Coastal Carolina vs Texas State
Texas State +17½ -110 at BMaker
Dave’s Saturday Free Play:
1* on Texas State +17.5
The Key: Coastal Carolina is in a big letdown spot after improving to 8-0 after beating the defending Sun Belt champion Appalachian State Mountaineers last week. And they have a huge game on deck next week against Liberty. They will be flat this week against Texas State. The Bobcats are just 2-9 this season but they are fighting hard. They have gone 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. They covered in losses to Louisiana, Appalachian State and Georgia Southern which are 3 of the better teams in the Sun Belt and were competitive in all 3 games. Then they upset Arkansas State 47-45 last week and were finally rewarded for their hard play. That win will give them the confidence they need this week to compete with Coastal Carolina. They only lost 21-24 as 7-point dogs to Coastal Carolina last year. And this is their final game of the season so they should be all in against the unbeaten Chanticleers here. The Bobcats are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 home games after yielding 575 or more total yards last game. The Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as home underdogs. Take Texas State.
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Maryland vs Indiana
OVER 61½ -110
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #192 Over in Maryland Terrapins @ Indiana Hoosiers (12p.m., Saturday, November 28 ESPN2) Indiana’s dream season came down to earth last week with a 7-point loss to Ohio State. They now cannot make the Big 10 Championship Game but still have an explosive offensive that will score close to 40 points in this game. Maryland is back on the field after two weeks off for COVID-19 issues. They have scored 40 points per game over their last two and if they hit the high twenties int his game it should easily go over the posted total. These two teams have played over the posted total in 5 straight games. Indiana has gone over the posted total in 20 of their last 28 Big 10 games. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend football card highlighted by a top play winner on Saturday.
Vanderbilt vs Missouri
Vanderbilt +14 -100 at pinnacle
Rocketman Sports FREE CFB play Saturday 11-28-20
Vanderbilt @ Missouri (12:00 PM EST)
Play On: Vanderbilt +14 +100
Nebraska cashes on Friday afternoon! Two TOP 8* CFB BEST BETS and two 6* CFB plays for Saturday!
UTEP vs Rice
OVER 44 -110
R&R Totals FREE CFB Over-Under Saturday 11-28-20
OVER 44 UTEP/Rice
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Memphis vs Navy
Memphis -13½ -105 at YouWager
Mikey Sports FREE CFB play Saturday 11-28-20
Memphis -13 1/2 -105
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Virginia vs Florida State
Virginia -8½ -107 at pinnacle
NCAAFB SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, teams performing poorly in their first halves (avg 6 points or more deficit at the half per game) that just played a game with 60 or more points scored total are a miserable: SU: 392-504-0 (-2.47, 43.8%) / ATS: 379-492-15 (-1.35, 43.5%).Solid ROI and raw profit on the moneyline as well as ATS! — Active to play on MIAOH, VIR and more (see link)
NCAAF TOTAL OF THE WEEK: In database history, the Under is O/U: 49-93-5 (-3.70, 34.5%) in matchups with two hot teams winning against the spread in 3 to 4 or their last straight games each. — Active on the Under in WVA and ALA
The Under is 41-8-0 in ACC matchups where one team is off a bye week and will be playing a conference game in their next two. — Take the Under in NCAR
The OU is 220-323-25 (-1.15, 40.5%) in games with two teams off of big home wins; one a large win (17+ pt margin) and at least one of the two a blowout home win (27+ pts).
Ath Bilbao vs Getafe CF
Draw +201 at pinnacle
Ath Bilbao 1
The free soccer play takes place in Spain on Sunday. I think we see a 1-1 score.
Be sure to check out RED DOG SPORTS have Premium Picks for $19.99. College hoops are 31-15 in our last 46 plays while NFL picks are 56-34 (62%).
Vanderbilt vs Missouri
Vanderbilt +14½ -110 at William Hill
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Vanderbilt +14.5
The Vanderbilt Commodores have been impressive offensively the last several weeks. They had 421 yards against Ole Miss, 478 yards against Mississippi State, 35 points and 407 yards against Kentucky and 406 yards in a cover against Florida last week. Derek Mason has not lost his players as they continue to show up and go to work every week despite being 0-7 SU this season. The Commodores are 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall. And now they are catching too many points again this week against Missouri. The Tigers are 3-3 this season with all 3 wins coming by 10 points or fewer. Now they’re being asked to win by more than two touchdowns to cover this spread and it’s simply too much. Especially for a team with a suspect offense that averages only 21.7 points per game. The Commodores are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 road games off three straight conference losses. Vanderbilt is 4-0 ATS in its last four road games. The Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as favorites. Give me Vanderbilt.
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Kent State vs Buffalo
Buffalo -7 -120 at betonline
Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Buffalo -7
The Buffalo Bulls are the best team in the MAC this year. They went 8-5 last season and while they didn’t win the MAC, I would have had them favored over every team in the conference in the title game. They were 2nd in the MAC with a +138.0 yards per game differential and they only got better as the season went on.
Now head coach Lance Leipold has his best team yet with 15 returning starters, making the Bulls the 16th-most experienced team in the country. They also got in nine spring practices, which was the second-most in the MAC. That was a huge advantage heading into this shortened MAC season.
The Bulls are loaded everywhere on offense with eight returning starters. They have two 1,000-yard rushers in Jaret Patterson (1,799 yards, 19 TD, 5.8/carry last year) and Kevin Marks (1,035, 8 TD, 4.6/carry). Each of their top three receivers are back as are their top two quarterbacks. They return seven starters defensively from a unit that gave up just 21.3 points per game last year. They are great at getting after opposing quarterbacks, recording 43 sacks last year.
Buffalo got off to a nice start this season with a 49-30 win as a closing 14.5-point favorite at Northern Illinois. Buffalo led 49-16 with five minutes left in the 4th quarter. Northern Illinois tacked on two garbage touchdowns in the final five minutes to make the score appear closer than it was. The Bulls averaged 7.0 yards per play offensively while giving up just 5.0 yards per play to the Huskies.
They then crushed Miami Ohio 42-10 as a 7-point favorite. They outgained the Redhawks 558 to 258 for the game. That’s a Miami Ohio team that was the defending MAC champions. And last week Buffalo made easy work of Bowling Green 42-17, but they did fail to cover as 31.5-point favorites after taking their foot off the gas in the 4th quarter.
Now Buffalo comes in highly motivated this week to avenge a fluky 27-30 loss to Kent State last year. The Bulls blew a 27-6 lead in the 4th quarter as the Golden Flashes outscored them 24-0 over the final eight minutes of that game. That is not going to happen again, and the Bulls have not forgotten. They are the more complete team here and should be more than 7-point favorites.
But Kent State is getting respect from oddsmakers after starting 3-0 against three of the worst teams in the MAC. Two of the wins came against Akron and Bowling Green, which are easily the two worst teams in the conference. And the other was a 27-23 win over Eastern Michigan as 5.5-point favorites. This is a big step up in class here for the Golden Flashes.
The Bulls are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 conference games. Buffalo is 7-1 ATS in its last eight home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as a home favorite. It’s revenge time for the Bulls here. Bet Buffalo Saturday.
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Troy vs Appalachian State
UNDER 49½ -114
Saturday Card has the BIG 12 Game of the year, a CFB Platinum Supreme move and a rare 6*. There is a top level EPL Soccer play and NCAAB. Comp Play below.
The comp play is totals play for Saturday on the Under in the Troy St vs Appalachian St game in college football. This game fits a powerful totals system. The last 2 years these 2 have gone under. App St has a powerful defense and has gone under in 4 of the last 5 games. Troy has stayed under in 10 straight games. Look for this game to be lower scoring. Play Troy and Appalachian ST Under the total. On Saturday a huge college football card is up with a Platinum Supreme move, the BIG 12 Game of the Year and a rare 6* TOP level release. There is also College hoops and Soccer. For the comp play take the under in the Appalachian St at Troy game. Rob V- GC Sports.
Louisville vs Boston College
Boston College -115 at William Hill
Louisville vs Boston College Free Pick November 28, 2020
The Boston College Eagles took a 45-31 home loss to Notre Dame two weeks ago. They have failed to cover the spread in back-to-back games, but note that they are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight-up loss.
The Eagles look good to bounce back against a Louisville team that is in a potential letdown spot after shutting out Syracuse in a 30-0 triumph at home last week. The Cardinals are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog and 6-21-1 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a winning record.
All in all, this sets up a good spot to back the Eagles with an extra week to prepare home at Chestnut Hill.
Free pick on Boston College Eagles.
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Northern Illinois vs Western Michigan
Northern Illinois +20 -105 at YouWager
Pure Lock’s FREE CFB play Saturday 11-28-20
Northern Illinois +20 -105
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Dolphins vs Jets
Jets +7 -115 at YouWager
Play – New York Jets (Game 266).
Edges – Jets: 4-1 ATS at home versus winning foes … Dolphins: 2-11 ATS as division road favorites of more than three points … We recommend a 1* play on the NY Jets. Thank you and good luck as always.
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Penn State vs Michigan
Penn State +115 at Mirage
Penn State vs Michigan
3:30 PM EST, Saturday, November 27, 2020
The better bet to post just might be which coach gets a pink slip first. Harbaugh must be down to his final days in Ann Arbor, but I do think James Franklin will be given a pass in light of his monster recruiting efforts and success. Nevertheless, it has been an extraordinarily difficult year for both teams and no one saw Penn State going 0-5 SU and ATS. My free pick last week, though, was on Iowa, who has risen to the upper tier of the Big-12 power ratings.
The betting flows so far show that 65% of the tickets are on Michigan, BUT 63% of the money bet is on Penn State. The current line in the market is offered with Michigan as a 2-point favorite. This betting trend can push the line to pick-em by game time.
No one saw Penn State, who was preseason Top-10 team and a dark horse in the futures market to win the Big Ten, getting off to an imperfect 0-5 SU and ATS start. However, road dogs, who have lost four or more consecutive games SU and ATS have earned a money-making 16-10 ATS record good for 62% winning bets since 2006. The ‘UNDER’ is also appealing I this matchup noting that road dogs that are winless in their first five conference games and have lost five or more consecutive games to the spread have seen the ‘UNDER’ produce a 15-6 record good for 71% winning bets.
By the way, Michigan is 1-12 ATS for 8% winning bets that failed to cover the spread by an average of 11 points in games played since 2006.
One more thing. The following betting system has earned a profitable ATS record over the last 15 seasons and underscores how cheap Penn State has become in the market. The requirements are to be on road teams that have failed to cover the spread by a total of 35 or more points over their last three games and is facing a team that has seen the total go ‘OVER’ by 28 or more points in their last three games.
Kansas State vs Baylor
UNDER 46 -110
*3 Star Free Play Under* The Baylor Bears defense is solid with Dave Aranda as their head coach and good linebackers to lead the way. The Bears offense is a different story. They still have Brewer at quarterback, but he is really missing a lot of the weapons from last year. Baylor has scored 23 points or less in regulation in four of their six games this year.
Kansas State’s offense is a mess right now. Their offensive line is shorthanded and the running game hasn’t been working. The Wildcats have virtually no passing game with Howard at quarterback. They put up a goose egg last week against Iowa State.
The weather here helps the under as well. Rain chances are at 80% during the game with winds of 12 to 15 mph. That can make two teams who are already conservative run the ball even more. Expect a lot of running clock.
Take the under.
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Panthers vs Vikings
UNDER 49 -110
T.M. Selection: Panthers/Vikes UNDER (1* FREE PLAY).
Carolina has nothing to play for anymore and I think it’ll just go through the motions today. Minnesota though is still very in the hunt in the NFC North, so this is definitely an important game for it.
Carolina has split its last four road games. The Panthers have PJ Walker under center and while he managed to pull off the 20-0 win over the lowly Lions last weekend, I think he’ll have a lot more trouble this week in this difficult road venue.
Carolina’s defense looked great last weekend though, posting its first shutout in five years. Overall the Panthers allowed just 185 yards of offense to veteran quarterback Matt Stafford.
Carolina will lean on Mike Davis again here again to help alleviate some of the pressure off Walker. So far the Panthers’ running back has 449 yards and three touchdowns.
The Vikes three-game win streak came to an end in their 31-28 setback at home to Dallas last weekend. Minnesota was winning games previous to that because it started to play some defense. It held Green Bay to 22 points, Detroit to 20 and the Bears to only 13 in those three victories and last week it simply ran into a desperate team and it had to play from behind the entire night.
So Minnesota will also look to establish Dalvin Cook and the ground game, the dynamic back already has 1,069 yards and 13 touchdowns on the ground.
I base my picks on many different things, but I base my Over/Under selections primarily on “situations” and in this case, this particular matchup feels like more of a “chess match,” than a “run and gun shootout.”
T.M. Prediction: 23-16 Minnesota.
Louisville vs Boston College
Louisville +2 -110 at BMaker
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Louisville at Boston College 4:00 ET
Cardinals (+) over Eagles- Boston College has shown some ‘stuff’ this season as they had Clemson on the ropes and truly could have had an upset win and since had to squeak by lowly Syracuse 16-13 who Louisville just throttled 30-0 last week and of course the wake-up call against Notre Dame who grounded the Eagles 45-31 in a game that wasn’t that close. Louisville is ranked 38 on offense and No. 37 on defense while BC is ranked 88th on offense and 56 on ‘D.’ Hope that the Cardinals move to the favorite as they are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games as underdogs and they are tough after a straight-up loss going 8-2 ATS the next time out. But, the road team is 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings and I expect them to improve on the mark. Take LOUISVILLE!
Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State -10½ -105 at BMaker
The Cowboys have under performed this season, but Im betting on a big bounce effort here after their embarrassing effort last week vs their long time rivals Oklahoma last week.
Red Raiders are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. Red Raiders are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Red Raiders are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Cowboys are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.Cowboys are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up loss.Cowboys are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.Cowboys are 30-12 ATS in their last 42 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Oklahoma State is 14-0 ATS/SU covering by an average of 13.4 ppg as a home favorite coming off a loss by more than 10 points. Ok St 47.9 opp 20.8 ppg.
Play on Oklahoma State to cover
Louisville vs Boston College
Boston College -1 -105 at YouWager
Saturday CFB Free play. My selection is on Boston College minus the points over Louisville at 4 pm et on Saturday.
This situation sets up well for Boston College as it comes off a bye week, which came on the heels of a tough nationally-televised two-touchdown loss to an elite Notre Dame squad. It’s not all that surprising that most bettors have hopped off the Golden Eagles bandwagon, but I look for BC to bounce back in this spot at home against Louisville. The Cardinals are coming off a nationally-televised win last week, but that came at home at the expense of one of the nation’s weakest teams in Syracuse. Note that Louisville has yet to win a game on the road this season. I suspect we’ll see the Cardinals once again struggle to finish drives with touchdowns and ultimately fall short against the Eagles on Saturday. Take Boston College (8*).
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