CLE vs DET
UNDER 8½ -109
R&R Totals FREE MLB Over-Under Saturday 9-19-20
UNDER 8 1/2 -109 Cleveland/Detroit
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TEX vs LAA
UNDER 7½ -110
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Texas at L.A. Angels 9:10 ET
Angels/Rangers-UNDER! When the season started no one imagined the Rangers Lance Lynn (6-2, 2.40 ERA) would be better than ever allowing just 45 hits in his 71.1 innings of work. While at the same time the odds-makers were touting Angels starter Andrew Heaney (4-3, 4.02) who happens to work in a bad environment, that is for the Angels. Lynn has the same issue with Texas as they have the least wins of any AL team. Get Chip’s Triple-Play of MLB winners and get today’s NCAAF Best Bet winner between Miami and Louisville and don’t for get play UNDER here and collect.
Rangers vs Angels
Rangers +145 at sportsbook
My free play is on the Tex Rangers at 9:10 ET.
The 22-30 Rangers and 22-30 Angers are a little more than a week away from being “done for the year,” as MLB’s 60-game regular season concludes a week from tomorrow (Sep 27). The teams continue their three-game series tonight in Anaheim, after the Angels won 6-2 last night. The ‘story’ from Friday’s game was Albert Pujols hitting career HR No. 661 in the fifth inning to break the tie with Willie Mays for fifth-place on the list of all-time HRs. He connected again in his next at-bat, as the 40-year-old Pujols (662) now trails only Barry Bonds (762), Hank Aaron (755), Babe Ruth (714) and Alex Rodriguez (696). Tonight’s pitching matchup is ‘the story’ of tonight’s contest, as Lynn (6-2, 2.40 ERA) squares off against Andrew Heaney (4-3, 4.02 ERA) for the THIRD time this season. Lynn’s got the better of Heaney in both previous meetings, winning 7-3 back on Aug 9 and then 7-1 on Sep 8. Will the third time be the charm for Heaney? I think not!
Lance Lynn is a nine-year veteran, who has logged 1,400-plus innings over 258 appearances (234 starts) with a 104-70 record (3.53 ERA) in his career. Lynn was a solid part of the St Louis rotation from 2012 to 2017. He missed the entire 2016 season due to injury but in those other five seasons, he won 71 games. He signed a FA deal with Minnesota in 2018 and was a flop, going 7-8 with a 5.10 ERA. He was traded during the season to the Yankees and went 3-2 with a 4.14 ERA. Texas took a chance on him in 2019 and he responded by winning a team-high 16 games. Here in 2020, he’s been the LONE bright spot of the Texas rotation. Incredibly, the veteran right-hander has thrown at least 100 pitches in 35 consecutive starts, the longest streak in the majors since Justin Verlander of the Detroit Tigers hit that mark in 80 straight regular-season appearances from June 2010 to September 2012. Look closely at his 2020 pitching numbers in 2020, compared to his career numbers. His career ERA is 3.53 but this season it’s 2.40. His career WHIP is 1.29 but in 2020 it’s 0.95. Lastly, his career BAA is .423 but its; 67 points lower this season, at .176!
Heaney’s in his seventh season, having made 89 appearances (87 starts) with a 24-29 career record (4.39 ERA / 1.29) . He started poorly in 2020, going 1-2 with a ERA after six starts (Angels were 1-5). However, he’s 3-1 with a 2.36 ERA over his last four outings but note, the lone loss came up against Lynn. Lynn throws another 100-plus pitches in this one and makes it 3-0 vs Heaney here in 2020.
Braves vs Mets
Braves -138 at YouWager
Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Atlanta Braves -138
The Atlanta Braves exploded for 15 runs yesterday against the New York Mets. They certainly have the edge on the mound again tonight and should be bigger favorites as a result.
Ian Anderson is 3-0 with a 1.64 ERA and 0.909 WHIP in four starts this season with 27 K’s in 22 innings while allowing just one homer. The Mets will be seeing this youngster for the first time on Saturday.
David Peterson is 3-2 with a 4.68 ERA and 1.347 WHIP in seven starts this season for the Mets. He has posted a 5.62 ERA in four home starts and an 8.18 ERA in his last three starts overall.
The Braves are 26-9 as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. Atlanta is 25-8 as a road favorite of -125 to -175 over the last two seasons. New York is 22-53 in its last 75 games as a home underdog. Bet the Braves Saturday.
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Padres vs Mariners
Padres -1½ -113 at pinnacle
Dave’s Saturday Free Play:
1* on San Diego Padres -1.5 (-113)
The Key: The San Diego Padres are 9-2 in their last 11 games overall with their only 2 losses coming to the Dodgers. They won 6-1 in Game 1 over the Mariners yesterday and should win by multiple runs again tonight. They traded for Mike Clevinger and he’s coming off his best start as a Padre. Clevinger pitched 7 shutout innings while yielding only 3 base runners in a 6-0 win over the Giants last time out. He improved to 3-2 with a 3.10 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 7 starts this year. Justus Sheffield is 3-3 with a 4.06 ERA in 8 starts, and 1-1 with a 4.82 ERA in his last 3 outings. The Padres are 22-7 in their last 29 games overall. The Padres are 9-3 in the last 12 matchups. The Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 games while getting outscored 30-8 in the process. Take San Diego on the Run Line.
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Twins vs Cubs
Twins -123 at 5Dimes
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Minnesota Twins -123
The Minnesota Twins have dropped four of their last five and really need a bounce-back win here after getting shut out by the Chicago Cubs yesterday. Michael Pineda makes the start for the Twins and is 1-0 with a 3.57 ERA with 20 strikeouts in 17 2/3 innings and zero homers allowed. He’ll be starting opposite Alec Mills, who is 5-3 with a 3.93 ERA in nine starts for the Cubs with only 37 strikeouts in 52 2/3 innings and eight homers allowed. Pineda is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA in two previous starts against the Cubs. Give me the Twins.
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Indians vs Tigers
Indians -164 at 5Dimes
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Royals vs Brewers
Brewers -1½ -104 at pinnacle
PICK – Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-104)
I’ll take the Brewers on the -1.5 run line Saturday. Milwaukee has a massive edge on the mound in this game. Brewers will send out Corbin Burnes, who is 3-0 with a 1.45 ERA and 0.938 WHIP in 7 starts. This guy has elite stuff. Burnes has a 37.2 K%, 0.18 HR/9, and a cool 56 K’s in 37 1/3 innings.
Royals will counter with Kris Bubic, who is 1-5 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.450 WHIP in 8 starts. Most of Bubic’s success has come at home. He has a 5.53 ERA and 1.637 WHIP in road starts.
With the way the Brewers are swinging the bat, it’s hard seeing him pitch well enough to keep them in it. Milwaukee has scored 6 or more runs in 3 of their last 4. They also have a strong tendency to hit lefties hard, as they are scoring 5.5 runs/game with .345 OBP in 14 games this season vs a left-handed starter. Give me the Brewers -1.5 (-104).
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