MLB Free Picks

Dave’s Thursday Free Play:

1* on Braves/Dodgers UNDER 8

The Key: This game won’t see many runs tonight with Max Fried going for the Braves and the Dodgers utilizing their loaded bullpen.  Fried is 15-7 with a 2.99 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 30 starts this year.  He has yielded 3 or fewer earned runs in 14 consecutive starts.  The Dodgers sports a 3.12 ERA in their bullpen on the season.  The UNDER is 8-0 in Fried’s last 8 starts as a dog of +100 to +150.  Take the UNDER.

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Jack’s Free Pick Thursday: Los Angeles Dodgers -140

The Los Angeles Dodgers will look to save their season here tonight at home against the Atlanta Braves.  I think we are getting them at a discount at -140 compared to the big prices they were laying in Games 3 and 4.

It will be a bullpen game for the Dodgers, and they have a great one that has posted a 3.12 ERA and 1.170 WHIP this season.  Corey Knebel will start it off and has a 2.35 ERA and 1.043 WHIP in his six starts this season.

The Dodgers are 41-14 in their last 55 home games.  Los Angeles is 88-42 in its last 130 games following a loss.  The Dodgers are 41-20 in the last 61 meetings.  Bet the Dodgers Thursday.

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FREE PICK: Atlanta Braves +132 
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 920

I’ll take my chances with the Braves clinching the NLCS tonight and advancing to the World Series. The Braves are up 3-1 after a convincing 9-2 win in Game 4 last night. LA is really lucky that the series is still going, as they trailed 2-5 in the bottom of the 8th in their only win this series. 

The Dodgers offense just hasn’t been producing like expected and aren’t expected to have Justin Turner. It’s hard to see them getting it going against Atlanta’s Max Fried. He was great in Atlanta’s 3-2 win in Game 1, as he allowed just 2 runs in 6 innings of work. He’s got a 2.99 ERA and 1.075 WHIP in 30 starts this year. 

Dodgers are going with an Opener in Corey Knebel as Dave Roberts has really screwed up their rotation by putting in starters late in games. I just don’t trust that bullpen with how it’s been used here of late to keep this Braves offense in check. Give me Atlanta +132! 

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