MLB Free Picks

1 Dimer on Cubs

1* Free Play on Yankees

1* Free Sharp Play on Braves

*All MLB picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models*

1* Best Bet on Angels

No analysis provided.

1* FREE PLAY Seattle.

Here are two teams that are playing well. Two evenly matched starting pitchers. Honestly, it wouldn’t be difficult to write a convincing argument for either of these sides to win this series opener here in the Pacific Northwest. But, Seattle at home at this price is the correct call in our opinion. Bryce Miller is 3-1 with a 1.15 ERA for the Mariners, while Domingo German is 2-3 with a 3.75 ERA for the Yanks (note though that Miller is the first pitcher to last a minimum of six frames, while yielding no more than four hits over his very first five MLB appearances since at least 1901.) German has had success vs. Seattle in the past, but that was then and this is now. At this price, we feel the Mariners are indeed worthy of a second look on Monday night!

AAA Sports

1* Free Pick on Cubs

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

Mike Lundin’s Memorial Day Free Pick

The Nats are an amazing 17-5 against the runline as underdogs on the road this season. They’re 4-1 against the runline as road underdogs with Trevor Williams (2-2, 4.32 ERA) on the mound. 

Dodgers rookie right-hander Bobby Miller (1-0, 1.80 ERA) made his MLB debut on Tuesday at Atlanta. Sure, it was an impressive outing with only one run allowed on four hits over five innings, but the Dodgers have been inconsistent lately and I would not be surprised if the Nats can stay in this one.  

8* FREE PICK ON WASHINGTON NATIONALS +1.5. 

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This is a play on the OAKLAND ATHLETICS for our Monday Free Play. We are taking the big dog here as Oakland is riding an 11-game losing streak but could be in a favorable spot with the unknowns of both starting pitchers. The Athletics have fallen to a horrid 10-45 on the season as they have failed to score more than three runs during this current losing skid. The Braves are coming off a series split against the Phillies to conclude a very average 5-5 homestand and they hit the road where they are 17-7 and as no surprise, massive favorites. Oakland squares off against Mike Soroka who is making his first big league appearance since 2020 after going through several Achillies injuries. He posted a 4.33 ERA in eight starts at AAA and will not be asked to do much here. The Athletics counter with Paul Blackburn who is making his first appearance this season after suffering through blister issues as well as a stint on paternity leave. The 2022 All Star was solid in his recent rehab start. Here, we play on home underdogs with a money line of +175 or more averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game on the season, after five straight games where they had less than 10 hits. This situation is 30-22 (57.7 percent) over the last five seasons. Play (972) Oakland Athletics

The NBA is coming off a loss with the Celtics on Saturday night and the NBA is back with our recent 45-31-2 run. Going back, Fargo is on a 127-87-3 run and keeps it going with his NBA Signature Enforcer which WINS WITH EASE. It was a 2-0 baseball Sunday with winners on +120 Cleveland and +115 Milwaukee, part of a +$2,350 overall day, and it is now a 9-4 +$7,650 baseball run since last Monday! Matt is poised for a massive Monday with an MLB Underdog Double Play as he goes for another PERFECT 2-0 SWEEP!

R&R Totals FREE MLB Over-Under Monday 5-29-23

OVER 8 1/2 -115 LA Angels/Chicago White Sox (Canning/Kopech) Listed

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FREE PLAY on Nationals

The Astros averaged seven runs a game in sweeping three games from the A’s. Now, though, they go from facing the worst pitching staff to dealing with Sonny Gray. 

Gray is 4-0 with a 1.82 ERA. He leads the majors in ERA and fielding independent pitching. No player has been able to homer off Gray this season in 54 1/3 innings. The Astros saw Gray back on April 7. It didn’t go well for them. Gray struck out 13 in seven innings, while giving up just one run on four hits and one walk. 

Before destroying the historically-bad A’s, the Astros had been shut out in consecutive games by the Brewers. 

Minnesota has scored three or fewer runs in five of its last seven games. 

The Astros are going with good-looking rookie J.P. France. The Twins have never faced France, who has held opponents to one earned run or none in three of his four starts. Behind France is a Houston bullpen that has the third-lowest ERA in the league at 3.10. 

7* MLB Angels/White Sox Free Pick

PLAY ON CHICAGO WHITE SOX -128

I’ll take my chances with the White Sox as a slim -128 home favorite against the Angels. Feels like we are getting a big discount on Chicago in this one. White Sox will have a red-hot Michael Kopech on the mound. In Kopech’s last two starts, he’s allowed just 3 hits over 15 scoreless innings with an incredible 19/1 K/BB ratio. LA, who was just swept in a 3-game home series vs the Marlins, will counter with Griffin Canning. He’s got a 4.95 ERA and 1.349 WHIP in 7 starts. That jumps to a 5.75 ERA and 1.724 WHIP if you look at just his 3 road starts. Give me the White Sox -128! 

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 The Rays have lost six of their last nine on the road, and are looking a little mortal away from home. With that said, Im betting on Marcus Stroman (4-4, 2.95 ERA),  who has allowed three runs and seven hits with four walks over 14 innings to win his last two starts. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay returns fire with starter Taj Bradley (3-1, 4.44) . The right-hander was handed a ego crusher last time out, when he gave up four runs and nine hits in an ugly four innings of sub par work in a lopsided 20-1 loss to Toronto last Tuesday. He is in a  fragile state right now and could easily feel the pressure at some point today vs a desperate Cubs side playing at home. 

TAMPA BAY is 16-24  against the money line in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.

Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

MLB Road teams (TAMPA BAY) – very good AL offensive team (5.4 or more  runs/game) against a good NL starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or better), after a win by 2 runs or less are 8-29 L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago to win

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