard conditions. The wind negatively impacts field goal attempts and deeper passes. But the conditions also promote chaos for turnovers and special teams. I think the number has dropped too low -- so I am sticking with the over (and if I was leaning Under initially, then the low number would not scare me off). New England gained 394 yards in their victory against the Titans last week — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. The Patriots also forced four turnovers last week (+4 net turnover margin) — and they have played 5 of their last 8 games Over the Total after enjoying at least a +3 net turnover margin in their last game. New England has won the turnover battle in each game of their six-game winning streak — and they have played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total after having at least a +1 net turnover margin in five straight games. Turnovers could play a role in getting the final score of this game into the 40s. Buffalo has seen the Over go 16-6-1 in their last 23 games after a straight-up win. The Bills held the Saints to just 190 total yards last week — but they have played 7 straight games Over the Total after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. They return home where they are scoring 28.0 PPG and averaging 392.0 total Yards-Per-Game. Buffalo has not played a game with a Total this low all season — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games at home Over the Total with the Total in the 38.5 to 42 range.

FINAL TAKE: New England has played 5 straight games Over the Total against AFC opponents — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. 10* NFL Monday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the New England Patriots (475) and the Buffalo Bills (476). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Buffalo Bills (476) minus the points versus the New England Patriots (475). THE SITUATION: Buffalo (7-4) has won two of their last three games after their 31-6 win at New Orleans as a 7-point favorite last week. New England (8-4) won their sixth straight game in a row with their 36-13 victory against Tennessee as a 7.5-point favorite on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BILLS MINUS THE POINTS: My initial thought for this situation was to prefer Buffalo but I do like to make final decisions with fresh eyes. The biggest questions for tonight's game are (1) how significant of an impact will the weather have on the game and (2) how significant is the line movement in reaction to the weather? After waiting for the early afternoon forecast to make my final calls, the temperates appear destined to be in the 20s (wind chill in the teens) with winds 25-35 MPH and gusting up to 40 MPH. Precipitation does not seem likely by game-time -- so probably not blizzard conditions. I think there is a significant edge at Quarterback tonight. Josh Allen played four years in the cold at Wyoming. His big arm can cut through the wind a bit more -- and he has a few more years of big games under his belt. I like Mac Jones but his arm strength is not one of his best qualities (accuracy, decision-making, intellect) -- and his background is Florida then Alabama. Will these be the coldest temperatures he has ever played in? As it is, the New England offense only averages 309.0 total Yards-Per-Game on the road — a drop-off of -46.3 net YPG from their season average. Jones averages only 178 passing YPG in his five starts on the road with his 231 passing yards at Houston being his season-high away from home. The Patriots' recent winning streak has been fueled by them winning the turnover battle in each of those six games. They have forced four turnovers in two straight games while committing just one turnover themselves in those two games — but they have failed to cover the point spread 6 of their last 8 games after enjoying a +3 or better turnover margin in each of their last two games. New England surrendered 270 rushing yards to a Titans team without Derrick Henry last week — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last game. Buffalo is 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games after a victory by 14 or more points. The Bills are also 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. Buffalo gained 361 yards against the Saints last week — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last contest. The Bills held New Orleans to just 190 total yards — and they are 9-1-2 ATS after not allowing more than 250 yards in their last game. Buffalo held the Saints to just 44 rushing yards as well — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after not allowing more than 90 rushing yards in their last game. The Patriots will lean heavily on running the football on the road and in these weather conditions — but the Bills are fourth in the NFL by allowing just 3.9 rushing Yards-Per-Carry. Buffalo returns home where they are outscoring their guests by +8.8 Points-Per-Game and outgains them by +135.4 net Yards-Per-Game. The Bills are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games at home — and they are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 home games when favored.

FINAL TAKE: Buffalo has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games in December. The Patriots have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games in December. 25* AFC East Game of the Year with the Buffalo Bills (476) minus the points versus the New England Patriots (475). Best of luck for us — Frank.