Panthers vs Lions
Panthers -3½ -110 at pinnacle
Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Carolina Panthers -3.5
The Carolina Panthers will be highly motivated for a victory Sunday against the Detroit Lions. They were embarrassed on National TV on Thursday last week in a 21-52 road loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers, who are playing as well as any team in the NFL right now. They’ll be looking to show the kind of team they really are this week as that effort was an aberration based on the way the Panthers had played up to that point previously.
The Panthers are still 6-3 on the season and right in the thick of the playoff race. They have everything to play for the rest of the way, and I also like the fact that they have extra time to prepare for the Lions this week. That’s because they did play last Thursday, giving them three more days off than the Lions. That’s a hidden advantage here that I don’t think is being factored into the line.
I went 4-1 in the NFL last week, but my lone loss was on the Lions +7 over the Bears. I thought they would play with a sense of urgency in a must-win game, but they did not, and they were terrible the entire game. They were thoroughly outplayed by the Bears. Now, at 3-6 on the season and three games behind the Bears in the NFC North, I could see the Lions pack it in. They realize they have nothing to play for the rest of the way.
I should have seen it coming with the trade of Golden Tate to the Eagles. Tate was Matthew Stafford’s security blanket, and without him he has looked lost. The Lions have lost three in a row by 14 at home to the Seahawks, by 15 at the Vikings and by 12 at the Bears. If that’s not the sign of a team struggling, then I don’t know what is.
Tate was so important to Stafford because he could get the ball out quickly to him. That helped mask the woeful offensive line in Detroit that simply hasn’t given Stafford any time to throw this season, especially in recent weeks. As a result, this Detroit offense has been held to just 15.0 points per game the last three weeks. It won’t get any easier against a very good Carolina defense this week.
The Panthers look as good as they have offensively maybe ever this season, averaging 26.8 points per game. And their defense is holding opponents to 17 yards per game below their season averages despite facing a brutal schedule of opposing offenses. This Detroit offense will be one of the worst units the Panthers have faced all season, and they should have their way with them.
Christian McCaffrey should have a huge game rushing against a Detroit defense that ranks 28th against the run, giving up 132.7 rushing yards per game and 4.9 per carry. The Lions also rank 31st in passing yards per attempt (8.9) allowed this season. Even Mitchell Trubisky torched them for 348 yards last week through the air. They were without their top corner in Darius Slay in that game, and he could miss this game as well with a knee injury.
Detroit is 2-15 ATS in its last 17 games vs. a team that commits one or fewer turnovers per game in the second half of the season. Ron Rivera is 9-1 ATS off a blowout road loss by 14 points or more as the coach of Carolina. Rivera is 12-2 ATS after allowing 25 or more points in two consecutive games as the coach of the Panthers. Look for an inspired, bounce-back effort from Carolina this week. Bet the Panthers Sunday.
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Utah State vs Colorado State
Utah State -27 -109 at GTBets
Utah State is a merciless offensive juggernaut averaging 51 ppg in offensive production this season while allowing an average of 22.7 ppg. They are being asked to lay almost 4 TDS in this MWC road game vs the Colorado State Rams, but because of their lack of respect for opposing teams and their refusal to take their proverbial foot off the gas, Im betting they are a viable wager here to cover vs a side that allows an average of more than 38 ppg.
HC Wells last 6 games as a 21.5 to 31 point favorite have seen his team average 53.5 ppg while allowing just 18.2 ppg, with the point differential coming in at 35.3 ppg for a perfect 6-0 ATS record.
CFB Favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (UTAH ST) – good rushing team – averaging 200 or more rushing yards/game, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games are 32-8 ATS L/10 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.
Play on Utah State to cover
Broncos vs Chargers
UNDER 47 -115
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Broncos/Chargers UNDER 47
I like this UNDER in this division rivalry between the Broncos and Chargers Sunday. The Chargers have gotten healthier on defense in recent weeks and it’s starting to show with their play on the field. They have allowed 19 points or fewer in five consecutive games and an average of just 13.2 PPG in those five contests. They should hold the Broncos in check. This is a Denver offense that has scored 23 points or fewer in seven of their last eight games overall. They just aren’t very good on that side of the ball this season. But their defense is still very strong, and they should be able to slow down Philip Rivers and this Los Angeles offense. The Broncos and Chargers have combined for 47 or fewer points in seven consecutive meetings. With a total of 47 Sunday, this is an easy choice. Give me the UNDER.
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Michigan State vs Nebraska
Nebraska +2½ -109 at GTBets
Dave’s Saturday Free Play:
1* on Nebraska +2.5
The Key: It has been a tale of two seasons for the Nebraska Cornhuskers. They were expected to struggle early in Scott Frost’s first season, and they did. But they have rebounded nicely here of late by going 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. They covered the spread in road losses to Wisconsin, Northwestern and Ohio State, the latter two of which they had a great chance to win outright, losing in OT to Northwestern and only by 5 at Ohio State. And they beat Minnesota 53-28 at home and Illinois 54-35 at home. Their offense has been unstoppable behind Adrian Martinez. I’m not sure how Michigan State can keep up. The Spartans have been held to 24 or fewer points in each of their last 6 games. They are coming off a huge 6-26 loss to Ohio State, and won’t be nearly as hungry to face Nebraska this week. The Spartans are scoring just 19.3 PPG in conference play. The Huskers are 8-1 ATS off a home win over the last 3 seasons. The Huskers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings with Michigan State. Take Nebraska.
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Steelers vs Jaguars
UNDER 48 -110
KEY TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Steelers are 0-19 OU (-9.86 ppg) on the road facing an opponent that is averaging at least 35 passes per game and they are not a four-plus point underdog.
Indiana vs Michigan
Indiana +28 -115 at sportsbook
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #319 Indiana Hoosiers over Michigan Wolverines (4p.m., Saturday, November 17 FS1) We will take the points in this game as it is a classic situation where Michigan will be looking ahead to Ohio State the following week. Expect them to just go through the motions similar to what they did last week against Rutgers. Indiana needs to win one of their last two games to become bowl eligible and it will not happen this week but expect a good effort for preparing them for their season finale against Purdue the following Saturday. Michigan is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a game in which they scored more than 40 points the previous week. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend football card featuring top plays on Saturday and Sunday. This is going to be a monster weekend so sign-up now and let 47 years of handicapping experience work for you.
Syracuse vs Notre Dame
Syracuse +9 -108 at pinnacle
This is a Free #NCAAF play on the Syracuse Orange. The Notre Dame Irish have been cruising through a rather average schedule, and they are currently ranked #3 overall with their sights set on the College Football Playoffs. Standing in their way are the #13 ranked Syracuse Orange, who have lost two games by an average margin of 5.5 points. Their loss to Clemson by a score of 27-23 is more impressive than most of Notre Dame’s wins. This a team that has already proved it can hang with the big boys, last year they handed Clemson it’s only regular season loss. Senior quarterback Eric Dungey has been lighting it up with his arm and his legs. He’s got a dozen rushing TDs and 690 rushing yards so far this season. The Orange have covered the spread in five straight non conference games, and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 against teams with a winning record. I’ll take the points with Syracuse. Take CUSE. GL,
Titans vs Colts
OVER 48 -120
DMack’s Free Play for Sunday November 18, 2018 is on the Titans/Colts Over
The Titans evidently got hings figured out on their bye week, scoring 28 and 34 points in wins over the Cowboys and Patriots. They won’t face anywhere near that resistance here against a Colt outfit that has won their last three games in shootouts against teams with a combined record of 7-21. Disregard prior history here look at the moment. The Colts are on a 5-1 run tho the over and Luck is playing very well throwing the play. Can’t see Mariota and Co. generating anything less than 30 here with the Colts answering back. 34-30 whoever.
Raiders vs Cardinals
Raiders +4½ -109 at GTBets
Jeff Allen’s Free NFL Play for Sunday is on the Oakland Raiders
Both team play hard but from a talent standpoint, neither team matches up well and both are in tank mode. John Gruden needs a win, any kind of a win to get the pressure off for a couple weeks. He faces a Cardinal team that is 1-4 at home with an 18-15 win in their last against a 49er team that is also bad. Both teams have their moments and this one gets decided by a kick in the final minute. Take the points.
Spurs vs Clippers
Clippers -5½ -105 at pinnacle
Thursday card has a Rare 6* College football top play and the NFL NFC Total of the Month from a 100% System. We also have a Pair of NCAAB Plays backed with our Exclusive RPI Scale system. NBA Comp play below.
The NBA Comp play is on the LA. Clippers at 10:00 eastern on TNT. The Clips have covered the last 6 at home including a big win over the Warriors last out. LA has covered in 4 of 5 after allowing 115 or more and the home team is 7-3 ats in this series. The Spurs have lost and failed to cover both times vs winning teams and are a dismal 1-10 ats on the road vs a team with a winning home record dating to last season. With the winning team in this series checking in at 23-1 ats. Look for the Spurs to get Clipped tonight. On Thursday a massive card takes center stage with a rare 6* Highest rated College football play and a 100% NFC Total of the month from a 100% perfect Thursday specific system. We also have a pair of our Exclusive NCAAB RPI Scale system plays. For the NBA Free play. Take the LA. Clippers- RV- Golden Contender Sports
Toledo vs Kent State
Kent State +13½ -110 at Bovada
Kent State +13.5
This play just missed out on our premium card. All Toledo needs in this game is a win to become bowl eligible and after their game last week they now can’t get to the MAC Championship game.
The Golden Flashes haven’t been good this year but they are 3-0 ATS at home this year and with 13.5 points, it’s a perfect time to trust them.
Some trends to note. Home team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Rockets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Golden Flashes are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.
Back the Golden Flashes.
5* FREE Cappers Club Play on Kent State +13.5
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Pittsburgh vs Wake Forest
Pittsburgh -6½ -114 at pinnacle
Wake Forest is off a road win at NC State last week, in a huge upset. However, the Demon Deacons have been allowing plenty of points all year as injuries and lack of depth have hurt them. Pittsburgh is well coached and has a nice ground game.
I think we see Pitt win by 12.
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