Phillies vs Braves
Phillies +140 at YouWager
1* Free Play on Phillies +140
The Phillies (77-72) kept their playoff hopes alive with a 5-4 win over the Braves (93-59) last night. Now four games back of the second Wild Card, Philadelphia will need another good result in Atlanta to stay in contention.
If the Phillies will somehow squeeze their way into the playoffs, they’ll need Bryce Harper to be the man they envisioned when they paid so much money to him. While Cesar Hernandez leads the Phillies with a .282 average, Harper leads the club with 31 home runs and 102 RBIs.
The visiting Phillies will go with right-hander Zach Eflin (8-12, 4.20 ERA) to start. Over his past four starts, Eflin is 1-1 with a 2.08 ERA. In last week’s outing against Atlanta, Eflin allowed three runs, but all were unearned. Before the 2019 season, Eflin had allowed only four runs in 23 innings pitched against the Braves.
Right-hander Julio Teheran (10-9, 3.50 ERA) will be on the mound for the home Braves. In his last outing, Teheran allowed the Phillies to score five runs in just four innings, including three home runs. Over his past 24 starts, Teheran is posting a 2.94 ERA.
In 35 at-bats against Teheran, Harper is batting .371 with six homers and 16 RBIs.
Rory McIlroy vs Paul Casey
Rory McIlroy -105 at jazz
1* GOLF – Free Pick on Rory McIlroy -105
This play is on Rory McIlroy to outperform Paul Casey at this week’s BMW PGA Championship. It will be played at Wentworth Golf Club in Surrey, England.
This will be the first action for Rory since he took home the Tour Championship and that record $15 million prize. I look for McIlroy to continue his impressive play at an event he knows well.
McIlroy was runner-up to Francesco Molinari here a year ago and won this event 5 years ago. He’s excited about the decision to remove some fairway bunkers, which will let him take advantage of his length a little more off the tee. Take McIlroy!
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Reds vs Cubs
Cubs -171 at 1BetVegas
1* Free Sharp Play on Cubs -171
My money is on the Cubs to cash in an easy win at home tonight. Chicago was absolutely rolling before they ran into the Reds’ Sonny Gray in yesterday’s 4-2 loss. Gray has been one of the best starters in the game of late, so that’s going to happen. This team had scored 55 runs in their previous 4 games and will be up against Tyler Mahle on Wednesday. Mahle has made 13 road starts this season and the Reds have won just one of those games. He’s got a 5.45 ERA and 1.342 WHIP on the road. Even if Lester has another shaky outing, count on the Cubs offense to put up enough for the win. Bet Chicago -171!
Phillies vs Braves
Phillies +132 at YouWager
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Philadelphia Phillies +132
The Atlanta Braves are going to find it tough to be motivated the rest of the way with 10 games left. They already have the NL East locked up, and they won’t be catching the Dodgers for the top seed in the National League. They are 9 games up in the NL East and 5 games behind the Dodgers. The Phillies are the team that needs wins as they are 4 games back in the wild card. Zach Eflin comes in with a 1.72 ERA in his last three starts. Julio Teheran has a 4.50 ERA in his last three starts. Teheran is 0-2 with a 7.36 ERA in his last four starts against the Phillies and has allowed 15 earned runs in 18 1/3 innings in those four starts. Give me the Phillies.
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Titans vs Jaguars
UNDER 40 +101
Play – Tennessee-Jacksonville UNDER (Game 301).
Edges – Titans: 2-7 UNDER last nine games at Jacksonville, and 1-3 UNDER last four away games on Thursday … Jaguars: 0-6 UNDER when coming off two losses-exact, and 0-3 UNDER last three division home games … We recommend a 1* play on the UNDER in this game. Thank you and good luck as always.
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Oregon vs Stanford
Oregon -10 -112 at BMaker
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. — Active on MIZ, BAY, and ORE this week
CLEM is 29-0 SU since Oct 08, 2011 at home off a road game.TENT is 0-38 SU since Sep 15, 1984 on the road.MIZ is 8-2 ATS (10.70 ppg) since Nov 04, 2017 as a home favorite.RICE is 7-16 ATS (-7.43 ppg) since Oct 03, 2015 at home.
EXTRA SYSTEM: A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. Active for Week 4 on TLN, MIAF, and TXAM
West Virginia vs Kansas
Kansas +4½ -105 at sportsbook
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #374 Kansas Jayhawks over West Virginia Mountaineers (4:30p.m., Saturday, September 21 ESPN+) The wrong team is favored in this game and the Les Miles magic will continue for another week. The Jayhawks are coming off their first road win against a Power 5 team in forever and expect them to follow that up with another winnable home game against the Mountaineers. West Virginia is 0-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 road games. The Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend Football Card highlighted by top play on Saturday.
Saints vs Seahawks
Seahawks -4½ -111 at pinnacle
The set-up: Drew Brees is out for the Saints. Teddy Bridgewater is in. The Seahawks are 2-0 after an upset road victory at Pittsburgh last weekend and with a date vs. the co-division leading Rams in Week 4, I believe the home side lays everything on the line this week in order to secure the 3-0 start. The Saints are reeling now, but the offense looked terrible last week before Brees went down anyways. I don’t foresee anything changing in a week and with the major change at the QB position.
The pick: Seattle has been getting consistent play on both sides of the ball and Russell Wilson and company are now licking their chops to get a shot at this suspect New Orleans’ secondary. Note that the Saints are just 1-3 ATS in their last four anyways after a loss by ten or more points, while Seattle is 6-1 ATS in its last seven after a victory by six points or less. Consider the home side in this one.
Louisville vs Florida State
Louisville +7 -120 at Mirage
Oh how the mighty have fallen, as Taggarts Florida States looks to be a undisciplined shambles. Taggart’s team is one of the worst in all of college Football for incurring penalties and that indirectly becomes a situation that facilitates their down trending projections in my power rankings. I know that Louisville’s QB Jawon Pass may not start because of a nagging foot injury, but Malik Cunningham his backup is more than capable of leading his team here as was the case in last weeks win vs Western Kentucky.
FLORIDA ST is 3-12 ATS against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons and s 4-15 ATS L/19 as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points .
CFB road team (LOUISVILLE) – a good defensive team (16-21 PPG) against a horrible defensive team ( 34 or more PPG), after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game are 30-4 SU L/10 seasons for a 88% conversion rate.
CFB home team (FLORIDA ST) – off 2 or more consecutive overs, with a horrible scoring defense – allowing 35 or more points/game are 57-112 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Louisville to cover