Astros vs Mariners
Astros +105 at Ace
FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR MONDAY, 9/25:
My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Monday is with the Houston Astros with the money-line versus the Seattle Mariners listing both starting pitchers Justin Verlander and Luis Castillo. Houston (85-71) has lost three in a row and five of their last six contests after their 6-5 loss at home to Kansas City on Sunday. The Astros have won 13 of their last 20 games after losing five or six of their last seven games. They have also pulled off upsets in 23 of their last 34 games when priced as a money-line underdog up to +150. Seattle (84-71) has lost three games in a row after their 9-6 loss at Texas on Sunday. The Mariners have lost 14 of their 22 games this month. They have also lost 10 of their last 14 home games with the Total set at 7 or lower. Take Houston with the money-line listing both starting pitchers. Best of luck — Frank.
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Padres vs Giants
Padres -115 at YouWager
Jack’s Free Pick Monday: San Diego Padres -115
The San Diego Padres are playing their best baseball of the season right now to hold onto slim playoff hopes. They are 9-1 in their last 10 games overall. They take on a San Francisco Giants team that has pretty much quit playing for past two weeks. The Giants are 2-8 in their last 10 games overall.
NL Cy Young favorite Blake Snell goes for the Padres tonight. Snell is 14-9 with a 2.33 ERA and 1.195 WHIP in 31 starts this season with a whopping 227 K’s in 174 innings. Snell has pitched 13 shutout innings while allowing only 2 base runners in his last two starts.
Snell owns the Giants, going 5-1 with a 1.83 ERA and 1.150 WHIP in eight career starts against them. He has pitched 18 shutout innings with 27 K’s in his last three starts against San Francisco. The Giants have been held to 2 runs or fewer in four of their last five games overall.
The Giants are 0-7 in Logan Webb’s seven home starts with a total of 7 to 7.5 runs this season. The Padres are 10-1 in Snell’s last 11 starts. Bet the Padres Monday.
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Rams vs Bengals
UNDER 44 -110
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UNDER 44 LA Rams/Cincinnati
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Astros vs Mariners
Mariners -123 at YouWager
7* MLB Astros/Mariners Free Pick
PLAY ON SEATTLE MARINERS -123
I’ll take my chances with the Mariners as a short -123 home favorite against the Astros. This is a massive series, as these two teams are fighting each other for the final Wild Card spot. I feel like you have to give the edge to Seattle in the series opener. Mariners will have Luis Castillo on the mound. he’s 8-3 with a 2.62 ERA and 0.903 WHIP in 16 home starts. He comes into this outing in great form with a 1.89 ERA in his last 3 starts. Veteran Justin Verlander will get the rock for Houston. He’s been rock solid, but owns a very average 3.71 ERA and 1.302 WHIP in 11 road starts. Mariners have also owned Houston, winning 8 of 10 in the season series. Give me the Mariners -123!
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Padres vs Giants
Giants +1½ -175 at YouWager
Snell has been sensational. The same can be said for Webb recently. All season, at home, for that matter. He’s got a 2.63 ERA in 15 starts here. His last time here resulted in a 9-1 win. Webb threw six scoreless innings. SD is still only 6-9 when Snell starts on the road. In what will likely be a low-scoring game, getting an extra +1.5 runs is the way I want to go.
Eagles vs Bucs
OVER 45 -110
1* Free Wiseguy Play on Eagles/Bucs over
*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*
Astros vs Mariners
Mariners -122 at YouWager
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Seattle Mariners -122
The Houston Astros are falling flat on their faces here down the stretch. They are 3-9 in their last 12 games overall with seven of those losses coming to the Royals and A’s, the two worst teams in the American League. Justin Verlander has given up 8 earned runs in 13 innings in his last two starts for the Astros. Luis Castillo has given up just 4 earned runs in 19 innings for a 1.89 ERA in his last three starts for the Mariners. Castillo is 8-3 with a 2.62 ERA and 0.90 WHIP in 16 home starts this season. Castillo beat the Astros 10-1 in his last start against them while not allowing a single earned run in his 7 innings. Verlander gave up 6 earned runes in 4 innings in his last start against Seattle. Give me the Mariners.
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HOU vs SEA
UNDER 7½ -120
Monday night NFL TOTAL of the Month and a BIG MLB September specific Sysem side headlines. MLB Comp total below
The MLB Comp play is on the Under tonight in the Houston at Seattle game. Verlander and Castillo hook up in this game that figures to see little runs scored. Verlander has a 2.52 Era over his last 3 starts and Castillo has a 2.52 home Era and a 1.89 over his last 3 starts. Houston has been struggling and were swept at home over the weekend by Kansas City. Seattle was swept in Texas as well. Look for a lower scoring game here. Play on the Under.. Rob V-
TEX vs LAA
OVER 9 -109
Probable Pitchers: TEX – J. Gray-R (8-8) vs LAA – P. Sandoval-L (7-13)
9:38 PM ET. The Angels are +156 underdogs against the favored Rangers (-185). Texas leads on the run line (-1.5 with -116 odds). The total (over/under) is set at 9.
We’re on the over here between the Rangers and Angels. Texas continues to fight for the playoff position and these are games they must win. They’re going to feast off this Angels pitching.
They take on Sandoval, who owns an ERA over 4 and doesn’t work late into games. That means he’ll turn it over early to a bad bullpen that this Rangers offense can make work. Gray counters after lasting just 2.1 innings last time out against Boston.
The Rangers rely on offense, aiming to outscore opponents due to their weak bullpen. In their last three games against the Mariners, they scored 19 runs, despite facing one of the best pitching rotations and pens in the Majors.
Some trends to note, the total has gone OVER in 16 of Texas’ last 20 games, plus the OVER has hit in 7 of Texas’ last 8 games on the road. On the other side, the total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Angels’ last 9 games against Texas, and in 4 of LA Angels’ last 5 games. All in all, in the past 10 games, the Rangers and their rivals exceeded the set total, hitting over 7/10.
Back the OVER in this one tonight. Both the Angels and the Rangers should rack up runs.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
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Rangers vs Angels
Rangers -187 at Ace
1* FREE PLAY Rangers.
We feel that Texas is worthy of a second look in this matchup, despite the higher price. Jon Gray (8-8, 4.22 ERA) gets the call for the visitors, while Patrick Sandoval (7-13, 4.19) counters for the home side. The bottom line here is that the Rangers hold their own playoff destiny in their hands, as their magic number is now five with a 2.5 game lead on the Astros, and three on the Mariners. Gray is also 2-1 with a 3.42 ERA in four career starts vs. LA; consider Texas on Monday night!