Hyun-Jin Ryu 10-2, 1.78 ERA, 105 SOthe Dodgers starter tonight has bounced back nicely from his rocky June 28 outing at Coors Field, allowing just two earned runs over 13 innings in his last two starts (1.38 ERA). Aside from allowing seven runs to the Rockies, Ryu has allowed two earned runs or fewer in each of his 17 other starts. . The Marlins will counter with right-hander Zac Gallen (0-1, 4.24), who will be making his fifth career start. The rookie has never faced the Dodgers and is coming off an outing Saturday against the New York Mets when he gave up two runs on four hits over five innings in a no-decision and capable of slowing this Dodgers offence that is not acquainted with his decent stuff. 

Under is 8-3-1 in Marlins last 12 overall.Under is 8-3-1 in Marlins last 12 on grass.Under is 5-2-1 in Marlins last 8 during game 1 of a series.Under is 5-0-1 in Marlins last 6 road games.Under is 5-0-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Under is 7-3-1 in Dodgers last 11 Friday games.Under is 4-0 in Ryus last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-1 in Ryus last 5 home starts.Under is 16-5-2 in Ryus last 23 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 21-8-3 in Ryus last 32 starts with 4 days of rest.Under is 5-2 in Ryus last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.

Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 home games.Under is 5-0-1 in Dodgers last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

LA DODGERS are 9-1 UNDER in home games vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse this season with a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored.

MIAMI is 22-8 UNDER  in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored. 

Play UNDER

Rays starter Brendan McKay 1-0, 1.69 ERA, 13 SO in his  fourth career start comes after a seven-strikeout performance against Baltimore on July 13. In two of his three starts, he held the opposing lineup scoreless. Meanwhile, Pale Hose starter Lopez is 0-2 with a 9.58 ERA in two career starts against the Rays, with four home runs allowed in 10 1/3 innings.

Also after being swept by the Yankees in a double header yesterday to team will have a sense of urgency here and come out and play hard for us im betting vs a White Sox team on an ugly 7 game losing streak. 

MLB  favorites with a money line of -200 or more (TAMPA BAY) - excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season, after scoring 1 run or less are 465-3 L/5 seasons with the average run differential clicking in at 3.4 rpg which qualifies under my perimeters for a value run line selection in this spot play. 

Play on TB Rays on the RL -1.5

The recency of Winnipeg going 4-0 SU/ATS to start their season give us value on what Im betting is a bloated line. I know the Red Black have struggled in their L/2 games , one of which came at home to Winnipeg by a 29-14 count,, but now this hard nosed Rick Campbell coached team with revenge on board must not be underestimated in their ability to cash . With that said look for Ottawa to be hard to handle this this week , just like was the case when they walked into Calgary in week 1 of this season vs the defending Grey Cup champs and won SU as underdogs. 

Campbell is 15-3 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 7.2 or more yards/play as the coach of OTTAWA. 

OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS in road games after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons.OTTAWA is 11-2 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 7.2 or more yards/play over the last 3 seasons.

Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (OTTAWA) - off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite, in the first half of the season are 25-4 ATS L/22 seasons. (Which was the case vs a Montreal team they overlooked last week)

Play on the Ottawa RedBlack to cover

The Aces are slight dogs here, but this team is an explosive group that already beat Storm at home 60-56 back on June 25th. Now well rested and off since Saturday I expect this young but powerful Aces group to battle hard and be fresh enough to come out on top. 

Aces are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

WNBA team (SEATTLE) - a good offensive team (72-76 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (76 or PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games and  19-45 ATS for 70% go against conversion rate over the  L/22 seasons. 

Play on the Las Vegas Aces to cover 

The No.1 ranked D of the Seattle Storm, in the WNBA and 8th ranked pace, and 9th ranked offence take on the No.1 pace , and No 2 offense in the league of the Las Vegas Aces. When these teams played back on June 25 in Nevada the final score clicked in a 60-56 and was very physical. While these teams may not have the small of output this time , Im still expecting a tight game that does not exceed this total.

Under is 9-2 in Storm last 11 Friday games.Under is 13-3-2 in Storm last 18 games following a straight up win.Under is 16-4-1 in Storm last 21 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 8-2-1 in Storm last 11 games following a ATS win.Under is 19-9-2 in Storm last 30 overall.

Under is 4-0 in Aces last 4 games following a ATS win.Under is 5-2 in Aces last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Under is 5-2 in Aces last 7 road games.

Play UNDER

Efficiency on offence and a little luck have seen Winnipeg go 4-0 SU/ATS so far this season. However it must be noted  that QB Matt Nichols despite of  leading the CFL with 10 passing touchdowns and only one interception, still only has 855 passing yards  and attempted only 98 passes in four games. So unloading here vs a decent RedBlack secondary wont come that easily. Meanwhile, Ottawa is currently struggling mightily , and are 0-2 L/2 as their offense has become stagnant, not scoring a offensive TD in those tilts with QB Davis under center. Even though they  expect to replace injured QB Davis with Jennings the offensive line has shown weakness and Im doubting their attack will suddenly become more efficient. 

My power rankings suggest both teams strengths are based on solid defences and a hard nosed blue collar mind set . This will Im betting be on full display this week in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total.

WINNIPEG is 16-4 UNDER  in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread since 1996 with a combined average 45.4 ppg scored.WINNIPEG is 6-0 UNDER  off a home win by 17 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 43.8 ppg going on the board.

OTTAWA is 13-3 UNDER after allowing 450 or more total yards/game in their last 3 games since 1996 with a combined average of 47.7 ppg going on the board.

Under is 9-2 in RedBlacks last 11 games in July.Under is 13-6 in RedBlacks last 19 road games.Under is 21-10 in RedBlacks last 31 games following a ATS loss.

CFL Home teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (WINNIPEG) - after a game where they forced 4 or more turnovers against opponent after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers are 43-16 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

CFL Road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (OTTAWA) - after 2 consecutive games where they committed 3 or more turnoversUnder is 4-1 in Blue Bombers last 5 home games are 64-29 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Wainwright  the Cards starter tonight against the Reds despite of pitching well of late   has struggled mightily in eight road starts, garnering a  1-5 record along with a highly bloated  6.20 ERA and according to my batting order vs pitching power rankings does not matchup well vs the Reds.  Meanwhile,Tyler Mahle the Red Starter (2-10, 4.82 ERA, 101 SO)  took the loss in his last start as he allowed a season-high-tying six earned runs against the Rockies in 4 1/3 innings of work . He did not look right in that game, and Im betting that effort extends into this tilt. In his L/7 starts he is 0-5 with a 5.80 ERA. 

WAINWRIGHT is 16-4 OVER vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) 

Over is 16-7-1 in Wainwrights last 24 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 5-2-1 in Cardinals last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Over is 4-1 in Wainwrights last 5 starts vs. Reds.

MAHLE is 9-1 OVER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 14.1 rpg scored.

Play OVER