Handicapping Service

NBA playoff Favorites have gone 203-191 (51.5%) when they received no more than 50% of spread bets. When we look at favorites receiving no more than 40% of spread bets, that record improves to 83-56 ATS (59.7%).

This is a very fishy line, I'm not biting, have been to this rodeo before. Sometimes the smart bet isn't in the stats, it is in the eye of the public, and when 70% stack up...time to go against conventional wisdom. make the play on Milwaukee.

The Cleveland Cavs and LeBron James came out roaring in game 2, and opened up an 18 point lead early on. Once Indiana recovered, the game went the way of Indiana from that point out. The Cavs have out-played the pacers for about 10 minutes in this series, and I don't expect that to change. Kevin Love turned his ankle in game 2, and also hurt his thumb, and that could certainly have an impact on his game 3 performance. Coach Lue continues searching for answers, and has played 10 players double-digit minutes in this series, but has found few answers. LeBron James scored 46% of all the Cavs points and shot 71% for the game (79% inside the arc). That is severe variance, even for LeBron. Despite all that, along with Indiana shooting 6-22 beyond the arc, on the road, Indiana was in the game to win it late. Additionally, the  Pacers best player, Victor Oladipo was on the bench for 16 minutes in the 1st half with foul trouble. Indiana scored 62 points in the paint, out-rebounded the Cavs, and doubled them up on fast break points. That will haunt the Cavs in game 3. The Pacers are a very good bounce back team, having posted a 92-48-4 ATS mark when they are off a 15 point or less road loss, with rest, which is also 11-3 ATS if it is in the playoffs. Make the play on Indiana.

This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +11.5% and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +18.8% and the play is on St. Louis.

This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +23.3% and the play is on Milwaukee.