kyle hunter Sports Handicapper

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Yesterday's Plays

Match Up	Pick	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Analysis
Heat vs Celtics	210½ -110	Premium Pick	103-104	Win	100	Show
3 Star Play Under The Boston Celtics have gotten back in this series with their defense. Boston has turned up the pressure defensively. Miami is an above average defensive team, and for the majority of the season they were a below average offense. In Game 5, the game finished at just 207 points despite the two teams shooting the ball well. In fact, they averaged 1.25 and 1.115 points per possession in that game. The pace was just 87.5 possessions in that game. That was the slowest paced game in the series. In the NBA playoffs, as the games get bigger the pace generally slows down. The stakes are massive for this game. Boston is in a win or go home spot, and yet you could argue the pressure has shifted back onto Miami. They don't want any part of this series getting evened up at 3 and going back to Boston. No NBA team has blown a 3-0 series lead. They certainly don't want to be the first. This total has been adjusted down a bit, but I don't think it is enough. This should play out like a game where both teams feel their backs are up against the wall in a must win spot. Malcolm Brogdon is banged up for the Celtics and Gabe Vincent is injured for the Heat too. Those guys had been key offensive contributors down the stretch. Take the under.

Match Up

Pick

Rating

Score

Result

Profit

Analysis

Heat vs Celtics

210½ -110

Premium Pick

103-104

Win

100

Show