Larry's 8-3 (+$4,292) in all sports Fri & Sat. He caps the weekend with a 6-game Sun card. It includes four NFL plays, including his 10* Total GOY (13-3 w/"featured" Sun NFL totals). CBB/NBA doubleheader, too.
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Larry has set several records in many sports since coming here, but his MLB program is what has set him apart. Make sure you're there for the first pitch of the season, all the way until the final out of the World Series!
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After more than 30 years as a professional handicapper, Larry has finished among the “World’s best” in every major North American sport several times. Major League Baseball has been no exception. In fact, over the last three years Ness is ranked as the No. 1 MLB handicapper in the entire World! Note that Larry has banked $35,083 in profits over the last three regular seasons combined (know anyone that’s done better?!) 2017 saw Larry post over +$10,000 units in the regular season and then he’d also go on to go a spectacular 18-8-1 +$8,530 in the playoffs, for a total of $18,538! And now 2018 has the potential to be the BIGGEST season of them all! Be smart and take advantage!
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My free play is on Nebraska at 7:00 ET.
Nebraska was hoping to secure a home-and-home series with Oklahoma and Kansas State but that fell through in the off-season. Meanwhile, Oklahoma St was hoping to play a Power-Five opponent on a neutral court sometime during December. That prompted both schools to reach out to the officials of the 3,250-seat Pentago in Sioux Falls, S.D. An arrangement was soon made to pit the former Big Eight/Big 12 rivals against each other for the 118th time and leading the Cornhuskers to play their first game in South Dakota since 1942. Nebraska enters 8-2 (unranked in the AP poll but No. 25 in the Coaches' poll), while Oklahoma St comes in a disappointing 4-5. Nebraska will take to the court for the first time since last Saturday's 94-75 win over Creighton, moving the Cornhuskers to 1-1 halfway through their four-game stretch against opponents who qualified for postseason play in 2017-18. As for the Cowboys, they are off to their worst nine-game start since 1986-87, but have faced one of the more difficult schedules in the country. The Cowboys have dropped three straight and lost for the fourth time in five outings in a 63-53 setback against No. 24 Houston last Saturday.
Nebraska (under Tim Miles) is known for its defense, as the Cornhuskers are allowing just 59.6 PPG (14th). However, if the team's scoring average of 79.8 PPG could be maintained for a full season, it would be the highest mark since 1995-96! Nebraska's five starters are averaging between 8.1 and 18.7 PPG, led by James Palmer Jr. Despite the team's poor start, Oklahoma St is shooting a Big 12-best 41.6 percent from three-point range to rank 11th in Division I .The good news is, OSU’s Curtis Jones (an Indiana transfer) is now eligible but expect it to take some time for him to mesh with the other starters,.
Nebraska is 7-2-1 ATS to open the current season and over its last 29 regular season games (dating back to early December of last season), is a MONEY-MAKING 24-4-1 ATS. How does one buck that? Lay it with the Cornhuskers.
|Rockets vs Grizzlies||Grizzlies +2½ -102||Premium||105-97||Loss||-102||Show|
|Lakers vs Hornets||Lakers +1 -115||Top Premium||128-100||Win||100||Show|
|Washington vs Virginia Tech||Washington +6½ -115||Premium||61-73||Loss||-115||Show|
|Cincinnati vs Mississippi State||Mississippi State -5 -105||Top Premium||59-70||Win||100||Show|
|Villanova vs Kansas||Villanova +8½ -115||Premium||71-74||Win||100||Show|
|Texans vs Jets||Texans -6 -110||Top Premium||29-22||Win||100||Show|
|Middle Tennessee State vs Appalachian State||Middle Tennessee State +7 -103||Top Premium||13-45||Loss||-103||Show|
|Eastern Michigan vs Georgia Southern||Georgia Southern +1 -110||Premium||21-23||Win||100||Show|
|Arizona State vs Fresno State||Fresno State -4½ -105||Premium||20-31||Win||100||Show|
PICKS IN PROGRESS
My 10* CBB Game of the Week is on St Louis at 3:00 ET.
St Louis is 7-2 and will visit Houston (9-0 and ranked 24th in the AP poll) on Sunday. This marks the 38th meeting between the two former MVC and C-USA rivals, with St Louis holding a 24-13 lead in the series. However, in the most recent meeting last year, Houston won 77-58 at St Louis. In that game, the Billikens had two starters foul out and coughed up 16 TOs in the 19-point loss.
Houston has yet to lose and considering that the Cougars enter on a 22-game home win streak (the nation's second-longest!), a 10-0 start would not come as a surprise (note: This is the third time the Cougars have started 9-0. Houston was also 9-0 in 1969-70 and won all 28 regular-season games in 1967-68 on the way to a Final Four appearance and 31-2 record). However, I think the Billikens will keep this one a lot closer than what this spread would suggest.
In its first game since entering the national polls last Monday, Houston rallied from a 15-point second-half deficit to beat LSU 82-76 on Wednesday. That comes on the heels of another emotionally-draining 63-53 win at Okla State on Dec 8. St Louis has lost twice this season, by two points to Pittsburgh (in Brooklyn) on Nov 21 and by five points at Southern Illinois on Dec 5.
Houston has struggled lately from behind the three-point line, hitting 25.5 percent during its past four home games. That doesn't bode well against a St Louis defense holding opponents to 26.9% on threes (12th-best) and 61.7 PPG, overall (20th). I feel that the Billikens' aggressive defensive play keeps this game competitive until the final moments. It’s also worthy of note to that the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five in this series.
Grab the points.
My 10* Oddsmakers Error is on the Green Bay Packers (1:00 EST).
The 5-7-1 Green Bay Packers invade Soldier Field looking to pull off an outright upset. While I do indeed feel it’s possible, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can.
Green Bay kept its slim wild card hopes alive with a convincing 34-20 win over Atlanta last weekend and there’s no reason not to think that Aaron Rodgers and company can’t keep that momentum rolling here in this “do or die” scenario.
Rodgers has 3,700 yards passing and a ridiculous 23/1 TD/INT. Davante Adams has 1,196 receiving yards and 12 TDs. Overall the Packers are averaging 24.2 PPG.
The Bears enter off a very satisfying 15-6 win over the Rams in their last outing and I think they’re primed for a predictable letdown here. The pressure is now on the Bears to deliver the goods, as a victory will lock up the division. QB Mitch Trubisky has 2,579 passing yards and a ho-hum 21/12 TD/INT. Overall Chicago averages 19 PPG.
Additionally note that the Packers are 14-8 ATS in their last 22 after playing a home game, while Chicago is just 1-4 ATS in its last five off an upset win as a home dog.
The Bears play with revenge, but the Packers are playing for their lives. In a contest which I envision being decided by whichever of these hungry teams has its hands on the ball last, I’m grabbing the points.
My 8* CRUSHER is on the Baltimore Ravens (1:00 EST).
The 5-8 Buccaneers had their two game win streak snapped last week and they’ve now lost five of their last seven. They tried their best to play spoiler to division rival New Orleans, but with that attempt coming up short, I have a hard time seeing the struggling visiting side mustering up the same energy levels in this difficult non-conference road venue.
Bucs’ QB Jameis Winston has 2,154 passing yards and along with a weak 14/12 TD/INT. The ground game has been terrible, averaging only 98.7 YPG.
The main issue for Tampa though has been on the defensive side of the ball as it allows an atrocious 29.5 PPG.
Playing defense has been no issue for Baltimore most weeks though, as it allows just 18.5 PPG, No. 1 in the NFL. This is a crucial game for Baltimore as it looks to keep pace for the Wildcard. QB Lamar Jackson had 687 passing yards and a 4/3 TD/INT, while also rushing for over 400 yards already.
I’ll point out as well that Tampa is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven off a loss vs. a division rival, while Baltimore is 7-2 ATS in its last nine off a road loss.
For all the reasons listed above, lay the points.
My 10* Total Of The Year is on the over Cards/Falcons (1:00 EST).
Two proud teams collide with nothing but pride to play for. Neither side can be happy with the way its season has unfolded to this point, but with the pressure off and with both trying to gain something positive to build off to end the season, I’m expecting more of a wide-open “shootout,” than a lower-scoring “chess match.”
Arizona has lost six of eight. QB Josh Rosen has 1,910 passing yards and a 10/12 TD/INT. The ground game has been the weak point to this point, averaging only 85 YPG. The defense though has also been a shell of its former self and the Falcons’ high-flying and under-achieving offense will definitely have its opportunities in facing a Cards’ unit which is allowing 25.2 PPG.
The Falcons have lost five straight and they’ll be given the green light today to open up the playbook. QB Matt Ryan has been a bright spot, going for 4,076 yards along with a 28/6 TD/INT. Ryan now has two or more TD passes in five of his last eight games.
I’ll point out as well that Arizona has seen the total go “over” the number in 14 of its last 21 on the road and in nine of its last 14 as a road underdog, while Atlanta has seen the total go over in 15 of its last 21 as a home favorite and in three of its last four following a loss by 14 points or more.
For all the reasons listed above, play the over.
Age: 63 (turns 64 in November).
Years in handicapping: Larry entered his 34th year in the industry in August of 2017.
Achievements in handicapping: 1985 Castaway’s Pro Football Challenge Champion, then the most prestigious handicapping contest in Las Vegas; 1999 Stardust Invitational semi-finalist.
A member of the original cast of Proline, the nation’s longest running pre-game handicapping show on the USA-TV network (also hosted Sports Desk on the same network). Although well-known on TV for his expert game analysis and no-nonsense handicapping style, Larry may be best known for his radio work. He hosted his own syndicated call-in radio show, Sports Central. It aired live from Bally's Casino in Las Vegas in the early to mid-90s and at one time was heard in more than 100 markets.
Systems used for handicapping a game: Fundamental and statistical analysis. "I'm not typically a trend and system kind of guy," Ness says. "I look at team strengths and weaknesses and compare them. It’s an all-encompassing thing and over 30-plus years, you get good at it."
34-Club Play: It represents Larry's 34 years in the business and gets his highest star rating (10*s). Expect no more than one of these plays per month, per sport during the regular season.
LEGEND Play: Larry's often been referred to as a Las Vegas legend and he's 'borrowed' the title for his other "signature play.". Larry's LEGEND Plays were previously available to only a select group of private clients but they are now available to all, through the internet. Like his 34-Club plays, expect no more than one play per month, per sport (rated 10*s).
PERFECT STORM: Larry just added these plays the last few years and his accompanying expert analysis makes these popular plays self-explanatory (rated 9 or 10*s).
Situational Stunners: Larry's a fundamental handicapper at heart but he does pay attention to team and situational trends (especially in MLB). When his fundamental handicapping and a strong trend or situation match up, he releases a Situational Stunner. He just started releasing these plays in MLB '09 and he's expanded them since, to all sports (rated 8, 9 or 10*s).
Las Vegas Insider: Throughout his 34 years, Larry has become known as "the ultimate Las Vegas insider." The contacts he's developed over more than two decades (on both sides of the 'counter'), are arguably "unmatched!" He confers daily with 'his friends' and when "all the stars align on the same game," Larry releases an exclusive Las Vegas Insider (rated between 8 and 10*s).
Oddsmaker's Error Plays: Larry uses this term with "great respect" (and not very often), as he counts among his very closest friends many of Las Vegas' most famous and respected Sport Book directors (past and present). However, when Larry feels "the line is significantly off," he'll release one of these "not to be missed" plays (rated between 8 and 10*s).
Weekly and Weekend Wipeout Winners: Larry added this self-explanatory moniker just a few years ago. They've become immensely popular and why not? Who wouldn't want a game that has "blowout written all over it," supported by Larry's expert analysis (rated between 8 and 10*s).
Late-Breaking Plays: Larry will always go back and take a "second look" at each day's card, after posting all his games. When he finds something he missed the first time around, he'll release a Late-Breaking Play. These plays are more prevalent in sports like baseball and basketball than football (typically rated at 8 or 9*s).
Superstar Triple Play: Over the years, many of Larry's regular clients have clamored for more three-game reports. You asked for it and Larry's responded. Back in the late 1980s and into the mid 1990s, 900-numbers became "the rage." While a panel member of Proline (see above), Larry created the Superstar Triple Play. One call got you three Superstar Triple Plays (in a particular sport). For almost a decade, anywhere from 1,500 to 3,500 callers responded each weekend, when Larry offered his famous "Superstar Triple Play" pitch on Proline. Starting in 2009, Larry began going "Back to the Future!" Almost every Saturday (college) and Sunday (NFL) this football season, get three plays on a single report from Larry (many will be TV games), the originator of the "Superstar Triple Play!"
Release Times: Larry likes to release his picks early so that clients have as much time as possible to shop around. NFL and College Football plays are posted very early in the week (sometimes almost up to a week in advance.) NBA, College hoops and NHL are all posted the day before the game goes off. And the same goes for MLB, with selections posted the night before the game. Sometimes life gets in the way and Ness won't release until the morning of the game, but for the majority of the year Larry likes to say: "The earlier the better!"
Sports and conferences he excels at handicapping: MLB is Larry's favorite sports to handicap, saying the money is in the statistics. He 'loves' the daily action and the long season. "If I had to pick one sport, I would chose baseball because you’re playing pitchers, streaks, teams that are hot and cold," Ness says. "I also love the NBA and NFL playoffs, the college bowl games plus the college basketball tourneys, which are seasons unto themselves."
Quote: "No one works any harder and my work-product speaks for itself," Ness says. "I have a no-nonsense style and my logic is easy to follow. Anyone buying my plays will know exactly what I was thinking when I made the selection. After 34 years, the Larry Ness brand is instantly recognizable and my analysis ranks with the best in the industry."