Wizards vs Hawks
UNDER 210 -110
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Wizards/Hawks UNDER 210
The Hawks and Wizards have combined for 210, 214, 212 and 202 points in their last four meetings, respectively. I think as these teams have gotten more familiar with each other, points have been harder and harder to come by. I expect a similar result to the Game 5 showdown that was Washington win 103-99 for 202 combined points. The Wizards made a concentrated effort to improve their defense and it worked last game, and they should carry over that effort on the road here. The UNDER is 8-1-1 in Hawks last 10 games when playing on one days’ rest. The UNDER is 37-16-2 in Hawks last 55 games following a straight up loss. The UNDER is 19-6-1 in Hawks last 26 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
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Clippers vs Jazz
UNDER 193 -102
Scott “The Bulldog” Rickenbach NBA Friday Free Pick UNDER the total in Utah Jazz vs Los Angeles Clippers @ 10:35 ET – This total opened up at 191.5 and certainly caught the attention of the markets as many jumped on it as if some kind of mistake had been made. After all, none of the other totals closed at anything less than a 195.5 so why would this total be so low? Of course the odds makers are “in the know” and so the fact this total has now been pushed up to a 193 as of game day morning means we are getting even more line value with the under. The fact is that the LA Clippers, without Blake Griffin’s offensive production, know that they must bring a huge effort on defense if they want to stay alive in this series. All 3 games at Los Angeles have stayed under the total but the 2 games in Utah saw the Jazz hit a combined 53% from the field. That is a ridiculously high shooting percentage and, of course, unlikely to be repeated here. The 2 days of rest between games will help the Clippers to make proper adjustments in terms of how to best “make due” without Griffin’s services. The under is 11-3 this season in Clips games when they enter having 2 days of rest between games. The under is a long-term 77-49 in Utah’s playoff games. Keep in mind it was the hot shooting of the 2 prior games in Utah that allowed them to get over the total. The teams only averaged 74 shots per game and that normally would be conducive to an under. The pace is a key and I look for it to continue to be slowed down in Game 6 with the shooting also cooling off and the result being a low-scoring intense battle. Free Pick on UNDER the total in Utah late Friday night. Best of luck, Scott “The Bulldog” Rickenbach
Celtics vs Bulls
UNDER 204 -110
Jack’s Free Pick Friday: Celtics/Bulls UNDER 204
The Boston Celtics have really shut down the Bulls’ offense over the past three games. They have held them to 87, 95 and 97 points, respectively. The biggest reason for that is the fact that Rajon Rondo has missed all three games due to injury, and he’s not expected to return for Game 6.
The Bulls’ offense has gone stagnant without him as Dwyane Wade and Jimmy Butler have had to take on the PG role. This has led to a lot of stalled possessions and one-on-one basketball, which is perfect for UNDERS. I think the Bulls will have a big effort defensively here in Game 6 with their season on the line.
Boston is 9-1 UNDER in Friday road games over the last two seasons. Chicago is 8-1 UNDER off three or more consecutive losses this season. The UNDER is 11-3-2 in Celtics last 16 road games. The UNDER is 10-1 in Bulls last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The UNDER is 5-0 in the last five meetings in Chicago. Bet the UNDER in Game 6 Friday.
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Wizards vs Hawks
Hawks -2½ -110 at GTBets
The Wizards are 2-8 ATS (-5.30 ppg) as a road dog – since Mar 13, 2017.
In addition, the Washington Wizards are just 0-13 ATS (-8.42 ppg) as a dog with at most one day of rest after a home game in which they blocked at least 10 shots.
Meanwhile, the Hawks are 5-0 ATS (10.70 ppg) at home – since Apr 06, 2017.
Biggest Factor though:
Since 1989 (our NBA database’s history), underdogs of 2 points or more off of a win that went under the total are just 105-158-5 (39.9%) ATS in the playoffs.
Wizards vs Hawks
Hawks -3 -110 at GTBets
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Clippers vs Jazz
Jazz -5½ -115 at betonline
1* Free Play Utah Jazz.
The Clippers lost Blake Griffin to injury and predictably, LA has struggled. With a chance to deliver the knock out blow, it’s hard to imagine the league’s No. 1 defense falling apart tonight. The trends support the Jazz as well, as note that the Clippers are a poor 8-9 ATS this year off an upset loss as a favorite, while Utah is 4-2 ATS this season off an upset win as an underdog. Chris Paul is an amazing player, but without Griffin, all signs point another early exit for the Clippers this year. Consider laying the points on UTAH tonight.
Celtics vs Bulls
Bulls +2½ -108 at 5Dimes
Normally I would never give this strong of a play out for free but NBA has not been my strongest sport but the playoffs is when I shine. I have reached out to both of my Vegas contacts both say Bulls large tonight. Bulls won the first two in this series but when Rondo went down this series was over. I think the Bulls show up in front of their home crowd and throw everything they have at Boston. This game has trap written all over it as masses are betting the road Celtics at this point 84% are betting the Celtics but not me I’ll follow my sharp contacts and bet the Bulls for a 15* winner.****BE SURE TO CHECK OUT MY 7 DAY PLAN JUST REDUCED AND GET ALL MY WINNERS ALL WEEK LONG FOR A SUPER LOW PRICE***
Celtics vs Bulls
Bulls +3 -115 at Bovada
Free Pick on Bulls +
I know Chicago has dropped the last 3 games in the series and there’s a good chance Rondo doesn’t play tonight, but I still like the Bulls to pull out the win at home. Chicago played a great game on the road in Game 5 for 3 quarters. They laid an egg in the 4th quarter and the offense was to blame. I look for a much better offensive showing at home in Game 6 and I also like the fact that the Bulls are now the desperate team. Keep in mind Boston has been the desperate team in each of the last 3 games and now that they have the lead in the series it will be hard for them to avoid a minor letdown on the road.
The Celtics are just 2-15 ATS in their last 17 games when they come in having won their last 3 games, while the Bulls are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games after 3 or more consecutive losses. Take Chicago!
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Celtics vs Bulls
Celtics -2½ -105 at BMaker
This play just missed out on our premium card. The Celtics look to close out their first round series when they take on the Chicago Bulls on Friday and at this line they have a lot of value. Ever since Rajon Rondo has gone out with injury for the Bulls they just haven’t looked the same. After going down 0-2 the Celtics have won the last three games, and also covered.
I think Isiah Thomas will have a huge game and that will be the difference in this one. Some trends to note. Favorite is 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings.Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
The Celtics should win the game with ease.
Back Boston. Good Luck, Razor Ray.
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Celtics vs Bulls
Celtics -3 -107 at 5Dimes
Take Boston (#509)
Even after the line move towards the Celtics in early betting action, I’m still expecting Boston to close out this series with a Game 6 victory tonight. The results don’t lie. The Bulls covered the spread in Games 1 & 2 by 10.5 points and 21.5 points, winning outright as underdogs both times.
Then point guard Rajon Rondo broke his thumb, forced to sit out. The Bulls hung 106 and 111 points in the first two games with Rondo distributing the basketball extremely effectively, as Chicago notched 50 assists in those two ballgames. They notched only 31 combined assists in Games 3 and 4 with Jerian Grant, then Isaiah Canaan starting at point guard.
Grant was benched completely by Game 5, getting a ‘DNP coaches decision’. Canaan got ‘DNP-coaches decision’ 29 times in the regular season, and he played more than 20 minutes of gametime only once since December. Yet the last two games, Canaan has played more than 70 minutes of floor time. He has a grand total of three assists in those 70+ minutes.
Weak point guard play is a problem at any time of the year. When it comes to close-out game in a playoff series, weak point guard play is, quite frankly, an insurmountable obstacle. It’s not like the Bulls consistently dug deep at home, enjoying a strong home court edge at the United Center this year. We saw them lose their only two home playoff games this year in non-competitive fashion.
To make matters even worse for the Bulls, their lone superstar (sorry, Dwayne Wade is no superstar at this stage of his career), Jimmy Butler, is dealing with an ankle injury. Butler took 23 free throw attempts in Game 4, consistently and aggressively taking the ball to the hole. In Game 5 , he couldn’t drive, settling for just a single free throw attempt. That’s yet another problem for Chicago moving forward.
With Jae Crowder, Avery Bradley and Marcus Smart, Brad Stevens has three solid defensive options at the wing to keep Butler in check tonight, just as they did in Game 5. And there’s no questioning Boston’s closeout mentality for Game 6. Bradley’s quote speaks volumes: “We believe in one another. We went to Chicago knowing we were going to win those games, not hoping. Now it’s our job to continue. Play the same way and finish the series in Chicago.” Take the Celtics.