New Mexico +11.5

The Aggies (10-3, 7-1 CUSA, 11-2 ATS, 5-2 AWAY) are coming in hot with 8 consecutive wins, facing off against the #22 Flames (12-0, 8-0 CUSA, 8-4 ATS, 7-0 HOME), who have had an even better season (undefeated) in the 2023 Conference USA Championship on Friday at Williams Stadium in Lynchburg, VA. The game kicks off at 7pm ET and can be watched on CBS Sports. Weather looks to be a non-factor (mid 50's 25% chance of rain, less than 5mph winds in the forecast). This is a Liberty home game (in case you were wondering with a lot of the other games this week being neutral site) When it comes to the Moneyline (ML), New Mexico State stands at +320, while Liberty holds -425. Unless you're betting on NMSU I'd strongly avoid the ML in this one. Looking at the ATS odds, Liberty is favored at -11.5 (-110), and the total (O/U) is set at 56.5. Both teams have a ton to play for. Liberty is playing to get into the Group of 5 upper rankings of bowl teams. NMSU wants a conference title. Liberty's undefeated record makes them a solid 2-score favorite, I get that, I even respect it, a little bit, but they're only 4-4 ATS in their last 8 games. Have there been better teams ATS this season than NMSU? If you backed the Aggies this year, you did quite well, as they boast a 9-0-1 ATS record in their last 10 games, including three consecutive underdog covers, and yes, outright wins. If you're a fan, you had to love that impressive 31-10 victory over Auburn, hey? For this bet to pay off, we need New Mexico State to stay competitive and believe they can go toe-to-toe with Liberty for the full 60 minutes. They have to flip the field this time, and chip into that "TOP" that Liberty owned in the last game. The last time these two teams met, Liberty secured a 33-17 win and covered a -9.5 spread on September 9th. NMSU is 9-1 since that game. Jerry Kill's kids are having a hell of a year, and with this being their first conference title game you know the entire state is going to watching this game. It's massive in New Mexico. So, it's an intriguing matchup for all the football enthusiasts out there. Trends, New Mex are 10-0 ATS L10, 8-0 SU L8, 6-0 ATS L6 on the road, 4-1 ATS L5 in December, NMSU are also 5-1 SU L6 playing as a dog. I'm banking on NMSU going all in on this matchup. I'm all in on them. They'll cover the +11.5. Hop on. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Friday 8* NCAAF ATS Play

Magic -11

After last night's 0-2 showing in the NBA, two bad beats I might say, I'm looking at this game tonight, and hoping it's not one of those "Crazy Association Games." The Washington Wizards (3-15, 8-10 ATS, 2-9 AWAY) taking on the Orlando Magic (13-5, 15-3 ATS, 8-1 HOME) tonight. Tip-off is at 7pm ET from the AMWAY Center in Orlando, FL. Magic are -11pt favorites, the O/U is set at 238. ML bettors can get -525 on ORL, and +420 on WASH. (But why?) Magic own a 3-0 record L3 (also 3-0 ATS) vs. the Wizards. Averaging 125PPG to WASH's 113PPG in those 3. When one team keeps doing something over and over again it tells me I should bet on it. Case in point. Tonight I'm on the Magic -11. They're after a consecutive wins team record tonight. They last won 9 straight in 2010/11. Two days ago Orlando whooped the Wizards 139-120, so we have some recent matchup data to work off of, and work off it we will. Wizards have LOST 10/11. Sure Fultz and Carter Jr. are still OUT tonight, but look at the guys stepping up and playing productive minutes. Suggs, & Anthony combined with what Wagner and Banchero is doing is almost unfair. I'm 80% sure Banchero (Ankle) plays tonight, but I'm of the opinion they don't need him to get this cover tonight. Stats. Magic scoring 118PPG at home, Wiz allowing 122PPG on the road. (OUCH). Magic better on the boards, plus they grab 2-3 more steals per game than WAS. The Magic are the 3rd best defensive team in the NBA. Trends. Wizards 3-15 SU this year, allowing 125+ points in 6 of the L8 games. Where's the defense here? They're 1-10 in their L11. 5-10 ATS L15 vs. Magic, and 2-15 SU on the road L17. Magic 15-3 ATS L16 games. They just keep covering. #1 in the Association come to think of it. They're also 8-0 SU L8. 7-0 ATS L7 at home, and 7-0 ATS L7 vs. Eastern Conference teams. Rollins is OUT tonight for the Wizards. No backdoor cover tonight! I'm on Orlando all the way! YOU know what to do. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Friday 9* NBA ATS Play

UW +9.5

2023 Pac 12 Championship Game. Ducks are -9.5pt favorites, the O/U is set at 66.5. ML bettors can get UW +275, and UO at -353. Is this the last time we see this game? Who knows...but I'm going to enjoy this one as the (11-1, 8-2-1 ATS) Oregon Ducks take on the (12-0, 5-6-1 ATS) Washington Huskies on Friday night from Las Vegas. Series History: In Seattle, Huskies are 33-23 with 4 ties. In games played in Eugene, Ducks are 18-14. Recently, the Ducks have been dominant, winning 20 out of 28. In the most recent head-to-head matchup between the teams, Washington picked up the 37-34 win (last year). Earlier this year Oregon suffered their only Pac-12 loss in dramatic fashion as UW scored a go-ahead TD with just over a minute left to win at Husky Stadium, 36-33. The Ducks had a big win last week, beating the Oregon State Beavers with a score of 31-7 in the CIVIL WAR. Meanwhile, the Huskies are coming off a solid victory in the APPLE CUP, where they defeated the Washington State Cougars 24-21. Get ready for an epic showdown as the two leading Heisman hopefuls face off once more! Check out these stats: Penix has racked up 3,899 passing yards, averaging 324.9 yards per game with a completion rate of 65.4%. He's thrown 32 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. On the other side, Nix boasts 3,906 passing yards, averaging 325.5 yards per game, with an impressive 78.6% completion rate. He's thrown an incredible 37 touchdowns and just 2 interceptions. Plus, Nix has added 159 rushing yards and 6 rushing touchdowns to his name, carrying the ball 47 times. You know I'm locking in UW here. You're going to give me 9.5 points in a Championship game with a Heisman Trophy candidate leading the offense vs. a team they already beat 1x this year? I'm taking it. UO could win this straight up, but it's going to be close. There's nothing fishy in Seattle here with the spread, Vegas is trying to screw with you. Don't overthink this. Back the DAWGS! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Friday 7* CFB ATS Play

UNDER 66

2023 Pac 12 Championship Game. Ducks are -9.5pt favorites, the O/U is set at 66.5. (11-1, 8-2-1 ATS) Oregon take on the (12-0, 5-6-1 ATS) Washington on Friday night from Las Vegas. Recently, the Ducks have been dominant, winning 20 out of 28. In the most recent head-to-head matchup between the teams, Washington picked up the 37-34 win (last year). Earlier this year Oregon suffered their only Pac-12 loss in dramatic fashion as UW scored a go-ahead TD with just over a minute left to win at Husky Stadium, 36-33. The Ducks had a big win last week, beating the Oregon St. 31-7. The Huskies are coming off an APPLE CUP win, where they defeated WSU 24-21. All we need for the UNDER to hit is 1 of these top offenses needs to be held in check. I don't think we see the same type of shootout game as we saw last time they matched up. Sure 2 STUD QB's are lining up in this one, but the defenses can play too, and there's a lot of pride in these locker-rooms. Dawgs have taken the Ducks down twice in the last two years, so perhaps they have a recipe for success in the Pac 12 too? So many variables and factors in this one. This is a MASSIVE game, and DEFENSE wins championships. Trends, Oregon's totals have gone UNDER in 4 of L5 in December. UW's totals have gone UNDER in 4 of L6 vs. Oregon, plus the UNDER has hit in 7 of UW's L9 when playing as a DOG. Don't overthink it! Hop on. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Friday 5* FREE O/U Play

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UNDER 148

What a matchup in this edition of the Big East / Big 12 Battle. The defending National Champs in Lawrence, KS to take on the Jayhawks. Does it get any better on a Friday night if you're a College Hoops fan? The #4 UConn Huskies (7-0, 4-3 ATS) vs. the #5 Kansas Jayhawks (6-1, 3-4 ATS). Tip off is at 9pm ET on ESPN. With some nice wins under their belt already early in the season (Longhorns, Hoosiers) UConn seems to be in mid-season form already. These guys can shoot from anywhere, and they're beasts on the boards. KU only has the one real blemish on their season so far. It came in Hawaii so I'll forgive the kids. They are in Kansas. They're out of their element being in Hawaii, bikini's, beaches, they're kids. I'll let it go! LOL Marquette got the better of them. Contrasting styles in this one too, as KU is all about run-n-gun, while UConn slows it down. I love UConn's pace of play, it suits them to a tee, and it will serve us well as we play this UNDER on Friday night. Lots of slow possessions, and build up play, lots of passes, and then a high % shot. That's the UConn way. Stats: UCONN PPG 12th 88.7, KU 67th 81.3, PTS ALL (DEF) UCONN 60.6 16th, KU 64.7 67th in the Nation. KU is the best shooting team in the Nation at 53%, UConn 13th 51%, both grab a TON of steals (7pg each) and both are TOP 60 in the Nation on the glass. My model has the total a full 8-10 points under where Vegas puts this line. Trends, the UNDER has hit in 4 of the L5 KU games, UNDER is 6-1 in KU's L7 following an ATS loss, UNDER is 10-2 in KU's L12 following a SU win. On the other side the UNDER is 4-1 in UCONN's last 5 road games, and is 4-1 L5 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Back the UNDER on Friday night. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Friday 9* NCAAB O/U Play

Boise State +3.5 

I've got a last-minute addition for you. After some number-crunching and waiting for team updates, let's talk about Saint Mary’s (3-4, 2-4 ATS) going up against Boise State (3-3, 1-5 ATS) this Friday at 10:30 PM ET. A neutral court game at the Mountain America Center in Idaho Falls, ID.  You can catch the game on Fox Sports. Saint Mary’s is the favorite by 3.5 points, and the initial game total (O/U) is set at 130. These two haven't met since 12/6/14 a BSU 82-71 win over SMC. For those of you who like to bet on college basketball, this matchup will be one worth staying up for. We’re backing Boise here, with the points. The Broncos take on a Gaels team that has already dropped 4 games this season. This side has taken a step back to start the season as they’ve struggled on both ends of the floor. The latest was a 78-71 loss to Utah in a game where they just seemed to have no rhythm. The Gaels have only scored 71 points per game, which isn’t going to win many games against the competition they’ve dealt with. Boise is a physical team and they are giving up just 68 points a game. This is the kind of matchup that favors them given the defensive side. It’ll be a slow tempo and one where they don’t allow any sort of rhythm for this Gaels offense. Trends, Gaels are 1-4 ATS in their L5 neutral site games, plus they're 1-4 ATS in their L5 games, and they're 1-4 SU too. The Broncos are 15-2 SU in their L17 vs. WCC teams, and they're 18-2 SU in their L20 in December. Back the Broncos tonight in Idaho. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Friday 8* NCAAB ATS Play