Im betting on a big time back and forth offensive battle here tonight with the total being eclipsed. Both these teams have played decent defence of late, but this will will morph out of control just because of the kind of energy that will be exerted here and the fact that after getting clobbered by Golden State 141-102 in an earlier meeting the Spurs will come out here with all guns blazing in ok coral revenge  style hoops . GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 OVER after game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 35% or less over the last 3 seasons which happened last time out vs Oklahoma City l, with the combined average score of those follow up games Clicking in at 236.7 ppg. The Warriors are also 9-0 L/9 OVER as a road favorite off a road win in which Stephen Curry attempted more three pointers than two pointers with a combined average of 244.8 ppg scored. 

Over is 9-3 in Spurs last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Play OVER 

 Cleveland Cavaliers know they have to do a much better job containing the Detroit Pistons' front court duo of Blake Griffin and Andre Drummond as they try to avoid being swept in the season series, and will be out looking to play a much better brand of defense, something they know Detroit is very capable of doing. This Im betting leads to a lower scoring game then the linesmakers expect. Note:DETROIT is 10-1 UNDER when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season with a combined average of 201.6 ppg. Casey is 10-0 UNDER  when playing 8 or more games in 14 days as the coach of DETROIT with a combined average of 204 ppg.

The Cavaliers are 1-12 L/13 as a home dog with rest when they are off two games in which their opponent scored 10+ more points than their respective averages with a combined average of 189 ppg.

DETROIT is 25-10 UNDER  in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 206.5 ppg. The Pistons are 2-20 on the UNDER L/22 as a road favorite with no rest off a win in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with a  combined average 176.1 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DETROIT) - after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, in March games are 80-43 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play UNDER 

Miami beat Charlotte at home Sunday, holding the Hornets to a season-low 75 points. Tonight however, on tired legs that kind of effort Im betting wont come close to happening, as the Thunder will bring out the big guns behind the 3rd ranked pace  in an effort not to play to the Heats preferred method of hoops which right now seems methodical ranking 25th in pace behind an offence that ranks 25th in offensive output.Note: Oklahoma City won the first meeting between the teams, 118-102, on Feb. 1 in Miami, and Im betting on a similar output here tonight. 

The Thunder are 12-1 OVER as a favorite off a loss as a favorite in which they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers with a combined average of 229.1 ppg scored. 

Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 vs. Western Conference.Over is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 vs. NBA Southeast.

Play on the OVER 

The Spurs have won 10 straight at home and are a season-best 12 games over .500 and are viable bets here as hosts in their current form, yes even against the defending Golden State Warriors.The Spurs and Warriors have split their two meetings this season, with both winning at home and Im betting the host side will hold serve again. SAN ANTONIO is 25-5 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent this season and s 21-3 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points this season and 21-3 revenging a road loss overall  and also 8-1 ATS  revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season. (GS beat SA at home on Jan 6 141-102 in merciless fashion and now pay back is at hand)

GOLDEN STATE is 9-25 ATS  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The Warriors are 0-13 ATS /1-12 SU L/13 when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls per game with the lone win coming by 1 point.The Warriors are 1-17-1 ATS /2-17 SU on the road with rest off a game as a dog in which their opponent shot under 40% from the field.

SAN ANTONIO is 13-4 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season. 

Play on the San Antonio spurs to cover 

The Portland Trail Blazers' starting lineup will  be missing a key cog Monday night when the Indiana Pacers come into Oregon.The Blazers will be without starting shooting guard CJ McCollum( knee injury) which will effect the flow of this game for the Blazers offensively. The guard averages 21.3 ppg .  This will in turn directly effect the total offensive output of this tilt vs a defensive minded eastern conference team in the Pacers. Note: INDIANA is 22-6 UNDER ( versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 206.4 ppg scored.INDIANA is 11-2 UNDER  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 197.7 ppg scored.

Under is 6-0 in Pacers last 6 overall.Under is 4-0 in Pacers last 4 road games.Under is 4-0 in Pacers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 4-0 in Pacers last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Pacers last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Pacers last 5 games following a straight up loss.Under is 21-6-1 in Pacers last 28 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 10-3 in Pacers last 13 vs. NBA Northwest.Under is 23-8 in Pacers last 31 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 22-8 in Pacers last 30 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 5-2 in Pacers last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 37-17 in Pacers last 54 games following a ATS win.Under is 64-30-1 in Pacers last 95 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 47-23 in Pacers last 70 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

The Trailblazers are 0-12 UNDER L/12 at home off a loss in which they had at least 15 more shots than their opponent with a combined average of 190.3 ppg scored

The Trailblazers are 4-21 UNDER L/25 as a home favorite off a loss in a road game in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers with a combined average of 189 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

These are two of the top teams in the NBA , and at this time of the season, play off bound sides like this like to play a top tier brand of defence, knowing that that will be key to any successes or failures they have in a quest for a championship ring. With that said, Im recommending a under wager in this spot.  

Under is 6-0 in Celtics last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Under is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 road games.Under is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 7-0 in Nuggets last 7 games following a straight up win.Under is 6-0 in Nuggets last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 12-1 in Nuggets last 13 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 10-1 in Nuggets last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 10-1 in Nuggets last 11 overall.Under is 10-1 in Nuggets last 11 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 9-1 in Nuggets last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 9-1 in Nuggets last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-1 in Nuggets last 7 games following a ATS loss.

The Nuggets are 0-11 UNDER L/11 after they scored more than 50 points in the paint with a combined average of 214.9 ppg scored.

DENVER is 21-10 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season with the combined average score clicking in at 219 ppg. 

The Celtics are 3-21 UNDER L/24 when the line is within 3 of pick off a win as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 6 refereed turnovers per game with a combined average of 186.8 ppg going on the board with only 1 of the 24 games eclipsing this total. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DENVER) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in March games are 62-25 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.  

Play UNDER 

As the post season gets closer Utah a team that ranks 20th in ppg on offence bases its successes and failures on their ability to play top tier defence which is  what they currently doing  as they enter this tilt ranking 3rd in defensive efficiency in the NBA.  The Jazz have been particularly stingy of late as they have not allowed any of their L/4 opponents to breach the 100 point plateau with all 4 games remaining on the low side of the total. Meanwhile, Washington loves to run and gun, but if anyone can stall the Wizards it will be the Jazz, and thats what Im betting on here tonight in a tilt I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. 

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Washington.Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.

Under is 6-0 in Jazz last 6 Monday games.Under is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Under is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Jazz last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Jazz last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 9-2 in Jazz last 11 vs. NBA Southeast.Under is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 12-4 in Jazz last 16 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 6-2 in Jazz last 8 games following a straight up win.

Under is 13-3 in Wizards last 16 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 games following a ATS win.Under is 4-0 in Wizards last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.

The Wizards are 2-16 UNDER L/18 as a dog off a win in which their points increased by at least 25 from the game before with a .combined average score of 188.8 ppg scored.

The Jazz are 1-13 UNDER L/14 as a favorite with rest after playing as a home favorite facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 209.9 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

The Bulls defeated Phoenix 124-116 on Nov. 21 as hosts. LaVine scored 29 points for Chicago and according to my power rankings matches up very  well vs the Suns. The Suns are 0-12-1 ATS (/0-13 SU off a win as a road dog when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road. NBA favorites (PHOENIX) - in non-conference games, off an upset win as a road underdog are 73-121 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. ( Suns beat Pelicans in OT last time out on the road)

PHOENIX is 1-8 ATS  in home games after playing 2 consecutive road games this season.

CHICAGO is 21-8 ATS  in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 

This is Chicagos fourth game in week and their on tired legs , while, this is the Suns 3rd game in 4 nights, with their last game going into OT on the road. Fatigue here at this juncture of the season, as well as past trends in matchups like this give us value with a under wager. 

The Suns are 0-8 OU L/9 at home off a game as a dog in which they had overtime with a combined average of 202.7 ppg scored and  is 8-0 UNDER  versus struggling  teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 216.6 ppg scored.

CHICAGO is 23-12 UNDER  versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 211 ppg going on the board.The Bulls are 6-26 UNDER L/32 when the line is within 3 of pick off a road game in which their opponent shot over 50% from the field with a combined average of 189.1 ppg scored.

NBA team (PHOENIX) - off a road win by 3 points or less, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 94-53 UNDER L/64% L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CHICAGO) - after 3 or more consecutive losses, in March games and are 105-52 UNDER  L/22 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER